MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of RELH (RH Percent ) From 1999121300 to 2000073100

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 4.821 4.838 ******* 7.884 10.634 10.673 ******* 12.646 14.122 14.213 ******* 17.022 13.274 13.364 -9999.00 15.086 41,913. 41,913. 0. 41,530.
3 0.148 -0.823 ******* 4.147 11.064 10.314 ******* 10.863 14.357 13.553 ******* 14.020 14.357 13.528 -9999.00 13.392 40,371. 40,371. 0. 39,988.
6 -1.105 -3.161 -2.489 1.017 12.624 12.063 12.011 10.957 16.352 15.713 15.650 14.293 16.314 15.392 15.451 14.257 39,872. 39,872. 39,629. 39,488.
9 -1.640 -4.910 -5.605 -0.002 12.784 12.440 12.473 11.095 16.718 16.297 16.505 14.571 16.638 15.540 15.525 14.571 39,099. 39,099. 38,827. 38,715.
12 -2.380 -6.572 -7.726 -0.708 12.691 12.936 13.081 10.994 16.769 16.953 17.361 14.476 16.600 15.627 15.547 14.459 38,969. 38,969. 38,969. 38,602.
15 -0.958 -5.274 -5.696 0.830 11.653 11.585 11.581 9.925 15.306 15.267 15.435 13.152 15.276 14.327 14.346 13.126 40,602. 40,602. 40,602. 40,210.
18 -1.911 -5.036 -4.595 3.651 11.813 11.438 11.168 11.443 15.554 15.247 14.948 15.074 15.437 14.392 14.225 14.625 40,768. 40,768. 40,768. 40,387.
21 -2.017 -4.320 -4.168 6.125 12.028 11.543 11.413 12.993 16.009 15.571 15.373 16.959 15.882 14.959 14.797 15.815 40,886. 40,886. 40,886. 40,509.
24 -0.594 -2.875 -2.821 6.985 12.022 11.415 11.326 13.479 16.091 15.479 15.363 17.522 16.080 15.210 15.102 16.070 41,170. 41,170. 41,170. 40,961.
27 -1.796 -3.650 -3.702 5.900 12.979 12.250 12.115 12.568 16.857 16.097 15.919 16.359 16.761 15.678 15.482 15.259 39,946. 39,946. 39,946. 39,739.
30 -2.333 -4.802 -6.385 2.315 13.882 13.261 13.291 12.143 17.945 17.315 17.418 16.005 17.792 16.636 16.206 15.837 39,660. 39,660. 39,660. 39,458.
33 -2.529 -6.002 -8.298 0.803 13.899 13.559 14.030 11.961 18.148 17.752 18.350 15.929 17.972 16.707 16.367 15.909 38,871. 38,871. 38,871. 38,671.
36 -3.240 -7.426 -9.821 -0.193 13.712 14.056 14.702 11.642 18.115 18.422 19.225 15.584 17.823 16.859 16.527 15.583 38,985. 38,985. 38,985. 38,781.
39 -1.474 -5.903 ******* 1.005 12.539 12.679 ******* 10.661 16.594 16.746 ******* 14.277 16.528 15.672 -9999.00 14.242 41,219. 41,219. 0. 41,020.
42 -1.723 -5.129 ******* 3.186 12.933 12.528 ******* 12.465 16.957 16.662 ******* 16.292 16.870 15.853 -9999.00 15.978 41,292. 41,292. 0. 41,096.
45 -1.803 -4.285 ******* 5.686 13.240 12.841 ******* 14.053 17.547 17.227 ******* 18.118 17.455 16.686 -9999.00 17.203 41,485. 41,485. 0. 41,256.
48 -0.479 -2.908 ******* 6.670 13.193 12.657 ******* 14.392 17.554 17.078 ******* 18.568 17.547 16.829 -9999.00 17.329 41,939. 41,939. 0. 41,725.


12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of RELH (RH Percent ) From 1999121300 to 2000073100

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -3.200 -2.897 ******* 2.466 10.755 10.687 ******* 10.137 13.997 13.899 ******* 13.436 13.626 13.594 -9999.00 13.208 39,115. 39,115. 0. 38,474.
3 -2.737 -3.335 ******* 2.061 10.441 9.875 ******* 9.173 13.564 13.012 ******* 12.156 13.286 12.577 -9999.00 11.980 40,849. 40,849. 0. 40,012.
6 -3.100 -4.436 -3.659 4.837 11.127 10.785 10.639 10.982 14.652 14.333 14.133 14.508 14.321 13.629 13.651 13.678 41,153. 41,153. 40,243. 40,543.
9 -2.536 -4.021 -4.438 7.196 11.243 10.977 11.023 12.940 15.007 14.788 14.854 16.896 14.791 14.230 14.176 15.287 41,216. 41,216. 40,586. 40,612.
12 -0.995 -2.795 -3.351 7.678 11.062 10.695 10.726 13.387 14.774 14.379 14.478 17.428 14.740 14.105 14.086 15.646 40,965. 40,965. 40,965. 40,549.
15 -1.961 -3.392 -4.184 6.232 12.347 11.634 11.637 12.427 15.970 15.147 15.172 16.158 15.849 14.762 14.584 14.908 39,947. 39,947. 39,947. 39,345.
18 -2.413 -4.523 -6.843 2.725 13.579 12.765 13.021 11.823 17.521 16.600 16.926 15.620 17.354 15.973 15.481 15.381 39,489. 39,489. 39,489. 39,072.
21 -2.495 -5.804 -8.813 1.123 13.714 13.250 14.005 11.678 17.778 17.248 18.121 15.581 17.602 16.242 15.833 15.541 38,663. 38,663. 38,663. 38,240.
24 -2.830 -6.916 -10.171 0.323 13.409 13.586 14.655 11.347 17.628 17.778 18.993 15.197 17.399 16.378 16.040 15.194 38,494. 38,494. 38,494. 38,060.
27 -0.773 -5.147 -7.774 1.690 12.165 12.038 12.722 10.479 16.013 15.967 16.748 14.039 15.994 15.115 14.835 13.937 40,426. 40,426. 40,426. 39,979.
30 -1.096 -4.312 -5.468 4.100 12.310 11.890 12.023 12.295 16.117 15.814 16.002 16.067 16.080 15.215 15.039 15.535 40,248. 40,248. 40,248. 39,788.
33 -1.118 -3.518 -4.129 6.470 12.624 12.114 12.125 13.879 16.654 16.217 16.232 17.934 16.616 15.831 15.698 16.726 40,723. 40,723. 40,723. 40,266.
36 0.550 -1.949 -2.407 7.390 12.652 11.943 11.939 14.371 16.697 16.012 16.000 18.555 16.688 15.893 15.818 17.020 40,688. 40,688. 40,688. 40,219.
39 -0.800 -2.854 ******* 6.119 13.249 12.526 ******* 13.084 17.191 16.453 ******* 17.096 17.172 16.204 -9999.00 15.963 40,514. 40,514. 0. 40,003.
42 -1.351 -4.068 ******* 2.400 13.896 13.285 ******* 12.451 18.015 17.376 ******* 16.413 17.964 16.893 -9999.00 16.237 39,664. 39,664. 0. 39,160.
45 -1.514 -5.068 ******* 0.747 13.914 13.537 ******* 12.423 18.192 17.727 ******* 16.467 18.130 16.987 -9999.00 16.450 37,356. 37,356. 0. 36,739.
48 -1.840 -6.079 ******* -0.028 13.524 13.688 ******* 11.936 17.871 17.992 ******* 15.942 17.777 16.934 -9999.00 15.942 36,951. 36,951. 0. 36,466.