MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1999121300 to 2000073100

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 2.269 1.239 ******* 5.308 39.569 39.380 ******* 43.103 54.182 54.022 ******* 57.540 54.135 54.009 -9999.00 57.296 30,284. 30,284. 0. 29,902.
3 9.143 4.522 ******* 1.508 40.999 36.988 ******* 43.153 56.053 52.248 ******* 57.210 55.304 52.053 -9999.00 57.191 24,755. 24,755. 0. 24,485.
6 16.659 9.245 11.293 4.306 42.618 36.703 37.026 43.397 57.671 51.899 52.143 57.353 55.214 51.070 50.907 57.192 20,946. 20,946. 20,759. 20,738.
9 18.097 9.153 6.918 6.665 44.500 38.251 37.119 43.151 59.291 53.390 52.894 57.146 56.464 52.601 52.441 56.758 17,480. 17,480. 17,418. 17,330.
12 17.716 9.646 5.550 8.877 47.024 40.567 38.490 44.470 62.735 56.786 55.237 58.769 60.183 55.962 54.959 58.096 16,929. 16,929. 16,929. 16,779.
15 21.349 12.714 8.498 8.606 47.223 40.645 38.418 43.443 62.953 57.058 55.204 57.721 59.224 55.625 54.548 57.077 19,063. 19,063. 19,063. 18,881.
18 17.540 10.083 8.154 8.431 47.451 40.449 38.546 44.803 63.775 57.342 55.722 59.408 61.316 56.450 55.123 58.808 23,547. 23,547. 23,547. 23,346.
21 13.417 7.015 5.940 7.781 45.919 40.498 39.471 45.790 61.539 56.649 56.451 60.687 60.059 56.214 56.139 60.187 28,695. 28,695. 28,695. 28,456.
24 8.630 2.966 2.880 5.334 44.327 39.571 39.709 45.999 59.842 56.034 57.013 60.810 59.218 55.956 56.941 60.577 29,653. 29,653. 29,653. 29,501.
27 8.107 3.298 3.724 2.996 44.875 40.415 39.973 45.699 60.799 57.183 57.465 60.416 60.257 57.089 57.346 60.342 24,483. 24,483. 24,483. 24,342.
30 12.918 6.570 5.763 3.195 46.664 42.242 41.675 47.663 62.385 58.742 58.949 62.760 61.035 58.375 58.668 62.680 20,765. 20,765. 20,765. 20,647.
33 15.053 7.561 6.037 5.356 49.101 43.655 42.908 47.906 64.490 60.297 60.383 62.985 62.710 59.822 60.082 62.759 17,424. 17,424. 17,424. 17,324.
36 16.268 8.992 6.273 8.126 50.743 45.429 44.574 49.260 67.054 62.726 62.520 64.969 65.053 62.080 62.207 64.461 16,919. 16,919. 16,919. 16,816.
39 20.311 13.323 ******* 10.019 50.710 45.614 ******* 48.760 67.345 63.561 ******* 64.583 64.211 62.151 -9999.00 63.803 19,312. 19,312. 0. 19,193.
42 15.486 9.147 ******* 8.003 51.419 45.983 ******* 50.355 68.546 64.297 ******* 66.658 66.775 63.644 -9999.00 66.178 23,736. 23,736. 0. 23,611.
45 11.285 4.802 ******* 6.432 50.220 45.779 ******* 50.904 66.849 63.538 ******* 67.122 65.891 63.358 -9999.00 66.814 28,988. 28,988. 0. 28,831.
48 7.111 2.286 ******* 2.952 48.696 44.621 ******* 50.791 65.022 62.373 ******* 66.687 64.633 62.332 -9999.00 66.623 30,022. 30,022. 0. 29,854.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1999121300 to 2000073100

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 4.160 1.993 ******* 4.653 40.258 40.137 ******* 44.076 55.168 55.186 ******* 59.139 55.013 55.152 -9999.00 58.958 17,089. 17,089. 0. 16,746.
3 19.132 10.806 ******* 6.088 43.871 37.962 ******* 42.690 58.843 53.583 ******* 57.120 55.647 52.483 -9999.00 56.796 19,274. 19,274. 0. 18,873.
6 19.314 11.215 11.609 7.493 46.501 37.508 37.468 42.562 62.110 53.178 52.931 57.005 59.032 51.983 51.643 56.512 23,922. 23,922. 23,313. 23,547.
9 13.883 7.313 6.786 7.559 43.545 36.657 36.326 43.698 58.853 51.832 52.235 58.363 57.194 51.314 51.793 57.872 29,041. 29,041. 28,475. 28,606.
12 8.528 3.623 3.927 4.766 42.155 36.852 37.088 44.134 57.221 52.437 53.626 58.496 56.583 52.312 53.483 58.303 29,522. 29,522. 29,522. 29,179.
15 6.152 2.207 4.134 2.447 42.188 37.306 36.955 44.434 57.163 52.976 53.547 58.924 56.832 52.931 53.389 58.874 24,395. 24,395. 24,395. 23,991.
18 13.267 7.081 6.873 2.767 43.933 38.222 37.706 45.691 59.355 54.020 53.979 60.046 57.855 53.555 53.541 59.984 20,652. 20,652. 20,652. 20,371.
21 15.549 8.365 7.172 6.097 46.348 40.729 39.343 45.345 61.313 56.718 56.098 59.834 59.310 56.099 55.639 59.524 17,311. 17,311. 17,311. 17,053.
24 15.902 7.922 6.950 8.269 48.133 42.213 41.423 46.208 64.156 58.775 58.726 61.289 62.156 58.240 58.315 60.730 16,680. 16,680. 16,680. 16,416.
27 19.379 12.366 10.631 8.786 48.315 42.279 41.938 45.806 64.512 59.265 59.548 60.767 61.534 57.962 58.593 60.130 18,940. 18,940. 18,940. 18,614.
30 16.690 9.626 8.363 8.392 48.646 42.224 41.555 46.771 65.041 59.474 59.410 62.191 62.864 58.691 58.820 61.623 23,187. 23,187. 23,187. 22,811.
33 11.963 5.468 5.775 7.137 47.559 42.116 42.131 48.033 63.463 58.807 59.766 63.462 62.327 58.553 59.487 63.061 28,510. 28,510. 28,510. 28,135.
36 9.114 3.724 4.213 6.404 46.437 41.918 42.304 48.334 62.346 58.830 60.113 63.622 61.677 58.713 59.966 63.300 29,323. 29,323. 29,323. 29,025.
39 5.854 1.453 ******* 3.121 47.210 43.203 ******* 47.749 63.366 60.620 ******* 62.636 63.097 60.604 -9999.00 62.559 24,681. 24,681. 0. 24,417.
42 11.680 6.900 ******* 2.929 48.152 43.398 ******* 49.157 64.228 60.229 ******* 64.220 63.159 59.834 -9999.00 64.155 20,656. 20,656. 0. 20,398.
45 13.881 6.766 ******* 4.253 50.103 46.070 ******* 49.926 65.659 63.242 ******* 65.270 64.177 62.881 -9999.00 65.133 17,042. 17,042. 0. 16,697.
48 14.167 6.762 ******* 6.243 52.376 47.271 ******* 51.227 68.811 65.099 ******* 67.285 67.338 64.749 -9999.00 66.997 16,558. 16,558. 0. 16,326.