MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of RELH (RH Percent ) From 1999111500 to 2000022912

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 4.043 4.281 ******* 8.940 10.487 10.626 ******* 12.440 13.600 13.775 ******* 16.332 12.986 13.094 -9999.00 13.669 13,451. 13,451. 0. 13,160.
3 -1.072 -1.853 ******* 2.154 10.211 9.481 ******* 8.782 13.486 12.556 ******* 11.790 13.443 12.419 -9999.00 11.592 13,240. 13,240. 0. 12,943.
6 -1.343 -3.608 -3.256 1.501 10.474 10.326 10.298 8.699 14.050 13.849 13.889 11.737 13.987 13.371 13.502 11.641 12,945. 12,945. 11,283. 12,638.
9 -1.772 -4.676 -5.596 1.430 10.552 10.726 10.973 8.422 14.390 14.575 15.074 11.524 14.282 13.805 13.997 11.435 12,603. 12,603. 10,938. 12,305.
12 -2.047 -5.316 -6.391 1.067 10.614 11.063 11.357 8.083 14.673 15.189 15.716 11.153 14.530 14.229 14.359 11.102 12,500. 12,500. 12,500. 12,215.
15 -2.483 -5.790 -7.160 1.355 10.812 11.385 11.878 7.798 15.026 15.710 16.411 10.917 14.820 14.605 14.767 10.833 12,905. 12,905. 12,905. 12,556.
18 -1.988 -5.075 -5.786 5.407 12.052 11.960 12.020 9.609 16.123 16.034 16.158 13.100 16.001 15.211 15.087 11.932 13,051. 13,051. 13,051. 12,756.
21 -1.960 -4.875 -5.207 9.868 13.637 13.385 13.192 13.189 17.639 17.408 17.124 17.127 17.531 16.712 16.314 13.999 13,204. 13,204. 13,204. 12,941.
24 -0.727 -3.449 -4.258 9.810 13.409 12.870 12.578 13.053 17.385 16.820 16.559 17.109 17.370 16.463 16.003 14.017 13,132. 13,132. 13,132. 13,014.
27 -2.651 -5.377 -7.100 5.967 12.728 12.541 12.831 9.827 16.811 16.650 17.057 13.432 16.601 15.759 15.510 12.034 13,057. 13,057. 13,057. 12,942.
30 -2.334 -5.665 -7.815 4.479 12.063 12.420 13.023 8.979 16.223 16.718 17.494 12.470 16.055 15.729 15.652 11.639 12,832. 12,832. 12,832. 12,716.
33 -2.362 -5.772 -7.899 3.582 11.850 12.185 12.909 8.461 16.177 16.608 17.483 11.893 16.004 15.574 15.597 11.341 12,475. 12,475. 12,475. 12,364.
36 -2.802 -6.263 -8.293 2.869 11.545 12.209 12.985 8.018 16.073 16.812 17.722 11.388 15.828 15.603 15.663 11.021 12,495. 12,495. 12,495. 12,383.
39 -3.118 -6.674 ******* 2.456 11.419 12.368 ******* 7.784 16.094 17.127 ******* 11.083 15.790 15.773 -9999.00 10.808 13,401. 13,401. 0. 13,274.
42 -1.852 -5.292 ******* 5.643 12.926 13.031 ******* 10.035 17.249 17.457 ******* 13.600 17.150 16.636 -9999.00 12.374 13,454. 13,454. 0. 13,321.
45 -1.524 -4.919 ******* 9.849 14.517 14.593 ******* 13.828 18.715 18.882 ******* 17.728 18.654 18.231 -9999.00 14.741 13,628. 13,628. 0. 13,486.
48 -0.625 -3.882 ******* 9.719 14.477 14.307 ******* 13.600 18.612 18.557 ******* 17.585 18.602 18.147 -9999.00 14.655 13,454. 13,454. 0. 13,325.


12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of RELH (RH Percent ) From 1999111500 to 2000022912

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -2.542 -2.234 ******* 1.835 8.889 8.889 ******* 7.848 11.806 11.884 ******* 10.906 11.529 11.673 -9999.00 10.751 12,757. 12,757. 0. 12,308.
3 -3.629 -3.976 ******* 0.522 10.088 9.429 ******* 7.816 13.669 12.914 ******* 10.851 13.179 12.287 -9999.00 10.839 13,214. 13,214. 0. 12,582.
6 -3.418 -4.696 -4.230 5.153 11.624 11.102 11.029 9.427 15.311 14.749 14.698 12.848 14.925 13.982 14.077 11.770 13,397. 13,397. 11,332. 12,945.
9 -3.125 -4.845 -5.396 10.223 12.889 12.701 13.114 13.312 16.572 16.373 16.855 17.201 16.276 15.640 15.968 13.834 13,524. 13,524. 11,583. 13,078.
12 -1.413 -3.365 -4.417 9.972 12.432 12.061 12.152 13.178 16.054 15.593 15.771 17.220 15.992 15.226 15.140 14.039 12,931. 12,931. 12,931. 12,670.
15 -2.818 -4.956 -6.910 5.781 12.136 11.792 12.273 9.852 15.951 15.533 16.137 13.545 15.700 14.722 14.583 12.250 12,893. 12,893. 12,893. 12,437.
18 -2.686 -5.329 -7.692 4.281 11.876 11.851 12.586 8.903 15.862 15.830 16.704 12.320 15.633 14.906 14.828 11.553 12,777. 12,777. 12,777. 12,508.
21 -2.862 -5.806 -8.328 3.367 11.665 11.963 12.852 8.324 15.821 16.129 17.193 11.694 15.561 15.049 15.042 11.200 12,428. 12,428. 12,428. 12,151.
24 -2.953 -6.125 -8.767 2.866 11.383 11.980 13.045 7.844 15.737 16.421 17.609 11.192 15.458 15.236 15.272 10.820 12,392. 12,392. 12,392. 12,104.
27 -3.297 -6.666 -9.319 2.782 11.334 12.091 13.305 7.592 15.827 16.750 18.082 10.886 15.481 15.367 15.497 10.525 13,052. 13,052. 13,052. 12,763.
30 -2.327 -5.517 -7.570 5.810 12.395 12.628 13.188 9.873 16.583 16.944 17.609 13.465 16.419 16.021 15.900 12.148 13,098. 13,098. 13,098. 12,795.
33 -1.577 -4.560 -5.813 9.992 13.980 13.794 13.967 13.555 18.025 17.934 18.162 17.511 17.957 17.345 17.207 14.380 13,297. 13,297. 13,297. 12,998.
36 -0.358 -3.215 -4.708 9.847 13.786 13.311 13.389 13.337 17.670 17.250 17.393 17.355 17.667 16.948 16.744 14.292 13,021. 13,021. 13,021. 12,706.
39 -2.015 -4.901 ******* 5.898 12.770 12.694 ******* 10.014 16.854 16.869 ******* 13.756 16.734 16.142 -9999.00 12.427 13,633. 13,633. 0. 13,275.
42 -1.680 -5.216 ******* 4.507 12.272 12.613 ******* 9.182 16.529 16.936 ******* 12.814 16.444 16.113 -9999.00 11.996 13,371. 13,371. 0. 13,014.
45 -1.647 -5.156 ******* 3.865 12.140 12.511 ******* 8.826 16.656 17.041 ******* 12.387 16.575 16.243 -9999.00 11.769 11,750. 11,750. 0. 11,279.
48 -1.819 -5.457 ******* 3.232 11.748 12.460 ******* 8.342 16.379 17.204 ******* 11.806 16.279 16.316 -9999.00 11.356 11,911. 11,911. 0. 11,573.