MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) From 1999111500 to 2000022912

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 6.115 6.130 ******* 6.921 6.115 6.130 ******* 6.921 7.674 7.721 ******* 8.585 4.636 4.696 -9999.00 5.080 19,958. 19,958. 0. 19,494.
3 6.487 5.851 ******* 6.793 6.487 5.851 ******* 6.793 7.926 7.336 ******* 8.228 4.555 4.426 -9999.00 4.644 19,558. 19,558. 0. 19,114.
6 6.736 5.912 6.406 6.714 6.736 5.912 6.406 6.714 8.204 7.377 7.967 8.112 4.683 4.413 4.737 4.554 19,076. 19,076. 16,421. 18,627.
9 6.695 5.857 5.657 6.619 6.695 5.857 5.657 6.619 8.127 7.285 7.119 8.018 4.608 4.332 4.322 4.524 17,870. 17,870. 15,430. 17,435.
12 6.967 6.161 5.964 6.684 6.967 6.161 5.964 6.684 8.452 7.683 7.582 8.075 4.784 4.589 4.682 4.531 18,587. 18,587. 18,587. 18,148.
15 7.082 6.310 6.162 6.686 7.082 6.310 6.162 6.686 8.536 7.840 7.759 8.091 4.766 4.653 4.715 4.556 19,389. 19,389. 19,389. 18,842.
18 7.174 6.242 6.050 6.965 7.174 6.242 6.050 6.965 8.691 7.807 7.707 8.386 4.907 4.688 4.775 4.670 19,515. 19,515. 19,515. 19,059.
21 6.938 6.275 6.213 7.256 6.938 6.275 6.213 7.256 8.488 7.911 7.956 8.733 4.890 4.819 4.971 4.859 19,504. 19,504. 19,504. 19,098.
24 6.680 6.166 6.184 7.089 6.680 6.166 6.184 7.089 8.265 7.840 7.970 8.569 4.867 4.842 5.029 4.815 19,518. 19,518. 19,518. 19,327.
27 7.178 6.549 6.481 7.089 7.178 6.549 6.481 7.089 8.786 8.267 8.284 8.571 5.067 5.045 5.160 4.818 19,280. 19,280. 19,280. 19,091.
30 7.216 6.513 6.468 7.096 7.216 6.513 6.468 7.096 8.742 8.106 8.190 8.489 4.934 4.826 5.023 4.660 18,819. 18,819. 18,819. 18,633.
33 7.182 6.449 6.388 7.009 7.182 6.449 6.388 7.009 8.661 7.972 8.019 8.405 4.841 4.686 4.848 4.639 17,701. 17,701. 17,701. 17,537.
36 7.344 6.562 6.430 7.102 7.344 6.562 6.430 7.102 8.864 8.161 8.122 8.493 4.963 4.852 4.963 4.657 18,579. 18,579. 18,579. 18,406.
39 7.396 6.639 ******* 7.243 7.396 6.639 ******* 7.243 8.918 8.279 ******* 8.744 4.982 4.947 -9999.00 4.899 19,950. 19,950. 0. 19,750.
42 7.462 6.617 ******* 7.522 7.462 6.617 ******* 7.522 8.998 8.252 ******* 9.002 5.027 4.932 -9999.00 4.945 19,876. 19,876. 0. 19,679.
45 7.288 6.676 ******* 7.879 7.288 6.676 ******* 7.879 8.903 8.407 ******* 9.403 5.115 5.109 -9999.00 5.132 19,864. 19,864. 0. 19,650.
48 7.088 6.655 ******* 7.615 7.088 6.655 ******* 7.615 8.753 8.472 ******* 9.155 5.136 5.243 -9999.00 5.080 19,778. 19,778. 0. 19,578.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) From 1999111500 to 2000022912

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 6.095 6.044 ******* 6.878 6.095 6.044 ******* 6.878 7.582 7.565 ******* 8.553 4.509 4.550 -9999.00 5.084 18,866. 18,866. 0. 18,168.
3 6.685 5.924 ******* 6.787 6.685 5.924 ******* 6.787 8.109 7.335 ******* 8.236 4.590 4.325 -9999.00 4.665 19,911. 19,911. 0. 18,966.
6 7.045 6.020 6.352 6.962 7.045 6.020 6.352 6.962 8.581 7.546 7.959 8.425 4.898 4.550 4.796 4.744 20,037. 20,037. 16,855. 19,317.
9 6.685 5.949 5.744 7.109 6.685 5.949 5.744 7.109 8.251 7.546 7.319 8.594 4.837 4.642 4.537 4.829 20,010. 20,010. 17,008. 19,311.
12 6.459 5.839 5.834 6.847 6.459 5.839 5.834 6.847 7.952 7.401 7.475 8.297 4.638 4.548 4.673 4.686 19,316. 19,316. 19,316. 18,900.
15 6.903 6.176 6.119 6.936 6.903 6.176 6.119 6.936 8.435 7.781 7.774 8.397 4.847 4.733 4.794 4.734 19,066. 19,066. 19,066. 18,414.
18 6.994 6.192 6.130 6.853 6.994 6.192 6.130 6.853 8.480 7.708 7.711 8.232 4.796 4.592 4.677 4.561 18,743. 18,743. 18,743. 18,330.
21 7.017 6.206 6.054 6.786 7.017 6.206 6.054 6.786 8.453 7.674 7.596 8.150 4.713 4.514 4.588 4.514 17,698. 17,698. 17,698. 17,303.
24 7.185 6.381 6.244 6.926 7.185 6.381 6.244 6.926 8.664 7.923 7.882 8.286 4.843 4.695 4.810 4.548 18,400. 18,400. 18,400. 17,975.
27 7.260 6.513 6.387 7.004 7.260 6.513 6.387 7.004 8.762 8.082 8.046 8.431 4.906 4.785 4.893 4.692 19,708. 19,708. 19,708. 19,246.
30 7.331 6.467 6.363 7.338 7.331 6.467 6.363 7.338 8.895 8.078 8.075 8.814 5.038 4.840 4.972 4.882 19,611. 19,611. 19,611. 19,166.
33 7.237 6.605 6.566 7.602 7.237 6.605 6.566 7.602 8.870 8.311 8.367 9.135 5.128 5.046 5.185 5.065 19,644. 19,644. 19,644. 19,172.
36 7.086 6.560 6.624 7.357 7.086 6.560 6.624 7.357 8.769 8.356 8.507 8.883 5.165 5.175 5.338 4.979 19,434. 19,434. 19,434. 18,949.
39 7.396 6.752 ******* 7.243 7.396 6.752 ******* 7.243 9.124 8.551 ******* 8.758 5.343 5.247 -9999.00 4.924 19,815. 19,815. 0. 19,288.
42 7.388 6.729 ******* 7.235 7.388 6.729 ******* 7.235 8.966 8.366 ******* 8.646 5.079 4.971 -9999.00 4.734 19,274. 19,274. 0. 18,761.
45 7.298 6.676 ******* 7.161 7.298 6.676 ******* 7.161 8.803 8.243 ******* 8.581 4.923 4.835 -9999.00 4.727 16,794. 16,794. 0. 16,145.
48 7.501 6.875 ******* 7.365 7.501 6.875 ******* 7.365 9.125 8.586 ******* 8.814 5.196 5.142 -9999.00 4.842 17,918. 17,918. 0. 17,428.