MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) From 1999091500 to 1999111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 11.178 11.186 ******* 11.296 11.178 11.186 ******* 11.296 14.222 14.248 ******* 14.354 8.794 8.825 -9999.00 8.857 6,914. 6,914. 0. 6,481.
3 6.913 6.416 ******* 6.000 6.913 6.416 ******* 6.000 8.215 7.819 ******* 7.323 4.439 4.469 -9999.00 4.199 6,855. 6,855. 0. 6,394.
6 7.162 6.642 ******* 5.888 7.162 6.642 ******* 5.888 8.487 8.020 ******* 7.234 4.554 4.495 -9999.00 4.203 6,136. 6,136. 0. 5,754.
9 7.119 6.386 ******* 5.774 7.119 6.386 ******* 5.774 8.287 7.642 ******* 6.963 4.241 4.198 -9999.00 3.892 5,699. 5,699. 0. 5,347.
12 7.157 6.388 7.257 5.736 7.157 6.388 7.257 5.736 8.408 7.729 9.097 6.968 4.414 4.351 5.486 3.956 5,920. 5,920. 5,920. 5,495.
15 7.403 6.562 7.679 5.852 7.403 6.562 7.679 5.852 8.837 8.050 9.197 7.213 4.826 4.663 5.062 4.218 6,989. 6,989. 6,989. 6,505.
18 7.289 6.330 7.059 6.170 7.289 6.330 7.059 6.170 8.808 7.964 8.806 7.587 4.946 4.833 5.264 4.415 6,508. 6,508. 6,508. 6,041.
21 7.509 6.825 7.523 7.164 7.509 6.825 7.523 7.164 8.996 8.429 9.301 8.551 4.954 4.946 5.470 4.669 6,551. 6,551. 6,551. 6,093.
24 7.246 6.685 7.627 6.870 7.246 6.685 7.627 6.870 8.798 8.244 9.326 8.367 4.989 4.826 5.367 4.776 6,701. 6,701. 6,701. 6,231.
27 7.678 7.108 8.409 6.490 7.678 7.108 8.409 6.490 9.143 8.673 9.989 7.862 4.964 4.969 5.392 4.437 6,748. 6,748. 6,748. 6,264.
30 8.052 7.369 8.686 6.546 8.052 7.369 8.686 6.546 9.617 9.024 10.410 7.912 5.260 5.209 5.738 4.444 5,967. 5,967. 5,967. 5,580.
33 8.060 7.111 8.513 6.405 8.060 7.111 8.513 6.405 9.450 8.580 10.097 7.654 4.933 4.800 5.430 4.192 5,582. 5,582. 5,582. 5,125.
36 8.074 7.201 8.357 6.375 8.074 7.201 8.357 6.375 9.455 8.758 10.065 7.725 4.922 4.985 5.609 4.364 5,962. 5,962. 5,962. 5,435.
39 8.321 7.332 ******* 6.436 8.321 7.332 ******* 6.436 9.832 8.946 ******* 7.813 5.237 5.126 -9999.00 4.430 6,740. 6,740. 0. 6,130.
42 7.882 6.948 ******* 6.635 7.882 6.948 ******* 6.635 9.476 8.670 ******* 8.068 5.259 5.186 -9999.00 4.590 6,244. 6,244. 0. 5,636.
45 7.814 7.144 ******* 7.479 7.814 7.144 ******* 7.479 9.294 8.775 ******* 8.885 5.033 5.096 -9999.00 4.798 6,337. 6,337. 0. 5,766.
48 7.438 6.965 ******* 7.109 7.438 6.965 ******* 7.109 9.023 8.613 ******* 8.566 5.108 5.068 -9999.00 4.780 6,478. 6,478. 0. 5,915.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) From 1999091500 to 1999111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 10.969 11.019 ******* 10.457 10.969 11.019 ******* 10.457 13.556 13.602 ******* 12.979 7.965 7.974 -9999.00 7.690 6,188. 6,188. 0. 6,188.
3 6.643 6.218 ******* 5.799 6.643 6.218 ******* 5.799 7.948 7.636 ******* 7.152 4.365 4.432 -9999.00 4.187 7,110. 7,110. 0. 6,981.
6 7.152 6.226 ******* 6.097 7.152 6.226 ******* 6.097 8.628 7.777 ******* 7.507 4.826 4.660 -9999.00 4.380 6,562. 6,562. 0. 6,437.
9 7.279 6.552 ******* 6.975 7.279 6.552 ******* 6.975 8.797 8.161 ******* 8.362 4.940 4.865 -9999.00 4.611 6,746. 6,746. 0. 6,617.
12 6.864 6.348 6.829 6.726 6.864 6.348 6.829 6.726 8.404 7.956 8.712 8.201 4.849 4.797 5.410 4.693 6,796. 6,796. 6,796. 6,675.
15 7.205 6.720 8.114 6.179 7.205 6.720 8.114 6.179 8.596 8.271 9.624 7.542 4.689 4.822 5.175 4.326 6,663. 6,663. 6,663. 6,539.
18 7.286 6.838 8.119 6.143 7.286 6.838 8.119 6.143 8.711 8.312 9.697 7.481 4.774 4.726 5.302 4.271 6,033. 6,033. 6,033. 5,944.
21 7.369 6.651 8.051 6.010 7.369 6.651 8.051 6.010 8.630 7.981 9.566 7.214 4.492 4.412 5.165 3.989 5,607. 5,607. 5,607. 5,317.
24 7.617 6.814 7.950 6.120 7.617 6.814 7.950 6.120 8.914 8.244 9.537 7.422 4.632 4.640 5.269 4.200 6,126. 6,126. 6,126. 5,914.
27 7.846 6.939 8.035 6.094 7.846 6.939 8.035 6.094 9.265 8.468 9.651 7.425 4.927 4.853 5.346 4.242 7,001. 7,001. 7,001. 6,503.
30 7.755 6.685 7.522 6.452 7.755 6.685 7.522 6.452 9.321 8.350 9.323 7.822 5.171 5.005 5.509 4.422 6,485. 6,485. 6,485. 6,234.
33 7.735 7.046 7.959 7.316 7.735 7.046 7.959 7.316 9.176 8.661 9.737 8.672 4.938 5.036 5.609 4.657 6,557. 6,557. 6,557. 6,096.
36 7.427 6.841 7.954 7.051 7.427 6.841 7.954 7.051 8.979 8.416 9.625 8.548 5.045 4.902 5.421 4.832 6,654. 6,654. 6,654. 6,304.
39 7.790 7.190 ******* 6.651 7.790 7.190 ******* 6.651 9.297 8.801 ******* 8.113 5.076 5.077 -9999.00 4.648 6,714. 6,714. 0. 6,091.
42 7.993 7.305 ******* 6.547 7.993 7.305 ******* 6.547 9.575 9.001 ******* 7.968 5.272 5.259 -9999.00 4.542 5,966. 5,966. 0. 5,671.
45 7.985 7.015 ******* 6.433 7.985 7.015 ******* 6.433 9.306 8.473 ******* 7.717 4.778 4.752 -9999.00 4.263 5,361. 5,361. 0. 4,821.
48 7.906 7.018 ******* 6.513 7.906 7.018 ******* 6.513 9.277 8.578 ******* 7.888 4.855 4.933 -9999.00 4.449 5,876. 5,876. 0. 5,435.