MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1999111500 to 2000022912

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 8.217 8.282 ******* 8.906 8.217 8.282 ******* 8.906 9.875 9.967 ******* 10.694 5.478 5.544 -9999.00 5.920 8,431. 8,431. 0. 8,233.
3 8.404 7.707 ******* 8.776 8.404 7.707 ******* 8.776 10.173 9.521 ******* 10.482 5.734 5.590 -9999.00 5.732 7,377. 7,377. 0. 7,270.
6 8.712 7.641 7.881 8.572 8.712 7.641 7.881 8.572 10.539 9.482 9.678 10.278 5.930 5.614 5.617 5.670 6,957. 6,957. 5,819. 6,843.
9 8.632 7.551 7.397 8.485 8.632 7.551 7.397 8.485 10.448 9.365 9.259 10.185 5.886 5.540 5.569 5.634 6,297. 6,297. 5,276. 6,187.
12 9.087 8.054 7.952 8.733 9.087 8.054 7.952 8.733 10.934 9.939 9.871 10.393 6.081 5.824 5.848 5.634 6,613. 6,613. 6,613. 6,475.
15 9.161 8.219 8.108 8.825 9.161 8.219 8.108 8.825 10.970 10.098 10.009 10.497 6.036 5.866 5.870 5.684 6,834. 6,834. 6,834. 6,636.
18 9.236 8.177 8.064 8.882 9.236 8.177 8.064 8.882 11.027 9.989 9.913 10.532 6.025 5.736 5.766 5.662 7,511. 7,511. 7,511. 7,360.
21 8.816 8.069 8.028 8.911 8.816 8.069 8.028 8.911 10.522 9.870 9.935 10.556 5.743 5.686 5.853 5.660 8,783. 8,783. 8,783. 8,635.
24 8.716 8.100 8.229 9.007 8.716 8.100 8.229 9.007 10.550 10.026 10.253 10.673 5.945 5.909 6.117 5.727 8,204. 8,204. 8,204. 8,143.
27 9.356 8.656 8.672 9.113 9.356 8.656 8.672 9.113 11.308 10.725 10.800 10.890 6.351 6.333 6.438 5.963 7,278. 7,278. 7,278. 7,221.
30 9.373 8.487 8.616 9.043 9.373 8.487 8.616 9.043 11.243 10.442 10.662 10.727 6.208 6.084 6.281 5.769 6,860. 6,860. 6,860. 6,801.
33 9.316 8.375 8.513 8.992 9.316 8.375 8.513 8.992 11.158 10.250 10.421 10.658 6.141 5.910 6.012 5.723 6,231. 6,231. 6,231. 6,193.
36 9.604 8.681 8.679 9.246 9.604 8.681 8.679 9.246 11.490 10.620 10.656 10.854 6.307 6.120 6.183 5.685 6,575. 6,575. 6,575. 6,522.
39 9.748 8.926 ******* 9.638 9.748 8.926 ******* 9.638 11.595 10.886 ******* 11.325 6.280 6.231 -9999.00 5.948 7,013. 7,013. 0. 6,944.
42 9.698 8.846 ******* 9.660 9.698 8.846 ******* 9.660 11.436 10.659 ******* 11.278 6.061 5.946 -9999.00 5.822 7,603. 7,603. 0. 7,526.
45 9.283 8.670 ******* 9.650 9.283 8.670 ******* 9.650 11.046 10.516 ******* 11.305 5.987 5.951 -9999.00 5.890 8,884. 8,884. 0. 8,820.
48 9.328 8.889 ******* 9.578 9.328 8.889 ******* 9.578 11.214 10.922 ******* 11.278 6.223 6.347 -9999.00 5.956 8,225. 8,225. 0. 8,179.


12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1999111500 to 2000022912

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 8.181 8.193 ******* 8.884 8.181 8.193 ******* 8.884 9.882 9.922 ******* 10.788 5.544 5.596 -9999.00 6.121 6,745. 6,745. 0. 6,486.
3 8.539 7.655 ******* 8.911 8.539 7.655 ******* 8.911 10.308 9.378 ******* 10.623 5.775 5.418 -9999.00 5.784 7,031. 7,031. 0. 6,718.
6 9.054 7.832 7.954 8.890 9.054 7.832 7.954 8.890 10.842 9.594 9.685 10.569 5.965 5.542 5.527 5.716 7,737. 7,737. 6,319. 7,454.
9 8.600 7.679 7.458 8.705 8.600 7.679 7.458 8.705 10.332 9.442 9.170 10.372 5.725 5.493 5.337 5.641 9,004. 9,004. 7,422. 8,677.
12 8.406 7.652 7.701 8.776 8.406 7.652 7.701 8.776 10.139 9.476 9.572 10.393 5.670 5.590 5.685 5.568 8,144. 8,144. 8,144. 7,880.
15 8.995 8.112 8.078 9.020 8.995 8.112 8.078 9.020 10.862 10.093 10.078 10.738 6.088 6.006 6.026 5.827 7,194. 7,194. 7,194. 6,859.
18 9.072 8.009 8.017 8.778 9.072 8.009 8.017 8.778 10.912 9.889 9.908 10.450 6.064 5.802 5.823 5.672 6,849. 6,849. 6,849. 6,617.
21 9.003 7.901 7.783 8.700 9.003 7.901 7.783 8.700 10.830 9.765 9.665 10.357 6.019 5.739 5.731 5.620 6,254. 6,254. 6,254. 6,062.
24 9.295 8.257 8.226 8.942 9.295 8.257 8.226 8.942 11.159 10.207 10.213 10.576 6.175 6.001 6.053 5.648 6,536. 6,536. 6,536. 6,354.
27 9.432 8.486 8.456 9.199 9.432 8.486 8.456 9.199 11.289 10.431 10.442 10.881 6.202 6.066 6.127 5.811 6,976. 6,976. 6,976. 6,781.
30 9.528 8.466 8.425 9.367 9.528 8.466 8.425 9.367 11.326 10.317 10.334 11.012 6.124 5.897 5.985 5.789 7,576. 7,576. 7,576. 7,359.
33 9.214 8.471 8.419 9.292 9.214 8.471 8.419 9.292 10.996 10.313 10.352 10.968 6.001 5.883 6.023 5.827 8,847. 8,847. 8,847. 8,600.
36 9.275 8.633 8.722 9.368 9.275 8.633 8.722 9.368 11.189 10.668 10.824 11.035 6.259 6.268 6.409 5.833 8,212. 8,212. 8,212. 8,004.
39 9.856 9.073 ******* 9.409 9.856 9.073 ******* 9.409 11.915 11.208 ******* 11.155 6.695 6.581 -9999.00 5.993 7,444. 7,444. 0. 7,233.
42 9.821 8.985 ******* 9.268 9.821 8.985 ******* 9.268 11.711 10.922 ******* 10.930 6.379 6.212 -9999.00 5.793 6,975. 6,975. 0. 6,766.
45 9.562 8.767 ******* 9.216 9.562 8.767 ******* 9.216 11.358 10.626 ******* 10.903 6.130 6.005 -9999.00 5.828 6,122. 6,122. 0. 5,824.
48 10.016 9.183 ******* 9.626 10.016 9.183 ******* 9.626 11.963 11.225 ******* 11.258 6.542 6.455 -9999.00 5.838 6,587. 6,587. 0. 6,398.