MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1999091500 to 1999111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 16.033 16.129 ******* 18.948 52.054 52.007 ******* 54.593 67.691 67.701 ******* 69.984 65.775 65.763 -9999.00 67.382 3,048. 3,048. 0. 2,831.
3 14.208 6.879 ******* 16.872 44.144 39.890 ******* 48.011 60.033 56.749 ******* 62.981 58.341 56.343 -9999.00 60.693 2,276. 2,276. 0. 2,124.
6 17.879 8.416 ******* 18.582 43.147 36.998 ******* 47.448 57.094 51.979 ******* 62.051 54.237 51.307 -9999.00 59.220 1,804. 1,804. 0. 1,716.
9 20.561 9.261 ******* 22.608 47.200 38.933 ******* 50.577 62.428 55.140 ******* 66.095 58.964 54.374 -9999.00 62.129 1,577. 1,577. 0. 1,481.
12 20.441 10.840 12.544 22.683 48.632 40.279 40.250 49.815 64.360 57.445 56.737 64.843 61.046 56.430 55.350 60.765 1,695. 1,695. 1,695. 1,575.
15 17.676 6.967 8.112 20.368 47.448 38.753 38.276 49.775 63.444 55.265 54.256 64.469 60.946 54.837 53.659 61.182 2,119. 2,119. 2,119. 1,978.
18 27.915 11.751 11.751 21.486 51.813 40.682 40.636 50.419 68.654 57.532 57.897 64.283 62.735 56.331 56.704 60.599 2,410. 2,410. 2,410. 2,245.
21 17.025 12.181 11.317 23.561 47.451 40.941 40.952 53.938 64.376 59.094 59.717 70.274 62.094 57.834 58.644 66.218 3,070. 3,070. 3,070. 2,872.
24 13.456 6.836 8.669 20.332 45.582 41.675 41.592 52.026 62.476 60.244 61.079 67.367 61.020 59.865 60.471 64.237 2,940. 2,940. 2,940. 2,741.
27 12.929 8.489 11.677 20.717 46.414 43.171 41.870 51.130 63.266 61.851 60.775 66.708 61.945 61.280 59.656 63.424 2,248. 2,248. 2,248. 2,105.
30 20.770 12.294 11.044 23.207 49.867 45.029 43.469 51.664 66.571 63.512 62.056 67.693 63.266 62.329 61.083 63.610 1,775. 1,775. 1,775. 1,679.
33 25.368 12.119 14.735 24.236 53.577 46.387 44.687 54.623 70.506 65.368 62.810 70.572 65.805 64.256 61.077 66.303 1,567. 1,567. 1,567. 1,463.
36 21.656 9.810 11.395 24.290 53.163 47.112 46.968 52.052 68.880 65.606 65.503 66.679 65.406 64.887 64.523 62.117 1,758. 1,758. 1,758. 1,617.
39 20.172 8.024 ******* 21.872 53.252 46.371 ******* 52.849 69.336 64.577 ******* 67.857 66.353 64.092 -9999.00 64.252 2,059. 2,059. 0. 1,907.
42 24.220 11.322 ******* 23.704 54.805 44.890 ******* 52.627 70.596 62.657 ******* 66.477 66.325 61.639 -9999.00 62.122 2,315. 2,315. 0. 2,094.
45 13.991 6.984 ******* 23.319 50.310 44.204 ******* 56.763 66.761 62.310 ******* 72.377 65.289 61.928 -9999.00 68.531 2,967. 2,967. 0. 2,690.
48 11.848 6.769 ******* 21.817 48.188 43.536 ******* 56.143 65.513 62.116 ******* 71.368 64.444 61.757 -9999.00 67.964 2,836. 2,836. 0. 2,567.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1999091500 to 1999111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 27.644 27.148 ******* 26.909 56.331 56.691 ******* 56.728 72.043 72.571 ******* 72.119 66.546 67.321 -9999.00 66.930 1,815. 1,815. 0. 1,815.
3 12.652 7.960 ******* 17.682 45.735 42.620 ******* 50.469 62.149 59.878 ******* 65.775 60.862 59.361 -9999.00 63.368 2,144. 2,144. 0. 2,110.
6 23.871 11.840 ******* 20.292 47.752 39.920 ******* 48.163 63.690 57.284 ******* 62.234 59.060 56.058 -9999.00 58.845 2,421. 2,421. 0. 2,379.
9 13.724 9.527 ******* 22.430 44.690 37.794 ******* 52.978 60.963 54.309 ******* 68.846 59.407 53.475 -9999.00 65.100 3,175. 3,175. 0. 3,122.
12 10.292 7.938 8.255 20.342 41.272 37.290 37.156 51.366 56.513 53.936 53.521 66.246 55.577 53.357 52.890 63.057 3,008. 3,008. 3,008. 2,971.
15 14.082 10.205 12.050 19.668 45.639 40.316 40.170 50.268 60.869 57.512 57.448 64.957 59.231 56.613 56.182 61.922 2,200. 2,200. 2,200. 2,170.
18 18.224 12.167 11.681 22.760 45.205 40.500 39.819 49.612 60.532 57.680 57.111 64.702 57.740 56.398 55.919 60.584 1,792. 1,792. 1,792. 1,780.
21 20.203 11.452 15.228 24.116 50.290 43.512 43.113 55.048 66.347 61.060 60.817 71.833 63.216 59.995 58.898 67.687 1,571. 1,571. 1,571. 1,461.
24 18.887 6.951 10.649 22.367 50.533 43.577 42.766 51.870 66.488 61.492 60.681 66.732 63.767 61.115 59.755 62.890 1,801. 1,801. 1,801. 1,750.
27 17.146 6.263 8.859 20.943 49.205 41.733 41.813 52.488 65.455 58.930 59.205 67.650 63.184 58.611 58.552 64.343 2,121. 2,121. 2,121. 1,955.
30 27.419 10.751 12.711 23.185 52.224 42.349 41.715 52.505 68.640 59.793 59.425 66.763 62.939 58.831 58.062 62.621 2,408. 2,408. 2,408. 2,330.
33 13.797 10.081 10.241 20.464 49.173 42.293 42.886 55.779 66.110 60.307 61.715 71.636 64.665 59.468 60.869 68.663 3,083. 3,083. 3,083. 2,814.
36 11.919 7.258 8.361 18.695 47.169 41.761 42.098 52.918 64.330 59.520 60.986 67.935 63.226 59.086 60.420 65.324 2,934. 2,934. 2,934. 2,773.
39 16.938 8.247 ******* 18.816 49.278 45.640 ******* 52.222 66.249 64.050 ******* 67.029 64.061 63.531 -9999.00 64.349 2,245. 2,245. 0. 2,061.
42 20.156 11.538 ******* 20.934 51.947 45.215 ******* 52.866 68.872 62.914 ******* 67.954 65.876 61.864 -9999.00 64.669 1,776. 1,776. 0. 1,718.
45 23.461 12.130 ******* 22.662 55.014 47.393 ******* 54.703 71.366 65.824 ******* 70.669 67.421 64.717 -9999.00 66.961 1,547. 1,547. 0. 1,411.
48 20.837 8.812 ******* 21.329 51.940 45.334 ******* 50.024 67.811 63.072 ******* 65.044 64.548 62.471 -9999.00 61.466 1,786. 1,786. 0. 1,684.