MM5 Statistics
0Z Stats 12Z Stats
00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of TEM2 (Avg Sfc/Lowest Sigma Temp Kelvin )
From 1999091500 to 1999111412
Forecast Hour |
Mean Error |
Mean Absolute Error |
Root Mean Square Error |
Standard Deviation |
Number of Obs |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
ETA 32 km |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
ETA 32 km |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
ETA 32 km |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
ETA 32 km |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
ETA 32 km |
0 |
-0.729 |
-0.456 |
******* |
0.458 |
2.324 |
2.260 |
******* |
2.444 |
3.048 |
2.983 |
******* |
3.171 |
2.960 |
2.948 |
-9999.00 |
3.138 |
5,830. |
5,830. |
0. |
5,467. |
3 |
1.244 |
1.500 |
******* |
-1.951 |
2.324 |
2.368 |
******* |
2.938 |
3.049 |
3.195 |
******* |
3.649 |
2.783 |
2.822 |
-9999.00 |
3.084 |
5,819. |
5,819. |
0. |
5,433. |
6 |
1.594 |
1.864 |
******* |
-1.779 |
2.672 |
2.722 |
******* |
2.975 |
3.491 |
3.647 |
******* |
3.716 |
3.106 |
3.135 |
-9999.00 |
3.263 |
5,177. |
5,177. |
0. |
4,863. |
9 |
1.719 |
1.975 |
******* |
-1.931 |
2.774 |
2.812 |
******* |
3.081 |
3.655 |
3.785 |
******* |
3.837 |
3.225 |
3.229 |
-9999.00 |
3.315 |
4,975. |
4,975. |
0. |
4,681. |
12 |
1.745 |
1.960 |
2.017 |
-2.122 |
2.807 |
2.806 |
2.859 |
3.216 |
3.716 |
3.791 |
3.867 |
4.035 |
3.281 |
3.245 |
3.300 |
3.432 |
4,962. |
4,962. |
4,962. |
4,612. |
15 |
1.563 |
1.762 |
1.587 |
-2.286 |
2.808 |
2.767 |
2.659 |
3.324 |
3.718 |
3.717 |
3.560 |
4.213 |
3.374 |
3.273 |
3.187 |
3.539 |
5,873. |
5,873. |
5,873. |
5,474. |
18 |
0.221 |
0.468 |
0.067 |
-0.110 |
2.385 |
2.183 |
2.096 |
2.709 |
3.175 |
2.938 |
2.820 |
3.444 |
3.168 |
2.900 |
2.819 |
3.443 |
5,580. |
5,580. |
5,580. |
5,191. |
21 |
-0.285 |
-0.043 |
-0.329 |
1.035 |
2.456 |
2.167 |
2.111 |
2.736 |
3.242 |
2.954 |
2.880 |
3.540 |
3.230 |
2.954 |
2.861 |
3.385 |
5,590. |
5,590. |
5,590. |
5,197. |
24 |
-0.489 |
-0.212 |
-0.571 |
-0.063 |
2.255 |
2.005 |
2.006 |
2.502 |
2.957 |
2.693 |
2.693 |
3.161 |
2.917 |
2.684 |
2.632 |
3.161 |
5,642. |
5,642. |
5,642. |
5,261. |
27 |
1.124 |
1.187 |
0.926 |
-1.130 |
2.305 |
2.183 |
2.069 |
2.618 |
2.980 |
2.881 |
2.747 |
3.305 |
2.760 |
2.626 |
2.587 |
3.106 |
5,723. |
5,723. |
5,723. |
5,332. |
30 |
1.414 |
1.538 |
1.443 |
-1.173 |
2.613 |
2.551 |
2.435 |
2.754 |
3.354 |
3.324 |
3.189 |
3.483 |
3.042 |
2.947 |
2.844 |
3.280 |
5,039. |
5,039. |
5,039. |
4,724. |
33 |
1.486 |
1.632 |
1.619 |
-1.543 |
2.724 |
2.685 |
2.574 |
2.908 |
3.504 |
3.486 |
3.364 |
3.702 |
3.173 |
3.080 |
2.949 |
3.366 |
4,878. |
4,878. |
4,878. |
4,501. |
36 |
1.502 |
1.627 |
1.677 |
-1.757 |
2.777 |
2.721 |
2.634 |
3.117 |
3.597 |
3.549 |
3.464 |
3.974 |
3.269 |
3.155 |
3.031 |
3.565 |
4,992. |
4,992. |
4,992. |
4,552. |
39 |
1.354 |
1.476 |
******* |
-2.036 |
2.773 |
2.705 |
******* |
3.300 |
3.587 |
3.521 |
******* |
4.236 |
3.322 |
3.197 |
-9999.00 |
3.715 |
5,677. |
5,677. |
0. |
5,172. |
42 |
-0.166 |
0.034 |
******* |
-0.184 |
2.422 |
2.242 |
******* |
2.743 |
3.163 |
2.964 |
******* |
3.468 |
3.159 |
2.964 |
-9999.00 |
3.464 |
5,340. |
5,340. |
0. |
4,837. |
45 |
-0.732 |
-0.377 |
******* |
0.600 |
2.602 |
2.360 |
******* |
2.724 |
3.377 |
3.125 |
******* |
3.488 |
3.297 |
3.103 |
-9999.00 |
3.436 |
5,369. |
5,369. |
0. |
4,891. |
48 |
-0.920 |
-0.575 |
******* |
-0.488 |
2.480 |
2.228 |
******* |
2.648 |
3.214 |
2.943 |
******* |
3.326 |
3.080 |
2.887 |
-9999.00 |
3.290 |
5,420. |
5,420. |
0. |
4,947. |
12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of TEM2 (Avg Sfc/Lowest Sigma Temp Kelvin )
From 1999091500 to 1999111412
Forecast Hour |
Mean Error |
Mean Absolute Error |
Root Mean Square Error |
Standard Deviation |
Number of Obs |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
ETA 32 km |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
ETA 32 km |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
ETA 32 km |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
ETA 32 km |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
ETA 32 km |
0 |
3.354 |
3.591 |
******* |
1.762 |
3.766 |
3.948 |
******* |
3.676 |
5.024 |
5.255 |
******* |
4.703 |
3.740 |
3.837 |
-9999.00 |
4.360 |
5,198. |
5,198. |
0. |
5,198. |
3 |
2.013 |
2.215 |
******* |
-1.038 |
2.927 |
3.020 |
******* |
2.734 |
3.946 |
4.090 |
******* |
3.516 |
3.394 |
3.439 |
-9999.00 |
3.360 |
5,998. |
5,998. |
0. |
5,893. |
6 |
0.480 |
0.743 |
******* |
0.882 |
2.314 |
2.217 |
******* |
2.555 |
3.086 |
2.993 |
******* |
3.249 |
3.048 |
2.899 |
-9999.00 |
3.127 |
5,636. |
5,636. |
0. |
5,530. |
9 |
-0.166 |
0.051 |
******* |
1.583 |
2.333 |
2.138 |
******* |
2.807 |
3.086 |
2.862 |
******* |
3.628 |
3.082 |
2.862 |
-9999.00 |
3.264 |
5,770. |
5,770. |
0. |
5,663. |
12 |
-0.364 |
-0.209 |
-0.139 |
0.388 |
2.125 |
1.965 |
1.960 |
2.385 |
2.810 |
2.621 |
2.621 |
3.008 |
2.786 |
2.612 |
2.618 |
2.983 |
5,727. |
5,727. |
5,727. |
5,629. |
15 |
1.192 |
1.226 |
1.411 |
-0.781 |
2.218 |
2.103 |
2.190 |
2.469 |
2.879 |
2.794 |
2.897 |
3.113 |
2.621 |
2.510 |
2.530 |
3.014 |
5,647. |
5,647. |
5,647. |
5,546. |
18 |
1.443 |
1.550 |
1.959 |
-0.824 |
2.545 |
2.448 |
2.620 |
2.626 |
3.308 |
3.245 |
3.468 |
3.296 |
2.977 |
2.852 |
2.863 |
3.191 |
5,091. |
5,091. |
5,091. |
5,019. |
21 |
1.496 |
1.617 |
2.093 |
-1.211 |
2.663 |
2.592 |
2.767 |
2.794 |
3.473 |
3.424 |
3.670 |
3.515 |
3.135 |
3.018 |
3.014 |
3.301 |
4,892. |
4,892. |
4,892. |
4,651. |
24 |
1.439 |
1.597 |
2.143 |
-1.452 |
2.669 |
2.593 |
2.813 |
2.908 |
3.499 |
3.444 |
3.746 |
3.657 |
3.189 |
3.052 |
3.072 |
3.357 |
5,134. |
5,134. |
5,134. |
4,954. |
27 |
1.334 |
1.506 |
2.060 |
-1.818 |
2.747 |
2.659 |
2.860 |
3.152 |
3.602 |
3.531 |
3.789 |
3.993 |
3.346 |
3.194 |
3.180 |
3.555 |
5,904. |
5,904. |
5,904. |
5,492. |
30 |
-0.133 |
0.097 |
0.317 |
0.137 |
2.374 |
2.155 |
2.154 |
2.593 |
3.132 |
2.888 |
2.902 |
3.298 |
3.130 |
2.887 |
2.885 |
3.295 |
5,569. |
5,569. |
5,569. |
5,364. |
33 |
-0.580 |
-0.284 |
-0.225 |
0.972 |
2.500 |
2.233 |
2.205 |
2.725 |
3.270 |
3.004 |
2.974 |
3.528 |
3.219 |
2.991 |
2.966 |
3.392 |
5,580. |
5,580. |
5,580. |
5,197. |
36 |
-0.736 |
-0.454 |
-0.480 |
-0.273 |
2.375 |
2.109 |
2.092 |
2.521 |
3.074 |
2.799 |
2.798 |
3.168 |
2.985 |
2.762 |
2.756 |
3.156 |
5,605. |
5,605. |
5,605. |
5,313. |
39 |
0.840 |
0.910 |
******* |
-1.227 |
2.259 |
2.130 |
******* |
2.687 |
2.926 |
2.795 |
******* |
3.396 |
2.803 |
2.643 |
-9999.00 |
3.167 |
5,667. |
5,667. |
0. |
5,158. |
42 |
1.174 |
1.316 |
******* |
-1.291 |
2.560 |
2.507 |
******* |
2.791 |
3.287 |
3.238 |
******* |
3.534 |
3.070 |
2.958 |
-9999.00 |
3.290 |
5,011. |
5,011. |
0. |
4,774. |
45 |
1.268 |
1.400 |
******* |
-1.762 |
2.655 |
2.605 |
******* |
3.047 |
3.429 |
3.379 |
******* |
3.868 |
3.187 |
3.075 |
-9999.00 |
3.443 |
4,634. |
4,634. |
0. |
4,198. |
48 |
1.365 |
1.506 |
******* |
-1.914 |
2.746 |
2.669 |
******* |
3.197 |
3.542 |
3.463 |
******* |
4.084 |
3.269 |
3.119 |
-9999.00 |
3.609 |
4,896. |
4,896. |
0. |
4,538. |