MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1999091500 to 1999111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 12.450 12.456 ******* 13.032 12.450 12.456 ******* 13.032 15.349 15.359 ******* 15.951 8.979 8.987 -9999.00 9.199 3,048. 3,048. 0. 2,831.
3 8.621 8.198 ******* 8.663 8.621 8.198 ******* 8.663 10.245 9.826 ******* 10.124 5.536 5.419 -9999.00 5.239 2,276. 2,276. 0. 2,124.
6 9.055 8.252 ******* 8.802 9.055 8.252 ******* 8.802 10.841 9.965 ******* 10.300 5.963 5.588 -9999.00 5.351 1,804. 1,804. 0. 1,716.
9 8.618 7.632 ******* 8.500 8.618 7.632 ******* 8.500 10.083 9.156 ******* 9.823 5.235 5.058 -9999.00 4.924 1,577. 1,577. 0. 1,481.
12 8.939 7.849 8.735 8.657 8.939 7.849 8.735 8.657 10.470 9.436 10.651 9.970 5.452 5.239 6.097 4.947 1,695. 1,695. 1,695. 1,575.
15 9.317 8.252 8.784 8.919 9.317 8.252 8.784 8.919 11.084 10.003 10.522 10.361 6.006 5.655 5.793 5.273 2,119. 2,119. 2,119. 1,978.
18 9.396 8.212 8.735 8.868 9.396 8.212 8.735 8.868 11.063 9.994 10.584 10.238 5.841 5.697 5.977 5.117 2,410. 2,410. 2,410. 2,245.
21 8.890 8.084 8.624 9.033 8.890 8.084 8.624 9.033 10.439 9.784 10.470 10.426 5.472 5.512 5.938 5.206 3,070. 3,070. 3,070. 2,872.
24 8.640 8.030 8.699 9.011 8.640 8.030 8.699 9.011 10.472 9.778 10.575 10.548 5.919 5.580 6.014 5.483 2,940. 2,940. 2,940. 2,741.
27 9.393 8.785 9.419 9.059 9.393 8.785 9.419 9.059 11.200 10.594 11.234 10.582 6.102 5.922 6.124 5.470 2,248. 2,248. 2,248. 2,105.
30 10.151 9.180 9.807 9.335 10.151 9.180 9.807 9.335 12.148 11.228 11.910 10.849 6.675 6.467 6.760 5.529 1,775. 1,775. 1,775. 1,679.
33 9.763 8.652 9.353 8.978 9.763 8.652 9.353 8.978 11.462 10.343 11.031 10.332 6.008 5.669 5.851 5.114 1,567. 1,567. 1,567. 1,463.
36 9.981 9.018 9.688 9.189 9.981 9.018 9.688 9.189 11.751 10.906 11.588 10.779 6.204 6.134 6.360 5.636 1,758. 1,758. 1,758. 1,617.
39 10.306 9.208 ******* 9.286 10.306 9.208 ******* 9.286 12.200 11.112 ******* 10.894 6.531 6.223 -9999.00 5.698 2,059. 2,059. 0. 1,907.
42 10.136 9.009 ******* 9.273 10.136 9.009 ******* 9.273 11.910 10.855 ******* 10.737 6.254 6.057 -9999.00 5.413 2,315. 2,315. 0. 2,094.
45 9.190 8.467 ******* 9.337 9.190 8.467 ******* 9.337 10.776 10.198 ******* 10.803 5.627 5.686 -9999.00 5.434 2,967. 2,967. 0. 2,690.
48 8.979 8.420 ******* 9.223 8.979 8.420 ******* 9.223 10.811 10.255 ******* 10.804 6.022 5.855 -9999.00 5.627 2,836. 2,836. 0. 2,567.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1999091500 to 1999111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 13.297 13.347 ******* 13.128 13.297 13.347 ******* 13.128 15.468 15.498 ******* 15.245 7.905 7.878 -9999.00 7.752 1,815. 1,815. 0. 1,815.
3 8.617 8.394 ******* 8.913 8.617 8.394 ******* 8.913 10.084 9.943 ******* 10.320 5.240 5.331 -9999.00 5.203 2,144. 2,144. 0. 2,110.
6 9.037 7.968 ******* 8.678 9.037 7.968 ******* 8.678 10.540 9.624 ******* 10.082 5.426 5.398 -9999.00 5.134 2,421. 2,421. 0. 2,379.
9 8.623 7.807 ******* 8.866 8.623 7.807 ******* 8.866 10.129 9.460 ******* 10.239 5.315 5.344 -9999.00 5.122 3,175. 3,175. 0. 3,122.
12 8.203 7.665 8.113 8.840 8.203 7.665 8.113 8.840 10.006 9.449 10.110 10.349 5.731 5.526 6.034 5.382 3,008. 3,008. 3,008. 2,971.
15 9.016 8.581 9.263 8.960 9.016 8.581 9.263 8.960 10.723 10.393 11.043 10.410 5.806 5.865 6.012 5.300 2,200. 2,200. 2,200. 2,170.
18 9.270 8.558 9.279 9.029 9.270 8.558 9.279 9.029 11.107 10.277 11.137 10.497 6.120 5.693 6.161 5.357 1,792. 1,792. 1,792. 1,780.
21 9.079 8.277 8.974 8.821 9.079 8.277 8.974 8.821 10.594 9.850 10.574 10.172 5.461 5.341 5.596 5.067 1,571. 1,571. 1,571. 1,461.
24 9.436 8.488 9.063 9.058 9.436 8.488 9.063 9.058 11.051 10.172 10.846 10.526 5.754 5.608 5.960 5.363 1,801. 1,801. 1,801. 1,750.
27 9.668 8.612 9.305 9.121 9.668 8.612 9.305 9.121 11.460 10.455 11.173 10.595 6.156 5.929 6.185 5.392 2,121. 2,121. 2,121. 1,955.
30 9.790 8.430 9.015 8.979 9.790 8.430 9.015 8.979 11.516 10.205 10.896 10.389 6.065 5.753 6.121 5.228 2,408. 2,408. 2,408. 2,330.
33 9.048 8.256 8.949 9.215 9.048 8.256 8.949 9.215 10.600 9.978 10.795 10.600 5.522 5.606 6.039 5.240 3,083. 3,083. 3,083. 2,814.
36 8.927 8.194 8.998 9.135 8.927 8.194 8.998 9.135 10.769 9.978 10.879 10.730 6.024 5.695 6.114 5.631 2,934. 2,934. 2,934. 2,773.
39 9.712 9.087 ******* 9.429 9.712 9.087 ******* 9.429 11.693 11.004 ******* 11.092 6.513 6.208 -9999.00 5.842 2,245. 2,245. 0. 2,061.
42 10.222 9.324 ******* 9.507 10.222 9.324 ******* 9.507 12.412 11.459 ******* 11.147 7.042 6.663 -9999.00 5.823 1,776. 1,776. 0. 1,718.
45 9.802 8.751 ******* 9.053 9.802 8.751 ******* 9.053 11.424 10.394 ******* 10.522 5.870 5.610 -9999.00 5.365 1,547. 1,547. 0. 1,411.
48 9.936 8.974 ******* 9.184 9.936 8.974 ******* 9.184 11.723 10.801 ******* 10.754 6.223 6.014 -9999.00 5.597 1,786. 1,786. 0. 1,684.