MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1999121300 to 2000073100

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 7.440 7.442 ******* 8.420 7.440 7.442 ******* 8.420 8.915 8.934 ******* 9.907 4.912 4.944 -9999.00 5.221 30,284. 30,284. 0. 29,902.
3 7.513 7.000 ******* 8.074 7.513 7.000 ******* 8.074 9.075 8.566 ******* 9.558 5.089 4.937 -9999.00 5.115 24,755. 24,755. 0. 24,485.
6 7.768 7.102 7.512 8.033 7.768 7.102 7.512 8.033 9.412 8.739 9.223 9.535 5.315 5.092 5.352 5.137 20,946. 20,946. 20,759. 20,738.
9 7.741 7.022 6.970 7.819 7.741 7.022 6.970 7.819 9.356 8.657 8.670 9.333 5.254 5.064 5.157 5.097 17,480. 17,480. 17,418. 17,330.
12 8.011 7.253 7.126 7.987 8.011 7.253 7.126 7.987 9.649 8.924 8.814 9.480 5.378 5.199 5.187 5.107 16,929. 16,929. 16,929. 16,779.
15 8.074 7.294 7.136 7.945 8.074 7.294 7.136 7.945 9.687 8.956 8.836 9.470 5.352 5.196 5.211 5.153 19,062. 19,062. 19,062. 18,880.
18 8.052 7.258 7.098 8.201 8.052 7.258 7.098 8.201 9.526 8.728 8.625 9.601 5.089 4.848 4.900 4.992 23,547. 23,547. 23,547. 23,346.
21 7.948 7.344 7.258 8.449 7.948 7.344 7.258 8.449 9.427 8.848 8.843 9.925 5.069 4.936 5.051 5.208 28,695. 28,695. 28,695. 28,456.
24 7.829 7.312 7.398 8.619 7.829 7.312 7.398 8.619 9.376 8.914 9.089 10.133 5.159 5.098 5.280 5.328 29,653. 29,653. 29,653. 29,501.
27 7.971 7.491 7.512 8.267 7.971 7.491 7.512 8.267 9.662 9.237 9.344 9.776 5.460 5.404 5.557 5.218 24,483. 24,483. 24,483. 24,342.
30 8.191 7.765 7.788 8.346 8.191 7.765 7.788 8.346 9.891 9.536 9.615 9.859 5.545 5.535 5.639 5.248 20,765. 20,765. 20,765. 20,647.
33 8.197 7.645 7.604 8.149 8.197 7.645 7.604 8.149 9.845 9.354 9.350 9.675 5.453 5.391 5.440 5.216 17,424. 17,424. 17,424. 17,324.
36 8.400 7.791 7.762 8.319 8.400 7.791 7.762 8.319 10.075 9.514 9.525 9.805 5.563 5.461 5.521 5.190 16,919. 16,919. 16,919. 16,816.
39 8.433 7.833 ******* 8.427 8.433 7.833 ******* 8.427 10.080 9.552 ******* 9.939 5.522 5.467 -9999.00 5.270 19,312. 19,312. 0. 19,193.
42 8.440 7.869 ******* 8.603 8.440 7.869 ******* 8.603 9.925 9.399 ******* 10.025 5.223 5.139 -9999.00 5.146 23,736. 23,736. 0. 23,611.
45 8.355 7.890 ******* 8.814 8.355 7.890 ******* 8.814 9.871 9.457 ******* 10.320 5.257 5.215 -9999.00 5.369 28,988. 28,988. 0. 28,831.
48 8.292 7.894 ******* 8.926 8.292 7.894 ******* 8.926 9.890 9.567 ******* 10.490 5.390 5.405 -9999.00 5.511 30,022. 30,022. 0. 29,854.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1999121300 to 2000073100

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 7.426 7.417 ******* 7.893 7.426 7.417 ******* 7.893 8.917 8.925 ******* 9.396 4.937 4.965 -9999.00 5.098 17,089. 17,089. 0. 16,746.
3 7.747 7.015 ******* 7.994 7.747 7.015 ******* 7.994 9.277 8.531 ******* 9.511 5.104 4.855 -9999.00 5.153 19,274. 19,274. 0. 18,873.
6 7.987 7.017 7.017 8.163 7.987 7.017 7.017 8.163 9.427 8.427 8.444 9.573 5.009 4.667 4.697 5.001 23,922. 23,922. 23,313. 23,547.
9 7.766 6.985 6.891 8.350 7.766 6.985 6.891 8.350 9.252 8.456 8.442 9.825 5.029 4.765 4.877 5.178 29,041. 29,041. 28,475. 28,606.
12 7.555 6.948 7.036 8.491 7.555 6.948 7.036 8.491 9.063 8.490 8.656 9.983 5.006 4.879 5.041 5.250 29,522. 29,522. 29,522. 29,179.
15 7.711 7.156 7.162 8.145 7.711 7.156 7.162 8.145 9.353 8.847 8.925 9.653 5.294 5.202 5.326 5.182 24,395. 24,395. 24,395. 23,991.
18 7.879 7.322 7.331 8.162 7.879 7.322 7.331 8.162 9.568 9.039 9.071 9.668 5.430 5.301 5.342 5.182 20,652. 20,652. 20,652. 20,371.
21 7.945 7.311 7.234 7.956 7.945 7.311 7.234 7.956 9.571 8.973 8.943 9.472 5.336 5.203 5.258 5.140 17,311. 17,311. 17,311. 17,053.
24 8.154 7.466 7.470 8.111 8.154 7.466 7.470 8.111 9.808 9.159 9.190 9.596 5.450 5.306 5.354 5.127 16,680. 16,680. 16,680. 16,416.
27 8.219 7.516 7.545 8.153 8.219 7.516 7.545 8.153 9.869 9.217 9.291 9.662 5.463 5.335 5.421 5.185 18,940. 18,940. 18,940. 18,614.
30 8.243 7.522 7.436 8.372 8.243 7.522 7.436 8.372 9.755 9.046 9.033 9.780 5.216 5.025 5.129 5.057 23,187. 23,187. 23,187. 22,811.
33 8.153 7.561 7.524 8.587 8.153 7.561 7.524 8.587 9.669 9.103 9.152 10.074 5.199 5.070 5.211 5.268 28,510. 28,510. 28,510. 28,135.
36 8.059 7.582 7.673 8.737 8.059 7.582 7.673 8.737 9.653 9.213 9.406 10.255 5.313 5.235 5.441 5.370 29,323. 29,323. 29,323. 29,025.
39 8.246 7.767 ******* 8.449 8.246 7.767 ******* 8.449 9.983 9.548 ******* 9.953 5.628 5.553 -9999.00 5.262 24,681. 24,681. 0. 24,417.
42 8.306 7.877 ******* 8.520 8.306 7.877 ******* 8.520 10.018 9.635 ******* 10.028 5.601 5.549 -9999.00 5.288 20,656. 20,656. 0. 20,398.
45 8.284 7.840 ******* 8.340 8.284 7.840 ******* 8.340 9.914 9.547 ******* 9.860 5.446 5.447 -9999.00 5.260 17,042. 17,042. 0. 16,697.
48 8.598 8.038 ******* 8.594 8.598 8.038 ******* 8.594 10.331 9.864 ******* 10.104 5.728 5.719 -9999.00 5.315 16,558. 16,558. 0. 16,326.