MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) From 1999111500 to 2000022912

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 7.083 7.043 ******* 6.921 7.083 7.043 ******* 6.921 8.707 8.707 ******* 8.585 5.063 5.121 -9999.00 5.080 19,958. 19,958. 0. 19,494.
3 7.858 7.017 ******* 6.793 7.858 7.017 ******* 6.793 9.292 8.506 ******* 8.228 4.959 4.808 -9999.00 4.644 19,558. 19,558. 0. 19,114.
6 8.201 7.119 8.030 6.714 8.201 7.119 8.030 6.714 9.695 8.620 9.942 8.112 5.171 4.861 5.861 4.554 19,076. 19,076. 16,421. 18,627.
9 8.203 7.099 6.912 6.619 8.203 7.099 6.912 6.619 9.649 8.558 8.395 8.018 5.081 4.780 4.765 4.524 17,870. 17,870. 15,430. 17,435.
12 8.503 7.448 7.265 6.684 8.503 7.448 7.265 6.684 9.995 8.989 8.950 8.075 5.254 5.033 5.228 4.531 18,587. 18,587. 18,587. 18,148.
15 8.654 7.622 7.509 6.686 8.654 7.622 7.509 6.686 10.136 9.200 9.196 8.091 5.277 5.153 5.309 4.556 19,389. 19,389. 19,389. 18,842.
18 8.663 7.413 7.235 6.965 8.663 7.413 7.235 6.965 10.218 9.038 9.011 8.386 5.418 5.170 5.372 4.670 19,515. 19,515. 19,515. 19,059.
21 8.115 7.278 7.298 7.256 8.115 7.278 7.298 7.256 9.685 8.968 9.147 8.733 5.287 5.239 5.514 4.859 19,504. 19,504. 19,504. 19,098.
24 7.877 7.223 7.330 7.089 7.877 7.223 7.330 7.089 9.441 8.913 9.166 8.569 5.205 5.224 5.503 4.815 19,518. 19,518. 19,518. 19,327.
27 8.713 7.860 7.850 7.089 8.713 7.860 7.850 7.089 10.320 9.604 9.710 8.571 5.532 5.520 5.715 4.818 19,280. 19,280. 19,280. 19,091.
30 8.771 7.830 7.857 7.096 8.771 7.830 7.857 7.096 10.319 9.464 9.653 8.489 5.436 5.316 5.607 4.660 18,819. 18,819. 18,819. 18,633.
33 8.798 7.798 7.794 7.009 8.798 7.798 7.794 7.009 10.298 9.377 9.524 8.405 5.351 5.207 5.475 4.639 17,701. 17,701. 17,701. 17,537.
36 8.967 7.913 7.799 7.102 8.967 7.913 7.799 7.102 10.516 9.568 9.592 8.493 5.495 5.380 5.584 4.657 18,579. 18,579. 18,579. 18,406.
39 9.017 7.967 ******* 7.243 9.017 7.967 ******* 7.243 10.569 9.658 ******* 8.744 5.514 5.460 -9999.00 4.899 19,950. 19,950. 0. 19,750.
42 8.989 7.822 ******* 7.522 8.989 7.822 ******* 7.522 10.583 9.537 ******* 9.002 5.586 5.456 -9999.00 4.945 19,876. 19,876. 0. 19,679.
45 8.528 7.724 ******* 7.879 8.528 7.724 ******* 7.879 10.206 9.552 ******* 9.403 5.607 5.619 -9999.00 5.132 19,864. 19,864. 0. 19,650.
48 8.351 7.761 ******* 7.615 8.351 7.761 ******* 7.615 10.043 9.648 ******* 9.155 5.580 5.732 -9999.00 5.080 19,778. 19,778. 0. 19,578.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) From 1999111500 to 2000022912

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 7.315 7.179 ******* 6.878 7.315 7.179 ******* 6.878 8.932 8.842 ******* 8.553 5.126 5.161 -9999.00 5.084 18,866. 18,866. 0. 18,168.
3 8.223 7.195 ******* 6.787 8.223 7.195 ******* 6.787 9.695 8.645 ******* 8.236 5.137 4.794 -9999.00 4.665 19,911. 19,911. 0. 18,966.
6 8.549 7.193 7.829 6.962 8.549 7.193 7.829 6.962 10.137 8.792 9.734 8.425 5.448 5.055 5.785 4.744 20,037. 20,037. 16,855. 19,317.
9 7.764 6.867 6.697 7.109 7.764 6.867 6.697 7.109 9.356 8.522 8.353 8.594 5.219 5.046 4.993 4.829 20,010. 20,010. 17,008. 19,311.
12 7.585 6.833 6.904 6.847 7.585 6.833 6.904 6.847 9.045 8.395 8.599 8.297 4.927 4.878 5.126 4.686 19,316. 19,316. 19,316. 18,900.
15 8.371 7.422 7.435 6.936 8.371 7.422 7.435 6.936 9.900 9.021 9.120 8.397 5.286 5.128 5.283 4.734 19,066. 19,066. 19,066. 18,414.
18 8.525 7.458 7.472 6.853 8.525 7.458 7.472 6.853 10.016 9.007 9.128 8.232 5.257 5.049 5.244 4.561 18,743. 18,743. 18,743. 18,330.
21 8.625 7.540 7.459 6.786 8.625 7.540 7.459 6.786 10.071 9.053 9.100 8.150 5.199 5.010 5.213 4.514 17,698. 17,698. 17,698. 17,303.
24 8.790 7.740 7.652 6.926 8.790 7.740 7.652 6.926 10.290 9.319 9.370 8.286 5.350 5.189 5.409 4.548 18,400. 18,400. 18,400. 17,975.
27 8.880 7.880 7.792 7.004 8.880 7.880 7.792 7.004 10.418 9.496 9.547 8.431 5.448 5.300 5.517 4.692 19,708. 19,708. 19,708. 19,246.
30 8.856 7.701 7.648 7.338 8.856 7.701 7.648 7.338 10.474 9.392 9.493 8.814 5.593 5.376 5.623 4.882 19,611. 19,611. 19,611. 19,166.
33 8.482 7.680 7.751 7.602 8.482 7.680 7.751 7.602 10.193 9.497 9.705 9.135 5.653 5.586 5.840 5.065 19,644. 19,644. 19,644. 19,172.
36 8.354 7.668 7.845 7.357 8.354 7.668 7.845 7.357 10.045 9.525 9.839 8.883 5.577 5.651 5.939 4.979 19,434. 19,434. 19,434. 18,949.
39 8.924 8.045 ******* 7.243 8.924 8.045 ******* 7.243 10.675 9.888 ******* 8.758 5.859 5.749 -9999.00 4.924 19,815. 19,815. 0. 19,288.
42 8.924 8.013 ******* 7.235 8.924 8.013 ******* 7.235 10.505 9.686 ******* 8.646 5.542 5.443 -9999.00 4.734 19,274. 19,274. 0. 18,761.
45 8.828 7.989 ******* 7.161 8.828 7.989 ******* 7.161 10.346 9.597 ******* 8.581 5.395 5.318 -9999.00 4.727 16,794. 16,794. 0. 16,145.
48 9.033 8.219 ******* 7.365 9.033 8.219 ******* 7.365 10.666 9.978 ******* 8.814 5.673 5.657 -9999.00 4.842 17,918. 17,918. 0. 17,428.