MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) From 1999111500 to 2000022912

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 8.107 6.538 ******* 9.550 60.836 60.546 ******* 62.839 78.386 78.039 ******* 79.622 77.968 77.767 -9999.00 79.049 20,054. 20,054. 0. 19,588.
3 17.244 11.708 ******* 13.394 67.193 61.141 ******* 66.750 84.504 79.618 ******* 83.738 82.728 78.755 -9999.00 82.662 19,665. 19,665. 0. 19,219.
6 19.960 10.853 12.709 13.746 68.473 61.376 61.881 66.098 85.560 79.828 80.072 83.033 83.202 79.089 79.060 81.890 19,181. 19,181. 16,513. 18,730.
9 18.294 10.783 6.923 12.569 69.206 62.023 61.522 66.312 86.196 80.642 80.280 83.163 84.234 79.920 79.983 82.210 17,976. 17,976. 15,522. 17,539.
12 18.215 12.324 8.329 12.730 71.135 64.172 62.112 67.768 88.152 82.686 80.921 84.784 86.252 81.764 80.493 83.825 18,689. 18,689. 18,689. 18,249.
15 19.558 11.446 7.733 12.313 71.688 65.576 63.929 68.252 88.708 83.946 82.419 85.058 86.528 83.164 82.057 84.164 19,494. 19,494. 19,494. 18,945.
18 19.610 12.043 8.235 11.503 71.560 64.824 62.545 66.778 88.718 83.609 81.525 83.937 86.526 82.740 81.110 83.147 19,617. 19,617. 19,617. 19,159.
21 14.167 7.615 4.495 8.838 67.754 61.651 60.086 64.500 85.464 80.694 79.297 81.874 84.283 80.336 79.171 81.397 19,603. 19,603. 19,603. 19,195.
24 10.367 4.826 2.368 9.637 66.913 62.739 61.937 65.911 84.533 81.802 81.162 82.575 83.897 81.662 81.130 82.013 19,613. 19,613. 19,613. 19,422.
27 15.590 8.575 6.603 12.489 71.117 65.357 64.250 69.383 88.259 83.770 82.905 86.153 86.874 83.332 82.644 85.245 19,389. 19,389. 19,389. 19,200.
30 17.439 9.252 8.268 11.536 73.094 66.496 65.625 70.791 89.994 84.849 84.138 87.552 88.291 84.345 83.733 86.791 18,923. 18,923. 18,923. 18,737.
33 14.703 8.331 6.734 9.134 73.862 68.149 68.142 71.814 90.828 86.714 86.578 88.470 89.633 86.315 86.318 87.999 17,806. 17,806. 17,806. 17,642.
36 15.984 10.135 6.894 10.033 76.122 69.950 68.518 73.122 92.934 88.476 87.041 89.769 91.552 87.896 86.769 89.209 18,684. 18,684. 18,684. 18,511.
39 17.918 11.032 ******* 12.146 76.301 70.603 ******* 73.554 93.335 88.924 ******* 90.366 91.601 88.239 -9999.00 89.548 20,059. 20,059. 0. 19,859.
42 15.839 10.103 ******* 9.872 76.146 70.742 ******* 72.261 93.301 89.448 ******* 89.259 91.949 88.878 -9999.00 88.714 19,981. 19,981. 0. 19,784.
45 13.222 6.561 ******* 7.398 71.887 66.455 ******* 68.710 89.604 85.572 ******* 86.005 88.626 85.322 -9999.00 85.688 19,961. 19,961. 0. 19,747.
48 10.155 6.575 ******* 6.843 71.619 68.215 ******* 70.425 88.926 87.103 ******* 87.075 88.346 86.857 -9999.00 86.808 19,870. 19,870. 0. 19,670.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) From 1999111500 to 2000022912

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 12.076 9.614 ******* 12.371 65.451 64.530 ******* 67.551 83.219 82.384 ******* 84.865 82.340 81.823 -9999.00 83.960 18,971. 18,971. 0. 18,270.
3 19.362 10.954 ******* 14.042 69.358 63.555 ******* 68.225 86.977 82.337 ******* 85.537 84.797 81.607 -9999.00 84.379 20,019. 20,019. 0. 19,068.
6 20.686 13.732 14.538 13.166 70.863 63.426 63.795 65.944 88.202 82.573 82.785 83.313 85.744 81.425 81.501 82.268 20,144. 20,144. 16,944. 19,420.
9 15.777 9.019 4.827 10.076 64.723 58.499 58.373 63.108 82.646 77.759 77.811 80.661 81.128 77.236 77.663 80.031 20,110. 20,110. 17,094. 19,407.
12 12.789 5.405 2.348 9.500 64.770 59.580 59.141 64.291 82.262 78.485 78.221 80.762 81.264 78.301 78.188 80.204 19,415. 19,415. 19,415. 18,997.
15 16.012 9.734 7.199 14.156 68.119 61.881 60.764 67.990 85.049 80.278 79.397 84.876 83.530 79.688 79.072 83.689 19,175. 19,175. 19,175. 18,520.
18 18.904 10.208 7.117 14.441 70.046 62.509 61.665 68.530 86.810 80.802 80.136 85.124 84.729 80.157 79.822 83.893 18,848. 18,848. 18,848. 18,433.
21 17.640 11.042 7.524 13.144 71.162 64.746 63.714 69.008 88.012 83.199 82.383 85.722 86.229 82.466 82.041 84.710 17,805. 17,805. 17,805. 17,409.
24 18.634 11.288 7.378 14.346 73.389 66.190 64.798 70.248 90.438 84.866 83.659 86.957 88.500 84.115 83.335 85.767 18,507. 18,507. 18,507. 18,079.
27 19.524 11.394 9.056 13.556 72.922 66.776 65.840 70.639 89.796 85.214 84.366 87.240 87.651 84.451 83.881 86.183 19,820. 19,820. 19,820. 19,354.
30 18.361 11.396 7.875 12.301 73.045 66.664 64.794 69.440 90.100 85.412 83.761 86.256 88.211 84.650 83.392 85.377 19,717. 19,717. 19,717. 19,268.
33 13.200 5.550 4.271 10.231 70.054 64.526 63.286 66.734 87.814 83.686 82.839 83.760 86.819 83.504 82.731 83.135 19,743. 19,743. 19,743. 19,267.
36 12.306 6.096 5.498 10.198 70.503 66.428 65.830 68.228 87.893 85.350 84.947 84.679 87.030 85.134 84.771 84.065 19,529. 19,529. 19,529. 19,039.
39 14.816 9.571 ******* 12.995 73.861 68.072 ******* 71.404 90.846 86.336 ******* 87.979 89.632 85.806 -9999.00 87.016 19,922. 19,922. 0. 19,390.
42 14.219 8.995 ******* 10.144 75.860 69.779 ******* 72.735 92.446 87.904 ******* 89.395 91.348 87.445 -9999.00 88.820 19,372. 19,372. 0. 18,856.
45 12.345 7.441 ******* 8.064 75.679 71.241 ******* 73.635 92.527 89.632 ******* 90.394 91.703 89.325 -9999.00 90.036 16,887. 16,887. 0. 16,234.
48 13.467 8.195 ******* 8.876 78.251 71.716 ******* 75.284 94.922 90.038 ******* 91.764 93.965 89.667 -9999.00 91.337 18,008. 18,008. 0. 17,514.