MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of RELH (RH Percent ) From 1999091500 to 1999111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 13.697 13.511 ******* 22.444 18.322 18.113 ******* 26.049 23.504 23.161 ******* 33.541 19.103 18.813 -9999.00 24.928 4,730. 4,730. 0. 4,434.
3 0.514 -0.659 ******* 0.852 13.390 12.966 ******* 13.470 17.385 16.933 ******* 17.336 17.379 16.922 -9999.00 17.317 4,700. 4,700. 0. 4,390.
6 -0.911 -3.739 ******* 1.130 15.118 14.436 ******* 13.558 19.407 18.789 ******* 17.625 19.388 18.415 -9999.00 17.591 4,233. 4,233. 0. 3,976.
9 -3.342 -6.470 ******* 1.727 16.097 15.516 ******* 13.557 20.729 20.015 ******* 17.783 20.461 18.942 -9999.00 17.702 4,027. 4,027. 0. 3,795.
12 -4.750 -7.672 -6.928 2.722 16.724 16.155 15.878 13.618 21.737 20.937 20.676 18.170 21.214 19.483 19.483 17.967 4,086. 4,086. 4,086. 3,792.
15 -5.193 -8.028 -9.263 2.855 17.347 16.311 15.939 13.410 22.414 21.146 20.902 17.791 21.807 19.565 18.739 17.563 4,597. 4,597. 4,597. 4,282.
18 -2.856 -5.024 -4.107 2.980 14.907 13.435 13.125 13.837 19.266 17.701 17.362 17.588 19.055 16.975 16.871 17.336 4,386. 4,386. 4,386. 4,073.
21 -2.279 -4.147 -3.185 0.245 13.789 12.819 12.477 12.477 18.083 16.864 16.301 16.181 17.941 16.348 15.989 16.182 4,408. 4,408. 4,408. 4,096.
24 -1.796 -3.326 -1.966 -0.190 13.577 12.410 12.211 12.427 17.873 16.419 15.953 16.085 17.785 16.080 15.833 16.086 4,552. 4,552. 4,552. 4,244.
27 -7.831 -8.553 -8.342 -0.928 17.395 16.007 15.287 13.606 22.254 20.495 19.850 17.477 20.833 18.627 18.014 17.454 4,608. 4,608. 4,608. 4,288.
30 -7.882 -9.643 -11.023 -0.499 18.505 17.341 16.877 13.923 23.560 22.045 21.838 17.829 22.205 19.827 18.854 17.825 4,109. 4,109. 4,109. 3,850.
33 -8.263 -10.562 -12.212 0.350 18.782 17.904 17.639 13.644 24.146 22.771 22.678 17.722 22.691 20.176 19.111 17.721 3,930. 3,930. 3,930. 3,634.
36 -8.043 -10.475 -12.087 1.392 19.253 18.135 17.963 13.997 24.995 23.485 23.347 18.331 23.668 21.021 19.977 18.280 4,099. 4,099. 4,099. 3,726.
39 -8.202 -10.765 ******* 1.793 18.800 18.069 ******* 13.378 24.649 23.424 ******* 17.728 23.247 20.807 -9999.00 17.640 4,518. 4,518. 0. 4,113.
42 -4.011 -6.204 ******* 1.620 15.940 14.633 ******* 13.548 20.729 19.393 ******* 17.287 20.339 18.377 -9999.00 17.213 4,272. 4,272. 0. 3,871.
45 -2.633 -4.913 ******* 0.585 15.233 13.954 ******* 13.220 19.874 18.569 ******* 17.193 19.701 17.909 -9999.00 17.185 4,307. 4,307. 0. 3,923.
48 -1.383 -3.250 ******* 0.344 15.521 13.746 ******* 13.151 20.328 18.094 ******* 16.970 20.283 17.802 -9999.00 16.969 4,441. 4,441. 0. 4,048.


12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of RELH (RH Percent ) From 1999091500 to 1999111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -0.943 -1.071 ******* 7.510 13.632 13.686 ******* 13.851 17.916 17.947 ******* 20.013 17.893 17.917 -9999.00 18.553 4,303. 4,303. 0. 4,303.
3 -1.615 -2.899 ******* -1.121 14.375 13.931 ******* 13.673 18.462 17.863 ******* 17.690 18.393 17.628 -9999.00 17.657 4,705. 4,705. 0. 4,620.
6 -0.956 -2.872 ******* 0.412 13.775 13.411 ******* 12.885 17.683 17.401 ******* 16.507 17.659 17.164 -9999.00 16.503 4,440. 4,440. 0. 4,354.
9 -0.871 -2.322 ******* -0.450 12.980 12.614 ******* 11.760 16.972 16.400 ******* 15.489 16.952 16.236 -9999.00 15.484 4,564. 4,564. 0. 4,477.
12 -1.095 -2.020 -1.256 -0.311 12.989 12.384 12.414 11.879 17.247 16.258 16.270 15.509 17.214 16.134 16.223 15.508 4,632. 4,632. 4,632. 4,550.
15 -7.380 -7.223 -7.222 -1.522 16.533 15.139 14.954 13.486 21.166 19.387 19.199 17.335 19.840 17.993 17.791 17.270 4,533. 4,533. 4,533. 4,449.
18 -7.295 -8.255 -9.848 -0.690 17.855 16.193 16.023 13.661 22.629 20.681 20.659 17.570 21.423 18.964 18.164 17.559 4,153. 4,153. 4,153. 4,092.
21 -8.145 -9.543 -11.301 -0.197 18.348 16.980 17.044 13.615 23.439 21.551 21.698 17.574 21.981 19.326 18.526 17.575 3,940. 3,940. 3,940. 3,749.
24 -7.260 -9.073 -10.950 1.223 18.450 17.172 17.239 13.622 24.023 22.133 22.239 17.812 22.902 20.190 19.359 17.772 4,223. 4,223. 4,223. 4,065.
27 -7.338 -9.296 -11.231 1.696 18.663 17.328 17.312 13.458 24.140 22.363 22.262 17.684 23.000 20.341 19.224 17.604 4,616. 4,616. 4,616. 4,294.
30 -3.179 -5.368 -5.506 1.535 16.163 14.355 14.140 13.385 20.872 19.011 18.687 17.087 20.631 18.239 17.860 17.020 4,376. 4,376. 4,376. 4,209.
33 -1.851 -4.267 -3.741 0.019 14.567 13.413 12.996 12.479 18.960 17.701 17.087 16.379 18.872 17.181 16.674 16.381 4,389. 4,389. 4,389. 4,093.
36 -1.051 -2.873 -1.841 0.155 14.604 13.015 12.678 12.525 19.069 17.190 16.631 16.366 19.042 16.950 16.531 16.367 4,514. 4,514. 4,514. 4,269.
39 -7.243 -7.904 ******* -1.194 17.764 15.807 ******* 13.786 22.854 20.387 ******* 17.855 21.678 18.795 -9999.00 17.817 4,637. 4,637. 0. 4,225.
42 -7.225 -8.888 ******* -0.196 18.734 17.102 ******* 13.996 24.036 21.890 ******* 18.089 22.927 20.006 -9999.00 18.090 4,155. 4,155. 0. 3,960.
45 -8.666 -10.358 ******* 0.425 19.011 17.477 ******* 13.783 24.676 22.457 ******* 18.006 23.108 19.928 -9999.00 18.003 3,778. 3,778. 0. 3,440.
48 -8.526 -10.399 ******* 1.386 19.117 17.564 ******* 13.712 25.007 22.938 ******* 18.229 23.512 20.448 -9999.00 18.178 4,102. 4,102. 0. 3,801.