MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1999121300 to 2000073100

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -1.026 -1.128 ******* -1.093 4.494 4.522 ******* 4.521 6.065 6.101 ******* 6.143 5.978 5.996 -9999.00 6.045 30,682. 30,682. 0. 30,295.
3 -0.490 -0.100 ******* -2.268 4.218 4.305 ******* 4.511 5.804 5.833 ******* 6.277 5.783 5.833 -9999.00 5.853 25,075. 25,075. 0. 24,801.
6 0.135 0.526 2.396 -2.594 4.436 4.547 5.440 4.592 6.084 6.100 7.565 6.484 6.083 6.077 7.176 5.942 21,243. 21,243. 21,053. 21,032.
9 -0.362 0.113 1.334 -2.662 4.293 4.347 4.747 4.554 5.962 5.914 6.264 6.440 5.952 5.913 6.120 5.865 17,756. 17,756. 17,694. 17,603.
12 -0.590 -0.104 0.969 -2.984 4.337 4.357 4.723 4.755 5.973 5.902 6.213 6.603 5.944 5.901 6.137 5.890 17,198. 17,198. 17,198. 17,047.
15 -0.774 -0.318 0.632 -2.793 4.449 4.382 4.682 4.722 6.083 5.990 6.266 6.536 6.034 5.981 6.234 5.909 19,332. 19,332. 19,332. 19,147.
18 -1.512 -1.205 -0.276 -1.747 4.553 4.445 4.585 4.467 6.049 5.891 6.053 6.102 5.857 5.766 6.046 5.847 23,956. 23,956. 23,956. 23,751.
21 -1.514 -1.050 -0.086 -1.401 4.492 4.508 4.700 4.456 6.050 6.046 6.264 6.096 5.858 5.954 6.264 5.933 29,213. 29,213. 29,213. 28,967.
24 -0.891 -0.322 0.779 -1.166 4.357 4.504 4.859 4.428 5.907 6.007 6.387 6.076 5.840 5.998 6.340 5.963 30,048. 30,048. 30,048. 29,892.
27 -0.654 0.153 1.458 -2.593 4.345 4.564 4.956 4.595 6.035 6.163 6.549 6.431 6.000 6.162 6.385 5.886 24,804. 24,804. 24,804. 24,662.
30 -0.114 0.315 1.274 -2.960 4.493 4.730 5.114 4.690 6.147 6.339 6.695 6.637 6.146 6.331 6.573 5.941 21,060. 21,060. 21,060. 20,941.
33 -0.460 -0.104 0.841 -2.970 4.437 4.591 4.895 4.641 6.115 6.228 6.510 6.558 6.097 6.227 6.456 5.847 17,701. 17,701. 17,701. 17,600.
36 -0.728 -0.319 0.608 -3.262 4.470 4.535 4.876 4.893 6.113 6.133 6.460 6.743 6.069 6.125 6.431 5.902 17,187. 17,187. 17,187. 17,083.
39 -1.206 -0.844 ******* -3.114 4.618 4.615 ******* 4.983 6.335 6.297 ******* 6.833 6.220 6.241 -9999.00 6.083 19,578. 19,578. 0. 19,457.
42 -2.198 -1.899 ******* -2.285 4.903 4.888 ******* 4.745 6.530 6.442 ******* 6.436 6.149 6.155 -9999.00 6.017 24,143. 24,143. 0. 24,012.
45 -2.154 -1.762 ******* -1.945 4.812 4.840 ******* 4.615 6.462 6.446 ******* 6.332 6.093 6.200 -9999.00 6.026 29,485. 29,485. 0. 29,325.
48 -1.539 -1.115 ******* -1.768 4.558 4.733 ******* 4.541 6.199 6.317 ******* 6.259 6.005 6.218 -9999.00 6.004 30,397. 30,397. 0. 30,228.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1999121300 to 2000073100

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -2.125 -2.399 ******* -3.561 4.697 4.690 ******* 5.020 6.438 6.447 ******* 6.876 6.077 5.984 -9999.00 5.883 17,356. 17,356. 0. 17,009.
3 -0.309 -0.146 ******* -2.559 4.462 4.444 ******* 4.798 6.039 5.972 ******* 6.585 6.031 5.971 -9999.00 6.067 19,546. 19,546. 0. 19,140.
6 -1.310 -0.904 -0.045 -1.492 4.492 4.318 4.516 4.578 5.976 5.728 6.125 6.196 5.830 5.656 6.125 6.013 24,334. 24,334. 23,721. 23,954.
9 -1.489 -0.931 0.274 -1.103 4.388 4.315 4.470 4.471 5.916 5.786 5.965 6.084 5.725 5.711 5.959 5.983 29,559. 29,559. 28,991. 29,119.
12 -0.846 -0.204 1.125 -0.844 4.178 4.275 4.719 4.382 5.682 5.725 6.212 5.970 5.619 5.722 6.110 5.910 29,920. 29,920. 29,920. 29,571.
15 -0.546 0.180 1.740 -2.333 4.217 4.458 4.933 4.472 5.890 6.034 6.489 6.274 5.865 6.031 6.251 5.824 24,712. 24,712. 24,712. 24,302.
18 0.069 0.439 1.584 -2.765 4.434 4.627 5.031 4.587 6.085 6.210 6.590 6.502 6.085 6.194 6.397 5.885 20,948. 20,948. 20,948. 20,663.
21 -0.288 0.075 1.177 -2.842 4.374 4.465 4.811 4.574 6.034 6.052 6.369 6.472 6.027 6.051 6.259 5.815 17,584. 17,584. 17,584. 17,319.
24 -0.518 -0.062 1.021 -3.027 4.475 4.477 4.867 4.779 6.105 6.039 6.413 6.617 6.083 6.039 6.332 5.884 16,944. 16,944. 16,944. 16,674.
27 -0.845 -0.440 0.673 -2.780 4.580 4.541 4.905 4.808 6.220 6.152 6.489 6.581 6.163 6.137 6.455 5.966 19,214. 19,214. 19,214. 18,882.
30 -1.814 -1.506 -0.395 -1.938 4.767 4.694 4.778 4.677 6.290 6.188 6.279 6.317 6.023 6.002 6.266 6.012 23,595. 23,595. 23,595. 23,213.
33 -1.732 -1.350 -0.219 -1.604 4.630 4.652 4.770 4.523 6.231 6.215 6.319 6.181 5.985 6.067 6.316 5.969 29,022. 29,022. 29,022. 28,641.
36 -1.146 -0.728 0.535 -1.526 4.429 4.608 4.917 4.486 6.020 6.155 6.479 6.143 5.910 6.112 6.457 5.950 29,716. 29,716. 29,716. 29,411.
39 -0.935 -0.247 ******* -2.840 4.439 4.651 ******* 4.744 6.173 6.312 ******* 6.571 6.102 6.308 -9999.00 5.926 24,991. 24,991. 0. 24,723.
42 -0.426 0.005 ******* -3.097 4.512 4.765 ******* 4.803 6.211 6.400 ******* 6.718 6.196 6.400 -9999.00 5.961 20,938. 20,938. 0. 20,676.
45 -0.793 -0.442 ******* -3.009 4.469 4.656 ******* 4.661 6.154 6.284 ******* 6.526 6.103 6.269 -9999.00 5.792 17,307. 17,307. 0. 16,957.
48 -1.013 -0.538 ******* -3.197 4.573 4.604 ******* 4.916 6.284 6.260 ******* 6.761 6.202 6.237 -9999.00 5.958 16,811. 16,811. 0. 16,575.