MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) From 2000030100 to 2000063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 1.253 1.298 ******* 3.932 51.545 51.252 ******* 53.893 68.811 68.592 ******* 70.653 68.800 68.581 -9999.00 70.544 33,611. 33,611. 0. 33,611.
3 5.377 3.247 ******* 0.320 55.196 53.496 ******* 58.012 72.545 71.407 ******* 74.877 72.347 71.334 -9999.00 74.878 32,843. 32,843. 0. 32,843.
6 7.373 5.612 7.029 -0.946 60.942 57.498 57.590 63.074 78.125 75.538 75.552 79.943 77.778 75.331 75.225 79.939 32,081. 32,081. 31,851. 32,081.
9 8.870 7.028 8.357 1.741 65.866 62.173 60.102 66.200 82.686 79.922 78.118 83.009 82.210 79.614 77.671 82.992 30,586. 30,586. 30,476. 30,586.
12 8.818 6.838 7.328 3.471 68.739 64.701 62.310 68.606 85.601 82.728 80.683 85.204 85.147 82.446 80.351 85.134 31,392. 31,392. 31,392. 31,392.
15 13.680 9.165 7.961 6.404 68.419 64.108 61.662 66.641 85.389 82.292 80.306 83.437 84.288 81.781 79.912 83.192 33,126. 33,126. 33,126. 33,126.
18 9.744 5.806 5.450 6.825 62.237 56.407 53.943 61.093 79.763 74.830 72.625 78.052 79.167 74.605 72.422 77.754 32,432. 32,432. 32,432. 32,432.
21 6.148 3.983 4.100 3.792 55.768 51.264 50.161 57.435 72.708 68.861 68.313 74.352 72.449 68.746 68.191 74.257 32,345. 32,345. 32,345. 32,345.
24 4.210 1.578 3.017 2.230 53.942 49.753 49.439 56.442 70.816 67.446 67.636 73.249 70.691 67.428 67.570 73.216 32,996. 32,996. 32,996. 32,996.
27 1.843 0.502 3.084 0.794 57.132 54.700 54.046 58.999 74.464 72.787 72.385 75.464 74.442 72.786 72.320 75.461 32,307. 32,307. 32,307. 32,307.
30 2.125 0.739 3.512 -2.418 63.683 61.236 59.532 65.704 80.620 79.058 77.543 82.346 80.593 79.055 77.465 82.311 31,860. 31,860. 31,860. 31,860.
33 4.057 3.689 5.324 0.502 68.711 65.786 63.889 68.760 85.120 83.185 81.858 85.213 85.025 83.105 81.686 85.213 30,478. 30,478. 30,478. 30,478.
36 5.686 4.626 6.385 3.423 71.496 68.519 66.811 70.912 88.061 86.300 84.850 87.493 87.878 86.177 84.611 87.428 31,380. 31,380. 31,380. 31,380.
39 11.956 9.682 ******* 7.077 71.828 68.439 ******* 70.300 88.678 86.676 ******* 87.016 87.870 86.135 -9999.00 86.729 33,538. 33,538. 0. 33,538.
42 8.203 5.957 ******* 6.469 65.323 60.709 ******* 65.649 82.715 79.228 ******* 82.876 82.309 79.005 -9999.00 82.625 32,545. 32,545. 0. 32,545.
45 5.431 3.592 ******* 3.791 58.845 55.434 ******* 60.974 75.751 73.239 ******* 78.091 75.557 73.152 -9999.00 78.000 32,619. 32,619. 0. 32,619.
48 3.162 1.352 ******* 0.994 57.054 53.505 ******* 59.970 73.867 71.376 ******* 76.821 73.800 71.364 -9999.00 76.816 33,498. 33,498. 0. 33,498.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) From 2000030100 to 2000063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 3.208 2.270 ******* 3.659 66.495 66.179 ******* 69.076 84.058 83.833 ******* 85.998 83.998 83.803 -9999.00 85.921 31,614. 31,614. 0. 31,338.
3 13.625 8.409 ******* 6.015 67.746 64.060 ******* 67.519 84.862 82.504 ******* 84.694 83.763 82.076 -9999.00 84.481 33,531. 33,531. 0. 33,239.
6 11.345 7.561 7.562 6.481 61.634 54.494 54.448 59.563 78.808 72.577 72.508 76.724 77.988 72.183 72.114 76.451 32,820. 32,820. 32,173. 32,584.
9 7.046 4.265 5.052 4.093 53.538 47.798 47.078 55.950 70.450 65.127 64.782 72.991 70.098 64.988 64.586 72.877 32,729. 32,729. 32,345. 32,493.
12 4.336 2.049 3.617 2.005 51.496 46.904 47.138 54.145 68.250 64.182 65.060 70.662 68.113 64.150 64.960 70.635 33,276. 33,276. 33,276. 33,065.
15 0.723 0.538 4.354 0.817 54.541 52.276 51.603 57.556 71.700 70.302 69.975 74.100 71.698 70.301 69.840 74.096 32,585. 32,585. 32,585. 32,355.
18 1.937 1.627 4.945 -2.064 61.579 58.210 56.936 64.166 78.822 76.192 75.011 80.873 78.800 76.176 74.849 80.848 31,860. 31,860. 31,860. 31,636.
21 4.777 4.418 6.791 1.193 66.727 64.241 62.347 67.126 83.233 81.998 80.370 83.674 83.097 81.880 80.084 83.667 30,478. 30,478. 30,478. 30,261.
24 5.152 5.058 6.947 2.531 69.835 66.736 65.657 69.531 86.584 84.539 83.738 86.254 86.432 84.389 83.451 86.218 31,090. 31,090. 31,090. 30,864.
27 11.306 9.041 8.358 6.595 69.364 65.976 65.256 67.742 86.404 84.185 83.691 84.649 85.662 83.700 83.274 84.393 33,134. 33,134. 33,134. 32,893.
30 9.478 6.375 6.854 6.415 62.626 58.018 56.687 62.519 80.025 76.407 75.364 79.740 79.463 76.142 75.053 79.483 31,899. 31,899. 31,899. 31,660.
33 5.312 3.721 4.953 3.499 56.657 52.044 52.029 58.916 73.461 69.523 70.033 75.924 73.270 69.424 69.858 75.845 32,350. 32,350. 32,350. 32,109.
36 3.920 2.148 4.145 2.353 54.434 50.855 51.177 57.681 71.313 68.476 69.426 74.473 71.207 68.444 69.304 74.437 32,670. 32,670. 32,670. 32,455.
39 -0.550 -0.626 ******* 0.193 58.253 56.952 ******* 59.925 75.369 75.194 ******* 76.363 75.368 75.192 -9999.00 76.364 32,795. 32,795. 0. 32,564.
42 0.895 0.429 ******* -2.982 63.888 61.494 ******* 66.476 80.927 79.371 ******* 82.962 80.924 79.371 -9999.00 82.910 31,488. 31,488. 0. 31,259.
45 3.760 3.149 ******* 0.166 68.739 66.532 ******* 69.629 85.346 84.178 ******* 86.081 85.265 84.121 -9999.00 86.082 29,849. 29,849. 0. 29,633.
48 4.941 4.363 ******* 1.250 71.876 69.089 ******* 71.922 88.552 86.927 ******* 88.605 88.415 86.819 -9999.00 88.597 30,022. 30,022. 0. 29,799.