MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1999111500 to 2000022912

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 5.602 3.235 ******* 6.234 38.825 38.842 ******* 42.179 52.780 52.620 ******* 55.886 52.485 52.523 -9999.00 55.541 8,431. 8,431. 0. 8,233.
3 16.439 7.912 ******* 10.139 43.543 37.416 ******* 43.268 59.393 52.929 ******* 57.893 57.076 52.338 -9999.00 57.002 7,377. 7,377. 0. 7,270.
6 21.926 9.034 10.992 13.186 45.408 37.155 37.331 41.806 61.102 52.943 52.835 56.057 57.036 52.170 51.684 54.488 6,957. 6,957. 5,819. 6,843.
9 22.247 9.409 2.684 12.332 46.184 37.158 37.742 41.658 61.492 52.599 54.167 55.636 57.331 51.755 54.106 54.256 6,297. 6,297. 5,276. 6,187.
12 22.057 11.318 4.126 13.091 49.466 40.939 39.702 43.844 65.536 57.431 56.672 58.049 61.718 56.309 56.526 56.558 6,613. 6,613. 6,613. 6,475.
15 23.006 10.813 5.304 12.270 49.453 41.173 40.321 43.897 65.637 57.518 57.162 58.004 61.477 56.496 56.920 56.695 6,835. 6,835. 6,835. 6,637.
18 25.217 13.545 8.024 10.420 49.616 40.537 39.006 42.791 65.988 57.439 56.148 57.013 60.984 55.823 55.575 56.057 7,511. 7,511. 7,511. 7,360.
21 19.541 9.907 6.162 7.952 47.650 40.508 40.144 43.572 63.880 57.428 57.618 57.949 60.821 56.571 57.291 57.405 8,783. 8,783. 8,783. 8,635.
24 11.633 2.284 -0.045 7.884 46.486 41.576 42.881 45.517 62.558 59.024 61.151 59.984 61.471 58.983 61.155 59.468 8,204. 8,204. 8,204. 8,143.
27 19.896 8.270 5.539 12.624 50.073 44.254 44.537 46.873 66.405 61.474 62.734 62.010 63.359 60.919 62.493 60.715 7,278. 7,278. 7,278. 7,221.
30 21.827 8.253 5.582 12.622 50.692 43.227 44.785 46.696 66.801 59.962 62.764 62.016 63.139 59.396 62.520 60.723 6,860. 6,860. 6,860. 6,801.
33 20.452 8.716 5.017 10.396 52.383 43.978 45.851 48.413 68.656 61.363 63.908 64.140 65.544 60.746 63.716 63.297 6,231. 6,231. 6,231. 6,193.
36 20.866 8.381 3.255 9.526 54.824 46.954 46.757 49.912 71.883 64.805 65.032 65.916 68.793 64.266 64.955 65.229 6,575. 6,575. 6,575. 6,522.
39 22.566 9.873 ******* 13.417 54.526 47.054 ******* 50.552 71.830 65.102 ******* 66.775 68.199 64.354 -9999.00 65.418 7,013. 7,013. 0. 6,944.
42 21.408 10.163 ******* 9.578 55.102 47.307 ******* 50.569 72.661 66.065 ******* 67.316 69.440 65.283 -9999.00 66.636 7,603. 7,603. 0. 7,526.
45 17.364 6.661 ******* 6.440 53.352 47.344 ******* 50.565 71.556 66.826 ******* 67.060 69.421 66.497 -9999.00 66.754 8,884. 8,884. 0. 8,820.
48 11.743 4.744 ******* 5.035 52.805 49.086 ******* 51.967 70.360 68.550 ******* 68.071 69.378 68.390 -9999.00 67.889 8,225. 8,225. 0. 8,179.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1999111500 to 2000022912

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 10.430 7.351 ******* 9.301 39.531 38.947 ******* 41.930 53.723 53.072 ******* 56.020 52.705 52.565 -9999.00 55.247 6,745. 6,745. 0. 6,486.
3 18.494 7.565 ******* 12.115 44.124 37.064 ******* 42.575 59.734 52.282 ******* 56.849 56.803 51.735 -9999.00 55.547 7,031. 7,031. 0. 6,718.
6 25.282 12.946 14.155 11.527 47.028 36.515 36.661 40.657 62.892 52.095 52.068 54.559 57.590 50.464 50.111 53.331 7,737. 7,737. 6,319. 7,454.
9 20.393 9.961 5.455 7.985 44.050 36.422 37.077 40.447 60.028 52.579 54.201 54.316 56.461 51.629 53.929 53.728 9,004. 9,004. 7,422. 8,677.
12 13.132 3.064 0.591 6.714 44.252 38.625 39.056 43.845 59.989 55.207 56.292 57.542 58.538 55.126 56.293 57.153 8,144. 8,144. 8,144. 7,880.
15 17.653 7.896 4.494 12.239 47.265 40.441 40.221 45.730 62.789 56.874 57.183 60.590 60.261 56.327 57.010 59.345 7,194. 7,194. 7,194. 6,859.
18 21.264 8.041 4.333 13.341 48.697 40.101 40.554 44.786 64.370 56.640 57.517 59.333 60.761 56.070 57.358 57.818 6,849. 6,849. 6,849. 6,617.
21 22.004 10.284 5.436 12.580 49.375 40.395 40.500 44.596 65.249 57.108 58.094 59.383 61.431 56.179 57.844 58.040 6,254. 6,254. 6,254. 6,062.
24 22.008 8.492 3.319 12.772 51.161 42.799 42.442 46.091 67.904 60.495 60.651 61.213 64.243 59.901 60.564 59.870 6,536. 6,536. 6,536. 6,354.
27 22.778 10.181 7.214 12.643 51.089 42.762 42.506 47.194 67.641 59.828 60.096 62.237 63.694 58.959 59.666 60.944 6,976. 6,976. 6,976. 6,781.
30 23.393 11.523 6.662 11.653 51.729 42.065 41.552 46.784 68.283 59.462 59.336 61.975 64.155 58.338 58.965 60.874 7,576. 7,576. 7,576. 7,359.
33 18.861 7.306 6.023 9.131 50.344 44.082 44.126 46.847 67.543 62.414 62.988 61.954 64.859 61.988 62.703 61.281 8,847. 8,847. 8,847. 8,600.
36 16.024 6.617 4.192 10.399 51.828 46.963 47.261 49.719 68.677 65.644 66.245 64.878 66.785 65.313 66.116 64.043 8,212. 8,212. 8,212. 8,004.
39 19.672 9.541 ******* 13.328 54.027 47.251 ******* 49.874 70.961 65.104 ******* 65.433 68.185 64.406 -9999.00 64.066 7,444. 7,444. 0. 7,233.
42 20.834 9.279 ******* 12.308 55.278 47.998 ******* 49.149 71.785 65.874 ******* 64.775 68.700 65.222 -9999.00 63.600 6,975. 6,975. 0. 6,766.
45 18.518 7.211 ******* 8.373 55.058 48.746 ******* 50.677 71.662 67.116 ******* 66.773 69.234 66.733 -9999.00 66.251 6,122. 6,122. 0. 5,824.
48 18.724 6.513 ******* 8.646 58.205 50.075 ******* 52.882 75.320 68.578 ******* 69.106 72.961 68.273 -9999.00 68.569 6,587. 6,587. 0. 6,398.