MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP2 (10-m log-reduced Wind Speed Knots) From 1999111500 to 2000022912

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -0.573 -0.657 ******* 0.421 3.999 4.034 ******* 4.461 5.731 5.788 ******* 6.311 5.702 5.751 -9999.00 6.297 20,405. 20,405. 0. 19,934.
3 0.891 0.600 ******* 0.785 3.931 3.730 ******* 4.407 5.444 5.284 ******* 6.062 5.371 5.250 -9999.00 6.011 19,987. 19,987. 0. 19,533.
6 1.199 0.820 1.903 0.951 4.104 3.794 4.208 4.404 5.565 5.251 5.874 6.005 5.435 5.187 5.558 5.929 19,459. 19,459. 16,753. 19,004.
9 1.295 0.918 0.964 1.059 4.132 3.806 3.693 4.409 5.579 5.264 5.157 5.997 5.427 5.183 5.066 5.903 18,254. 18,254. 15,762. 17,812.
12 1.327 0.983 1.009 0.924 4.237 3.969 3.877 4.426 5.618 5.407 5.351 5.980 5.459 5.317 5.255 5.909 18,961. 18,961. 18,961. 18,514.
15 1.484 1.146 1.270 0.893 4.392 4.081 3.997 4.421 5.771 5.546 5.457 5.969 5.577 5.426 5.307 5.902 19,770. 19,770. 19,770. 19,217.
18 1.038 0.574 0.662 0.853 4.328 3.904 3.816 4.541 5.745 5.382 5.291 6.115 5.651 5.351 5.249 6.055 19,959. 19,959. 19,959. 19,494.
21 -0.124 -0.278 -0.034 0.425 4.098 3.867 3.801 4.547 5.652 5.471 5.382 6.222 5.651 5.464 5.382 6.207 20,017. 20,017. 20,017. 19,604.
24 0.182 0.073 0.295 0.500 3.905 3.737 3.713 4.441 5.513 5.345 5.296 6.139 5.510 5.345 5.288 6.119 19,962. 19,962. 19,962. 19,769.
27 1.168 0.889 1.056 0.913 4.308 4.117 4.070 4.543 5.895 5.750 5.675 6.248 5.778 5.681 5.576 6.181 19,705. 19,705. 19,705. 19,512.
30 1.286 0.972 1.114 1.075 4.354 4.117 4.084 4.600 5.802 5.610 5.574 6.199 5.658 5.525 5.461 6.106 19,202. 19,202. 19,202. 19,012.
33 1.469 1.079 1.139 1.180 4.419 4.130 4.087 4.582 5.842 5.610 5.596 6.171 5.654 5.505 5.479 6.058 18,078. 18,078. 18,078. 17,908.
36 1.453 1.052 1.114 1.111 4.437 4.133 4.068 4.636 5.827 5.606 5.580 6.199 5.643 5.506 5.468 6.098 18,949. 18,949. 18,949. 18,771.
39 1.436 1.030 ******* 1.107 4.560 4.254 ******* 4.789 6.010 5.786 ******* 6.450 5.836 5.694 -9999.00 6.354 20,322. 20,322. 0. 20,120.
42 0.951 0.448 ******* 1.091 4.541 4.182 ******* 4.892 6.022 5.745 ******* 6.536 5.946 5.727 -9999.00 6.444 20,316. 20,316. 0. 20,115.
45 -0.100 -0.307 ******* 0.756 4.364 4.145 ******* 4.886 5.985 5.826 ******* 6.605 5.985 5.818 -9999.00 6.562 20,366. 20,366. 0. 20,146.
48 0.222 0.083 ******* 0.748 4.155 4.034 ******* 4.742 5.763 5.695 ******* 6.483 5.758 5.695 -9999.00 6.439 20,201. 20,201. 0. 19,999.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP2 (10-m log-reduced Wind Speed Knots) From 1999111500 to 2000022912

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 0.369 0.238 ******* 1.180 4.047 4.058 ******* 4.654 5.671 5.714 ******* 6.484 5.659 5.709 -9999.00 6.376 19,247. 19,247. 0. 18,538.
3 1.423 1.006 ******* 1.065 4.206 3.870 ******* 4.535 5.592 5.286 ******* 6.135 5.408 5.190 -9999.00 6.042 20,294. 20,294. 0. 19,331.
6 1.116 0.612 1.458 0.940 4.227 3.798 4.072 4.595 5.684 5.261 5.715 6.220 5.573 5.225 5.526 6.149 20,486. 20,486. 17,242. 19,755.
9 -0.263 -0.395 -0.201 0.448 3.957 3.721 3.555 4.469 5.542 5.308 5.111 6.192 5.535 5.293 5.107 6.176 20,529. 20,529. 17,458. 19,816.
12 0.043 -0.030 0.158 0.410 3.823 3.562 3.575 4.277 5.383 5.105 5.095 5.951 5.383 5.105 5.093 5.937 19,755. 19,755. 19,755. 19,331.
15 1.065 0.756 0.977 0.930 4.140 3.916 3.876 4.463 5.693 5.506 5.422 6.139 5.592 5.454 5.334 6.069 19,477. 19,477. 19,477. 18,811.
18 1.272 0.922 1.066 1.044 4.233 3.981 3.937 4.478 5.699 5.457 5.408 6.046 5.556 5.379 5.302 5.955 19,126. 19,126. 19,126. 18,707.
21 1.490 1.099 1.207 1.137 4.317 4.018 3.900 4.493 5.739 5.467 5.377 6.039 5.542 5.355 5.240 5.931 18,068. 18,068. 18,068. 17,663.
24 1.457 1.146 1.262 1.118 4.384 4.089 3.974 4.554 5.757 5.508 5.441 6.093 5.570 5.387 5.292 5.989 18,771. 18,771. 18,771. 18,339.
27 1.524 1.205 1.337 1.128 4.511 4.226 4.106 4.603 5.893 5.688 5.576 6.166 5.693 5.559 5.413 6.062 20,094. 20,094. 20,094. 19,625.
30 1.014 0.628 0.808 1.118 4.426 4.085 4.028 4.785 5.893 5.600 5.552 6.415 5.805 5.565 5.493 6.318 20,064. 20,064. 20,064. 19,606.
33 -0.023 -0.183 0.139 0.666 4.252 4.051 4.003 4.727 5.834 5.674 5.598 6.461 5.834 5.672 5.596 6.427 20,161. 20,161. 20,161. 19,677.
36 0.214 0.099 0.420 0.532 4.080 3.937 3.962 4.577 5.686 5.570 5.587 6.304 5.682 5.569 5.571 6.281 19,870. 19,870. 19,870. 19,374.
39 1.091 0.784 ******* 0.909 4.412 4.216 ******* 4.624 6.023 5.882 ******* 6.360 5.924 5.829 -9999.00 6.294 20,231. 20,231. 0. 19,690.
42 1.123 0.802 ******* 1.078 4.416 4.212 ******* 4.653 5.906 5.747 ******* 6.263 5.798 5.691 -9999.00 6.169 19,644. 19,644. 0. 19,119.
45 1.108 0.792 ******* 1.077 4.477 4.256 ******* 4.566 5.950 5.785 ******* 6.145 5.846 5.731 -9999.00 6.050 17,151. 17,151. 0. 16,489.
48 1.053 0.878 ******* 1.026 4.505 4.326 ******* 4.694 5.983 5.862 ******* 6.302 5.890 5.796 -9999.00 6.218 18,270. 18,270. 0. 17,769.