MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots at Lowest Sigma Level ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1999121300 to 2000073100

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 7.951 7.940 ******* 8.420 7.951 7.940 ******* 8.420 9.426 9.430 ******* 9.907 5.061 5.087 -9999.00 5.221 30,284. 30,284. 0. 29,902.
3 8.071 7.622 ******* 8.074 8.071 7.622 ******* 8.074 9.640 9.162 ******* 9.558 5.270 5.084 -9999.00 5.115 24,755. 24,755. 0. 24,485.
6 8.569 7.925 9.001 8.033 8.569 7.925 9.001 8.033 10.217 9.511 10.995 9.535 5.564 5.258 6.316 5.137 20,946. 20,946. 20,759. 20,738.
9 8.456 7.759 8.148 7.819 8.456 7.759 8.148 7.819 10.065 9.335 9.791 9.333 5.460 5.191 5.429 5.097 17,480. 17,480. 17,418. 17,330.
12 8.707 7.968 8.199 7.987 8.707 7.968 8.199 7.987 10.370 9.611 9.842 9.480 5.632 5.374 5.444 5.107 16,929. 16,929. 16,929. 16,779.
15 8.730 7.916 8.052 7.945 8.730 7.916 8.052 7.945 10.413 9.613 9.790 9.470 5.675 5.453 5.569 5.153 19,062. 19,062. 19,062. 18,880.
18 8.509 7.640 7.751 8.201 8.509 7.640 7.751 8.201 10.097 9.200 9.398 9.601 5.435 5.126 5.314 4.992 23,547. 23,547. 23,547. 23,346.
21 8.383 7.807 8.018 8.449 8.383 7.807 8.018 8.449 9.932 9.375 9.715 9.925 5.328 5.190 5.486 5.208 28,695. 28,695. 28,695. 28,456.
24 8.376 7.960 8.441 8.619 8.376 7.960 8.441 8.619 9.967 9.600 10.207 10.133 5.402 5.366 5.738 5.328 29,653. 29,653. 29,653. 29,501.
27 8.578 8.259 8.753 8.267 8.578 8.259 8.753 8.267 10.301 10.008 10.574 9.776 5.703 5.653 5.932 5.218 24,483. 24,483. 24,483. 24,342.
30 9.022 8.641 9.001 8.346 9.022 8.641 9.001 8.346 10.732 10.384 10.803 9.859 5.813 5.757 5.973 5.248 20,765. 20,765. 20,765. 20,647.
33 8.987 8.427 8.693 8.149 8.987 8.427 8.693 8.149 10.647 10.107 10.431 9.675 5.709 5.580 5.764 5.216 17,424. 17,424. 17,424. 17,324.
36 9.136 8.536 8.808 8.319 9.136 8.536 8.808 8.319 10.869 10.264 10.573 9.805 5.888 5.700 5.850 5.190 16,919. 16,919. 16,919. 16,816.
39 9.038 8.407 ******* 8.427 9.038 8.407 ******* 8.427 10.782 10.185 ******* 9.939 5.878 5.751 -9999.00 5.270 19,312. 19,312. 0. 19,193.
42 8.847 8.231 ******* 8.603 8.847 8.231 ******* 8.603 10.431 9.843 ******* 10.025 5.526 5.398 -9999.00 5.146 23,736. 23,736. 0. 23,611.
45 8.734 8.279 ******* 8.814 8.734 8.279 ******* 8.814 10.330 9.923 ******* 10.320 5.517 5.471 -9999.00 5.369 28,988. 28,988. 0. 28,831.
48 8.767 8.421 ******* 8.926 8.767 8.421 ******* 8.926 10.443 10.171 ******* 10.490 5.674 5.704 -9999.00 5.511 30,022. 30,022. 0. 29,854.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots at Lowest Sigma Level ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1999121300 to 2000073100

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 7.686 7.612 ******* 7.893 7.686 7.612 ******* 7.893 9.188 9.141 ******* 9.396 5.035 5.062 -9999.00 5.098 17,089. 17,089. 0. 16,746.
3 8.469 7.680 ******* 7.994 8.469 7.680 ******* 7.994 10.022 9.181 ******* 9.511 5.359 5.031 -9999.00 5.153 19,274. 19,274. 0. 18,873.
6 8.466 7.407 7.702 8.163 8.466 7.407 7.702 8.163 9.995 8.891 9.347 9.573 5.313 4.919 5.295 5.001 23,922. 23,922. 23,313. 23,547.
9 8.135 7.370 7.681 8.350 8.135 7.370 7.681 8.350 9.681 8.898 9.348 9.825 5.248 4.985 5.330 5.178 29,041. 29,041. 28,475. 28,606.
12 8.049 7.557 8.148 8.491 8.049 7.557 8.148 8.491 9.596 9.127 9.829 9.983 5.225 5.117 5.497 5.250 29,522. 29,522. 29,522. 29,179.
15 8.286 7.886 8.460 8.145 8.286 7.886 8.460 8.145 9.960 9.562 10.201 9.653 5.528 5.406 5.701 5.182 24,395. 24,395. 24,395. 23,991.
18 8.698 8.150 8.569 8.162 8.698 8.150 8.569 8.162 10.378 9.827 10.280 9.668 5.661 5.492 5.678 5.182 20,652. 20,652. 20,652. 20,371.
21 8.729 8.082 8.381 7.956 8.729 8.082 8.381 7.956 10.348 9.700 10.061 9.472 5.558 5.363 5.567 5.140 17,311. 17,311. 17,311. 17,053.
24 8.909 8.227 8.603 8.111 8.909 8.227 8.603 8.111 10.594 9.909 10.302 9.596 5.734 5.523 5.666 5.127 16,680. 16,680. 16,680. 16,416.
27 8.884 8.157 8.563 8.153 8.884 8.157 8.563 8.153 10.623 9.906 10.345 9.662 5.824 5.620 5.805 5.185 18,940. 18,940. 18,940. 18,614.
30 8.686 7.897 8.126 8.372 8.686 7.897 8.126 8.372 10.312 9.512 9.827 9.780 5.559 5.303 5.526 5.057 23,187. 23,187. 23,187. 22,811.
33 8.568 7.981 8.276 8.587 8.568 7.981 8.276 8.587 10.184 9.614 10.019 10.074 5.505 5.361 5.646 5.268 28,510. 28,510. 28,510. 28,135.
36 8.585 8.154 8.671 8.737 8.585 8.154 8.671 8.737 10.248 9.859 10.496 10.255 5.596 5.542 5.914 5.370 29,323. 29,323. 29,323. 29,025.
39 8.831 8.485 ******* 8.449 8.831 8.485 ******* 8.449 10.635 10.288 ******* 9.953 5.925 5.817 -9999.00 5.262 24,681. 24,681. 0. 24,417.
42 9.083 8.689 ******* 8.520 9.083 8.689 ******* 8.520 10.803 10.424 ******* 10.028 5.848 5.758 -9999.00 5.288 20,656. 20,656. 0. 20,398.
45 9.001 8.579 ******* 8.340 9.001 8.579 ******* 8.340 10.651 10.266 ******* 9.860 5.694 5.639 -9999.00 5.260 17,042. 17,042. 0. 16,697.
48 9.292 8.747 ******* 8.594 9.292 8.747 ******* 8.594 11.101 10.616 ******* 10.104 6.074 6.016 -9999.00 5.315 16,558. 16,558. 0. 16,326.