MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of TEM1 (Lowest Sigma Temp Kelvin ) From 2000030100 to 2000063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -1.468 -1.538 ******* -0.491 2.043 2.130 ******* 1.960 2.640 2.744 ******* 2.559 2.194 2.272 -9999.00 2.511 32,162. 32,162. 0. 32,162.
3 0.428 0.474 ******* -0.527 1.533 1.466 ******* 1.858 2.045 1.970 ******* 2.408 1.999 1.912 -9999.00 2.350 31,052. 31,052. 0. 31,052.
6 1.283 1.281 1.280 0.150 2.061 1.997 1.998 1.900 2.822 2.759 2.758 2.459 2.513 2.444 2.443 2.454 30,770. 30,770. 30,658. 30,770.
9 1.433 1.535 1.368 0.259 2.292 2.261 2.175 2.010 3.156 3.139 3.038 2.621 2.812 2.738 2.713 2.608 29,963. 29,963. 29,853. 29,963.
12 1.633 1.799 1.643 0.358 2.489 2.494 2.364 2.104 3.418 3.450 3.304 2.758 3.003 2.944 2.866 2.735 30,009. 30,009. 30,009. 30,009.
15 -0.122 0.096 -0.150 0.011 1.959 1.782 1.756 1.826 2.573 2.381 2.332 2.417 2.570 2.379 2.327 2.417 31,600. 31,600. 31,600. 31,600.
18 -1.339 -1.116 -1.412 -0.400 2.354 2.068 2.168 1.943 2.996 2.660 2.761 2.601 2.680 2.415 2.373 2.571 31,546. 31,546. 31,546. 31,546.
21 -1.696 -1.494 -1.678 -0.744 2.565 2.307 2.396 2.209 3.182 2.893 2.990 2.867 2.692 2.477 2.474 2.769 31,304. 31,304. 31,304. 31,304.
24 -1.552 -1.343 -1.537 -0.864 2.440 2.237 2.336 2.322 3.063 2.844 2.949 2.927 2.641 2.507 2.517 2.797 31,677. 31,677. 31,677. 31,677.
27 0.113 0.137 -0.232 -0.515 1.714 1.603 1.566 2.001 2.256 2.130 2.085 2.574 2.253 2.125 2.073 2.522 30,660. 30,660. 30,660. 30,660.
30 1.034 1.033 0.896 0.266 2.043 1.982 1.893 1.919 2.702 2.634 2.529 2.478 2.496 2.423 2.365 2.464 30,668. 30,668. 30,668. 30,668.
33 1.265 1.365 1.387 0.488 2.293 2.263 2.229 2.083 3.056 3.034 3.006 2.705 2.782 2.710 2.666 2.661 29,855. 29,855. 29,855. 29,855.
36 1.495 1.644 1.738 0.599 2.481 2.493 2.491 2.199 3.319 3.347 3.362 2.877 2.963 2.916 2.878 2.814 30,000. 30,000. 30,000. 30,000.
39 -0.307 -0.077 ******* 0.247 2.004 1.824 ******* 1.886 2.626 2.422 ******* 2.512 2.608 2.421 -9999.00 2.500 31,888. 31,888. 0. 31,888.
42 -1.682 -1.398 ******* -0.290 2.542 2.234 ******* 2.031 3.240 2.878 ******* 2.720 2.770 2.515 -9999.00 2.704 31,557. 31,557. 0. 31,557.
45 -1.927 -1.694 ******* -0.684 2.824 2.572 ******* 2.407 3.500 3.220 ******* 3.104 2.922 2.738 -9999.00 3.028 31,447. 31,447. 0. 31,447.
48 -1.702 -1.466 ******* -0.861 2.669 2.452 ******* 2.540 3.328 3.111 ******* 3.204 2.861 2.744 -9999.00 3.086 32,014. 32,014. 0. 32,014.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of TEM1 (Lowest Sigma Temp Kelvin ) From 2000030100 to 2000063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 2.042 1.913 ******* -0.489 2.535 2.472 ******* 2.022 3.468 3.394 ******* 2.655 2.803 2.804 -9999.00 2.610 30,114. 30,114. 0. 29,855.
3 0.349 0.216 ******* -0.601 1.765 1.645 ******* 1.832 2.402 2.265 ******* 2.432 2.376 2.255 -9999.00 2.357 31,884. 31,884. 0. 31,604.
6 -1.045 -1.036 -1.067 -0.784 2.125 1.969 1.975 1.964 2.722 2.535 2.541 2.596 2.513 2.314 2.306 2.474 31,815. 31,815. 31,298. 31,583.
9 -1.488 -1.420 -1.281 -0.957 2.350 2.214 2.129 2.205 2.948 2.790 2.697 2.846 2.545 2.402 2.374 2.680 31,572. 31,572. 31,304. 31,345.
12 -1.356 -1.244 -1.133 -0.993 2.229 2.090 2.016 2.298 2.820 2.678 2.605 2.887 2.472 2.372 2.346 2.711 31,941. 31,941. 31,941. 31,729.
15 0.271 0.199 0.238 -0.628 1.646 1.548 1.550 1.981 2.158 2.055 2.053 2.534 2.141 2.045 2.039 2.455 30,925. 30,925. 30,925. 30,712.
18 1.141 1.057 1.392 0.147 2.038 1.956 2.086 1.904 2.698 2.606 2.790 2.455 2.445 2.382 2.418 2.451 30,668. 30,668. 30,668. 30,450.
21 1.313 1.347 1.843 0.398 2.261 2.212 2.436 2.051 3.038 2.982 3.280 2.667 2.740 2.660 2.713 2.637 29,855. 29,855. 29,855. 29,642.
24 1.464 1.568 2.158 0.491 2.408 2.388 2.687 2.150 3.263 3.249 3.630 2.812 2.916 2.846 2.919 2.769 29,722. 29,722. 29,722. 29,507.
27 -0.385 -0.178 0.350 0.103 1.975 1.779 1.787 1.840 2.613 2.378 2.409 2.448 2.585 2.371 2.383 2.446 31,605. 31,605. 31,605. 31,375.
30 -1.709 -1.480 -1.252 -0.462 2.551 2.251 2.114 2.006 3.249 2.887 2.747 2.673 2.763 2.478 2.446 2.633 31,030. 31,030. 31,030. 30,801.
33 -1.981 -1.762 -1.633 -0.836 2.782 2.539 2.455 2.360 3.446 3.162 3.078 3.053 2.820 2.625 2.609 2.937 31,305. 31,305. 31,305. 31,076.
36 -1.817 -1.556 -1.512 -0.940 2.620 2.391 2.360 2.487 3.257 3.010 2.988 3.133 2.703 2.577 2.578 2.989 31,348. 31,348. 31,348. 31,146.
39 -0.072 -0.005 ******* -0.494 1.734 1.646 ******* 2.038 2.273 2.171 ******* 2.639 2.272 2.171 -9999.00 2.593 31,027. 31,027. 0. 30,810.
42 0.895 0.905 ******* 0.352 1.993 1.958 ******* 1.945 2.622 2.589 ******* 2.520 2.465 2.425 -9999.00 2.496 30,207. 30,207. 0. 29,989.
45 1.107 1.200 ******* 0.566 2.239 2.224 ******* 2.123 2.970 2.972 ******* 2.759 2.757 2.719 -9999.00 2.700 29,223. 29,223. 0. 29,012.
48 1.296 1.448 ******* 0.670 2.400 2.413 ******* 2.232 3.213 3.251 ******* 2.920 2.940 2.911 -9999.00 2.842 28,552. 28,552. 0. 28,338.