MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1999070100 to 1999091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 5.227 5.096 ******* 9.595 47.732 47.273 ******* 49.791 62.771 62.619 ******* 64.127 62.561 62.419 -9999.00 63.414 3,846. 3,846. 0. 3,640.
3 13.776 6.877 ******* 6.042 45.918 39.726 ******* 50.062 60.978 56.110 ******* 64.173 59.411 55.696 -9999.00 63.898 3,080. 3,080. 0. 2,917.
6 18.749 11.221 ******* 9.933 47.000 41.283 ******* 52.831 62.716 59.552 ******* 66.796 59.861 58.498 -9999.00 66.069 2,277. 2,277. 0. 2,139.
9 15.138 9.109 ******* 12.013 48.826 43.645 ******* 52.526 64.179 61.448 ******* 66.692 62.385 60.785 -9999.00 65.620 1,846. 1,846. 0. 1,740.
12 18.248 8.615 11.011 14.732 51.968 45.675 45.549 54.426 67.519 63.764 63.484 68.630 65.024 63.196 62.539 67.050 1,903. 1,903. 1,903. 1,776.
15 18.639 11.295 11.147 17.079 52.750 45.285 44.249 53.302 68.504 64.185 63.547 66.891 65.935 63.198 62.576 64.690 2,155. 2,155. 2,155. 1,986.
18 15.405 9.654 6.978 12.084 51.933 44.725 44.270 54.065 67.450 62.245 63.170 68.197 65.680 61.503 62.796 67.131 2,660. 2,660. 2,660. 2,490.
21 10.091 7.036 6.810 11.689 49.546 43.994 42.370 57.399 65.463 60.659 60.771 71.675 64.690 60.257 60.396 70.726 3,652. 3,652. 3,652. 3,427.
24 10.743 9.928 9.351 12.549 46.511 40.993 40.178 52.852 62.457 57.894 57.855 66.923 61.534 57.044 57.102 65.745 3,773. 3,773. 3,773. 3,535.
27 7.571 7.256 8.181 11.161 44.669 41.438 40.500 51.785 59.816 59.832 59.396 65.423 59.344 59.400 58.840 64.475 3,045. 3,045. 3,045. 2,840.
30 11.566 7.732 8.797 12.755 47.769 45.896 44.045 53.685 63.178 66.076 64.154 67.284 62.124 65.637 63.562 66.080 2,265. 2,265. 2,265. 2,123.
33 11.923 9.490 8.458 10.604 49.249 47.101 45.454 53.447 64.592 66.327 64.563 67.272 63.500 65.662 64.024 66.450 1,851. 1,851. 1,851. 1,730.
36 13.768 9.178 9.333 12.477 52.402 49.263 47.591 55.881 68.375 68.940 67.650 69.945 66.992 68.344 67.020 68.842 1,916. 1,916. 1,916. 1,796.
39 14.869 10.167 ******* 12.667 55.354 50.462 ******* 55.985 71.533 70.343 ******* 69.988 69.987 69.621 -9999.00 68.849 2,166. 2,166. 0. 2,029.
42 11.953 9.060 ******* 10.429 54.485 48.236 ******* 55.727 70.820 66.064 ******* 70.304 69.817 65.453 -9999.00 69.540 2,664. 2,664. 0. 2,510.
45 10.481 8.028 ******* 13.509 55.257 47.567 ******* 60.159 70.999 64.597 ******* 74.649 70.231 64.105 -9999.00 73.427 3,580. 3,580. 0. 3,381.
48 11.133 8.854 ******* 15.411 51.040 44.951 ******* 56.207 67.417 62.399 ******* 71.026 66.500 61.776 -9999.00 69.344 3,692. 3,692. 0. 3,481.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1999070100 to 1999091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 10.889 8.417 ******* 10.741 51.587 51.661 ******* 55.306 67.577 67.755 ******* 69.675 66.712 67.247 -9999.00 68.861 1,941. 1,941. 0. 1,869.
3 19.661 10.198 ******* 11.388 51.111 44.301 ******* 54.604 66.105 61.595 ******* 68.696 63.128 60.759 -9999.00 67.761 2,197. 2,197. 0. 2,111.
6 14.320 8.336 ******* 11.906 51.464 40.120 ******* 53.783 67.161 55.764 ******* 67.862 65.628 55.147 -9999.00 66.822 2,719. 2,719. 0. 2,620.
9 8.711 7.951 ******* 9.406 49.535 40.557 ******* 54.949 64.780 55.806 ******* 68.744 64.200 55.244 -9999.00 68.108 3,708. 3,708. 0. 3,584.
12 10.339 9.349 9.713 11.912 45.223 37.684 37.899 50.947 60.291 53.508 53.763 64.877 59.406 52.692 52.885 63.782 3,816. 3,816. 3,816. 3,710.
15 8.600 8.312 8.917 9.883 43.690 39.473 38.627 50.782 57.748 57.152 56.412 63.948 57.113 56.553 55.712 63.190 3,072. 3,072. 3,072. 2,979.
18 12.687 8.307 8.036 11.598 46.716 44.603 44.351 53.048 61.895 64.190 64.268 66.567 60.594 63.664 63.777 65.564 2,280. 2,280. 2,280. 2,208.
21 14.277 8.385 8.770 11.932 49.025 45.620 45.513 52.652 64.049 63.870 64.209 66.442 62.454 63.334 63.624 65.380 1,860. 1,860. 1,860. 1,803.
24 13.451 11.344 11.839 11.816 51.927 47.816 47.905 54.858 68.086 67.001 67.492 68.689 66.761 66.051 66.463 67.684 1,923. 1,923. 1,923. 1,860.
27 16.007 8.219 10.135 12.818 53.259 45.996 48.222 54.581 69.273 65.285 68.476 68.379 67.414 64.781 67.737 67.183 2,158. 2,158. 2,158. 2,071.
30 11.894 7.087 6.394 10.992 52.760 45.540 47.071 54.996 68.464 63.434 66.602 68.888 67.436 63.049 66.307 68.018 2,678. 2,678. 2,678. 2,578.
33 10.997 7.326 6.162 11.611 52.942 46.039 46.189 58.209 68.596 62.782 64.809 72.288 67.719 62.362 64.524 71.360 3,605. 3,605. 3,605. 3,485.
36 13.022 9.391 7.683 14.003 49.042 42.073 43.203 53.928 64.937 59.099 61.643 67.943 63.626 58.356 61.170 66.494 3,717. 3,717. 3,717. 3,595.
39 9.965 7.483 ******* 12.599 46.949 42.725 ******* 53.614 62.341 61.790 ******* 66.986 61.549 61.345 -9999.00 65.802 3,025. 3,025. 0. 2,921.
42 10.822 8.769 ******* 10.705 49.695 46.704 ******* 54.951 66.046 66.848 ******* 68.687 65.168 66.285 -9999.00 67.864 2,258. 2,258. 0. 2,172.
45 10.941 6.524 ******* 10.462 50.421 46.882 ******* 54.752 66.106 66.084 ******* 68.238 65.212 65.779 -9999.00 67.450 1,839. 1,839. 0. 1,770.
48 14.568 11.451 ******* 13.203 53.190 49.613 ******* 56.632 69.724 69.084 ******* 70.585 68.203 68.146 -9999.00 69.359 1,874. 1,874. 0. 1,787.