MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) From 1999091500 to 1999111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 8.919 9.105 ******* 9.037 68.145 68.087 ******* 69.912 85.379 85.340 ******* 86.767 84.918 84.859 -9999.00 86.302 6,915. 6,915. 0. 6,482.
3 11.728 4.656 ******* 9.946 62.947 59.398 ******* 65.366 80.126 77.810 ******* 82.080 79.269 77.676 -9999.00 81.482 6,859. 6,859. 0. 6,398.
6 12.346 5.207 ******* 9.614 65.476 60.337 ******* 68.611 81.992 77.831 ******* 85.051 81.064 77.663 -9999.00 84.513 6,142. 6,142. 0. 5,760.
9 11.615 4.938 ******* 15.457 69.765 63.065 ******* 72.729 86.388 81.204 ******* 89.268 85.612 81.060 -9999.00 87.928 5,705. 5,705. 0. 5,352.
12 10.311 3.520 5.321 12.917 69.969 63.827 63.752 71.938 86.679 82.333 82.024 87.945 86.070 82.265 81.858 86.999 5,924. 5,924. 5,924. 5,498.
15 14.881 6.518 7.754 14.995 68.878 62.321 62.286 70.747 85.988 80.608 80.462 86.983 84.697 80.350 80.093 85.687 6,992. 6,992. 6,992. 6,507.
18 19.807 10.773 10.261 16.876 70.833 62.140 61.419 70.022 88.388 80.868 80.042 86.726 86.147 80.153 79.387 85.076 6,513. 6,513. 6,513. 6,045.
21 12.096 8.442 8.167 16.328 64.414 57.967 57.002 69.553 82.822 77.514 76.841 87.056 81.940 77.058 76.412 85.518 6,556. 6,556. 6,556. 6,097.
24 9.248 6.949 6.910 13.204 61.827 57.090 56.695 67.807 80.065 76.302 76.568 84.867 79.536 75.991 76.262 83.840 6,703. 6,703. 6,703. 6,232.
27 10.926 6.172 6.714 18.134 65.536 61.825 60.823 68.513 83.460 80.804 79.879 85.138 82.748 80.574 79.602 83.191 6,752. 6,752. 6,752. 6,267.
30 14.486 9.502 9.700 17.895 69.465 65.239 63.960 71.839 86.224 83.253 82.343 88.293 85.006 82.716 81.777 86.469 5,973. 5,973. 5,973. 5,585.
33 14.665 5.968 8.036 15.449 71.986 66.546 65.770 73.447 88.606 85.027 84.169 89.720 87.392 84.825 83.792 88.389 5,588. 5,588. 5,588. 5,130.
36 13.133 7.865 8.070 15.053 72.942 67.378 67.052 73.262 89.406 85.482 85.279 89.106 88.443 85.126 84.903 87.833 5,967. 5,967. 5,967. 5,440.
39 14.287 7.075 ******* 15.709 72.172 66.408 ******* 73.554 88.799 84.642 ******* 89.289 87.649 84.352 -9999.00 87.904 6,745. 6,745. 0. 6,135.
42 15.432 9.701 ******* 15.533 72.554 65.730 ******* 72.960 89.562 84.218 ******* 89.427 88.230 83.664 -9999.00 88.075 6,249. 6,249. 0. 5,641.
45 7.837 4.290 ******* 15.937 66.873 60.827 ******* 72.256 84.764 79.995 ******* 89.291 84.407 79.886 -9999.00 87.865 6,342. 6,342. 0. 5,771.
48 7.790 6.635 ******* 12.747 64.778 59.791 ******* 71.594 82.975 79.080 ******* 88.144 82.615 78.807 -9999.00 87.225 6,480. 6,480. 0. 5,917.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) From 1999091500 to 1999111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 16.558 17.147 ******* 14.426 76.151 76.431 ******* 77.205 92.211 92.540 ******* 93.115 90.719 90.945 -9999.00 91.998 6,192. 6,192. 0. 6,192.
3 11.578 6.343 ******* 12.537 68.965 65.545 ******* 72.755 86.114 83.713 ******* 89.108 85.338 83.479 -9999.00 88.228 7,115. 7,115. 0. 6,986.
6 18.324 9.959 ******* 15.697 68.158 62.199 ******* 68.895 85.763 81.003 ******* 85.710 83.789 80.395 -9999.00 84.267 6,567. 6,567. 0. 6,442.
9 9.531 6.573 ******* 16.544 61.205 53.886 ******* 68.095 79.507 72.449 ******* 85.291 78.939 72.155 -9999.00 83.678 6,751. 6,751. 0. 6,622.
12 7.577 7.158 7.757 14.116 57.235 52.529 52.603 66.381 74.934 71.175 71.177 83.114 74.556 70.819 70.759 81.913 6,798. 6,798. 6,798. 6,677.
15 12.936 5.567 5.933 17.238 63.960 59.587 59.574 67.050 81.639 78.357 78.146 83.402 80.613 78.164 77.926 81.607 6,667. 6,667. 6,667. 6,543.
18 12.991 6.784 6.450 15.363 67.625 63.002 62.107 70.439 84.444 81.094 80.257 86.886 83.445 80.817 80.004 85.525 6,039. 6,039. 6,039. 5,950.
21 13.515 6.104 7.786 16.277 71.263 65.094 64.493 74.132 87.738 83.321 82.743 90.297 86.699 83.104 82.383 88.826 5,612. 5,612. 5,612. 5,322.
24 13.907 7.351 7.650 15.022 71.623 65.554 64.814 72.448 88.247 83.805 83.132 88.335 87.151 83.489 82.786 87.056 6,131. 6,131. 6,131. 5,919.
27 15.117 6.240 7.801 17.102 71.105 64.634 64.650 72.896 88.043 82.767 82.486 88.759 86.742 82.537 82.122 87.102 7,006. 7,006. 7,006. 6,508.
30 19.268 8.928 8.684 17.398 72.284 64.429 63.866 72.504 89.607 83.424 82.766 89.089 87.517 82.951 82.315 87.381 6,490. 6,490. 6,490. 6,239.
33 8.425 6.029 6.128 13.367 65.983 59.578 59.236 71.164 84.186 79.085 78.887 88.220 83.770 78.861 78.654 87.208 6,562. 6,562. 6,562. 6,101.
36 7.245 6.342 6.417 10.352 64.193 58.278 58.332 69.264 82.530 77.449 77.953 86.102 82.218 77.195 77.694 85.484 6,656. 6,656. 6,656. 6,306.
39 12.154 4.761 ******* 14.742 68.440 64.643 ******* 69.169 86.171 83.565 ******* 85.752 85.315 83.436 -9999.00 84.483 6,717. 6,717. 0. 6,094.
42 17.320 8.361 ******* 17.488 71.247 65.058 ******* 72.290 87.836 82.998 ******* 88.511 86.119 82.582 -9999.00 86.774 5,971. 5,971. 0. 5,676.
45 19.623 8.377 ******* 18.434 73.072 65.630 ******* 73.494 89.641 84.055 ******* 89.568 87.475 83.644 -9999.00 87.660 5,366. 5,366. 0. 4,826.
48 17.926 9.362 ******* 16.676 71.707 64.923 ******* 72.393 88.466 83.420 ******* 88.508 86.638 82.900 -9999.00 86.931 5,880. 5,880. 0. 5,439.