MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1999091500 to 1999111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 10.272 10.359 ******* 13.032 10.272 10.359 ******* 13.032 12.300 12.430 ******* 15.951 6.766 6.872 -9999.00 9.199 3,048. 3,048. 0. 2,831.
3 8.027 7.703 ******* 8.663 8.027 7.703 ******* 8.663 9.542 9.260 ******* 10.124 5.159 5.139 -9999.00 5.239 2,276. 2,276. 0. 2,124.
6 8.280 7.567 ******* 8.802 8.280 7.567 ******* 8.802 9.905 9.199 ******* 10.300 5.439 5.233 -9999.00 5.351 1,804. 1,804. 0. 1,716.
9 7.929 7.112 ******* 8.500 7.929 7.112 ******* 8.500 9.274 8.483 ******* 9.823 4.811 4.626 -9999.00 4.924 1,577. 1,577. 0. 1,481.
12 8.366 7.435 7.765 8.657 8.366 7.435 7.765 8.657 9.735 8.852 9.262 9.970 4.979 4.805 5.049 4.947 1,695. 1,695. 1,695. 1,575.
15 8.663 7.785 7.666 8.919 8.663 7.785 7.666 8.919 10.256 9.375 9.300 10.361 5.491 5.225 5.267 5.273 2,119. 2,119. 2,119. 1,978.
18 8.845 7.908 7.797 8.868 8.845 7.908 7.797 8.868 10.326 9.498 9.485 10.238 5.330 5.262 5.403 5.117 2,410. 2,410. 2,410. 2,245.
21 8.368 7.679 7.612 9.033 8.368 7.679 7.612 9.033 9.760 9.203 9.255 10.426 5.024 5.074 5.265 5.206 3,070. 3,070. 3,070. 2,872.
24 8.052 7.552 7.509 9.011 8.052 7.552 7.509 9.011 9.691 9.141 9.214 10.548 5.393 5.150 5.341 5.483 2,940. 2,940. 2,940. 2,741.
27 8.495 8.043 7.916 9.059 8.495 8.043 7.916 9.059 10.154 9.726 9.662 10.582 5.564 5.469 5.542 5.470 2,248. 2,248. 2,248. 2,105.
30 9.121 8.391 8.297 9.335 9.121 8.391 8.297 9.335 10.924 10.306 10.297 10.849 6.014 5.986 6.100 5.529 1,775. 1,775. 1,775. 1,679.
33 8.798 7.956 7.862 8.978 8.798 7.956 7.862 8.978 10.288 9.428 9.365 10.332 5.334 5.061 5.090 5.114 1,567. 1,567. 1,567. 1,463.
36 9.192 8.447 8.405 9.189 9.192 8.447 8.405 9.189 10.816 10.195 10.198 10.779 5.702 5.709 5.777 5.636 1,758. 1,758. 1,758. 1,617.
39 9.418 8.593 ******* 9.286 9.418 8.593 ******* 9.286 11.148 10.347 ******* 10.894 5.966 5.766 -9999.00 5.698 2,059. 2,059. 0. 1,907.
42 9.394 8.538 ******* 9.273 9.394 8.538 ******* 9.273 11.022 10.254 ******* 10.737 5.766 5.679 -9999.00 5.413 2,315. 2,315. 0. 2,094.
45 8.725 8.131 ******* 9.337 8.725 8.131 ******* 9.337 10.221 9.717 ******* 10.803 5.325 5.321 -9999.00 5.434 2,967. 2,967. 0. 2,690.
48 8.391 7.966 ******* 9.223 8.391 7.966 ******* 9.223 10.075 9.657 ******* 10.804 5.577 5.460 -9999.00 5.627 2,836. 2,836. 0. 2,567.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1999091500 to 1999111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 10.966 11.037 ******* 13.128 10.966 11.037 ******* 13.128 12.623 12.691 ******* 15.245 6.254 6.266 -9999.00 7.752 1,815. 1,815. 0. 1,815.
3 8.088 7.902 ******* 8.913 8.088 7.902 ******* 8.913 9.454 9.338 ******* 10.320 4.896 4.976 -9999.00 5.203 2,144. 2,144. 0. 2,110.
6 8.409 7.610 ******* 8.678 8.409 7.610 ******* 8.678 9.745 9.058 ******* 10.082 4.926 4.913 -9999.00 5.134 2,421. 2,421. 0. 2,379.
9 8.136 7.400 ******* 8.866 8.136 7.400 ******* 8.866 9.423 8.837 ******* 10.239 4.755 4.831 -9999.00 5.122 3,175. 3,175. 0. 3,122.
12 7.708 7.246 7.363 8.840 7.708 7.246 7.363 8.840 9.273 8.811 9.022 10.349 5.155 5.014 5.216 5.382 3,008. 3,008. 3,008. 2,971.
15 8.286 7.922 7.835 8.960 8.286 7.922 7.835 8.960 9.848 9.583 9.557 10.410 5.322 5.393 5.474 5.300 2,200. 2,200. 2,200. 2,170.
18 8.509 7.885 7.850 9.029 8.509 7.885 7.850 9.029 10.193 9.531 9.625 10.497 5.613 5.356 5.572 5.357 1,792. 1,792. 1,792. 1,780.
21 8.389 7.720 7.617 8.821 8.389 7.720 7.617 8.821 9.750 9.139 9.066 10.172 4.971 4.893 4.920 5.067 1,571. 1,571. 1,571. 1,461.
24 8.784 8.018 7.884 9.058 8.784 8.018 7.884 9.058 10.255 9.551 9.504 10.526 5.292 5.191 5.309 5.363 1,801. 1,801. 1,801. 1,750.
27 8.915 8.079 8.104 9.121 8.915 8.079 8.104 9.121 10.533 9.730 9.822 10.595 5.611 5.424 5.551 5.392 2,121. 2,121. 2,121. 1,955.
30 9.076 8.021 7.938 8.979 9.076 8.021 7.938 8.979 10.618 9.617 9.658 10.389 5.513 5.307 5.502 5.228 2,408. 2,408. 2,408. 2,330.
33 8.530 7.862 7.860 9.215 8.530 7.862 7.860 9.215 9.971 9.414 9.551 10.600 5.163 5.179 5.428 5.240 3,083. 3,083. 3,083. 2,814.
36 8.322 7.729 7.772 9.135 8.322 7.729 7.772 9.135 9.977 9.347 9.484 10.730 5.504 5.256 5.436 5.631 2,934. 2,934. 2,934. 2,773.
39 8.827 8.416 ******* 9.429 8.827 8.416 ******* 9.429 10.661 10.238 ******* 11.092 5.979 5.832 -9999.00 5.842 2,245. 2,245. 0. 2,061.
42 9.293 8.588 ******* 9.507 9.293 8.588 ******* 9.507 11.266 10.565 ******* 11.147 6.370 6.154 -9999.00 5.823 1,776. 1,776. 0. 1,718.
45 8.878 8.121 ******* 9.053 8.878 8.121 ******* 9.053 10.381 9.613 ******* 10.522 5.382 5.144 -9999.00 5.365 1,547. 1,547. 0. 1,411.
48 9.177 8.469 ******* 9.184 9.177 8.469 ******* 9.184 10.831 10.158 ******* 10.754 5.754 5.610 -9999.00 5.597 1,786. 1,786. 0. 1,684.