MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) From 2000030100 to 2000063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 1.387 1.356 ******* 1.768 4.292 4.290 ******* 4.490 5.630 5.631 ******* 5.797 5.456 5.466 -9999.00 5.522 34,326. 34,326. 0. 34,326.
3 1.668 1.854 ******* 1.018 4.047 4.078 ******* 3.960 5.222 5.264 ******* 5.222 4.949 4.927 -9999.00 5.121 33,281. 33,281. 0. 33,281.
6 3.080 3.222 4.744 1.444 4.856 4.910 6.030 4.106 6.023 6.119 7.907 5.317 5.176 5.202 6.325 5.117 32,625. 32,625. 32,395. 32,625.
9 3.079 3.212 4.601 1.623 4.742 4.757 5.705 3.926 5.858 5.907 6.987 5.055 4.984 4.958 5.259 4.788 30,941. 30,941. 30,831. 30,941.
12 2.973 3.101 4.140 1.479 4.670 4.636 5.336 3.829 5.796 5.805 6.644 4.973 4.976 4.907 5.197 4.748 31,769. 31,769. 31,769. 31,769.
15 2.457 2.406 3.146 1.380 4.418 4.221 4.652 3.863 5.639 5.459 6.057 5.084 5.076 4.900 5.176 4.893 33,643. 33,643. 33,643. 33,643.
18 0.573 0.529 1.406 1.461 3.889 3.726 4.085 4.012 5.158 4.992 5.521 5.249 5.126 4.964 5.339 5.041 33,427. 33,427. 33,427. 33,427.
21 0.432 0.604 1.636 1.382 4.068 3.989 4.446 4.241 5.361 5.328 5.961 5.525 5.343 5.294 5.732 5.349 33,304. 33,304. 33,304. 33,304.
24 1.188 1.463 2.727 1.667 4.262 4.315 4.990 4.466 5.554 5.678 6.546 5.769 5.425 5.486 5.951 5.523 33,703. 33,703. 33,703. 33,703.
27 1.969 2.471 4.020 0.843 4.349 4.560 5.502 4.065 5.553 5.853 6.921 5.324 5.193 5.306 5.634 5.257 32,743. 32,743. 32,743. 32,743.
30 3.072 3.279 4.346 1.167 4.961 5.117 5.820 4.097 6.128 6.374 7.210 5.333 5.302 5.467 5.753 5.204 32,405. 32,405. 32,405. 32,405.
33 3.053 3.168 4.173 1.408 4.825 4.908 5.524 3.921 5.943 6.098 6.872 5.075 5.099 5.210 5.461 4.876 30,833. 30,833. 30,833. 30,833.
36 2.989 3.109 3.987 1.238 4.784 4.788 5.350 3.848 5.910 5.950 6.668 5.010 5.099 5.073 5.345 4.854 31,757. 31,757. 31,757. 31,757.
39 2.248 2.253 ******* 1.084 4.465 4.362 ******* 3.916 5.692 5.606 ******* 5.165 5.230 5.133 -9999.00 5.050 34,053. 34,053. 0. 34,053.
42 0.085 0.201 ******* 1.013 3.963 3.967 ******* 4.078 5.321 5.299 ******* 5.353 5.320 5.295 -9999.00 5.256 33,532. 33,532. 0. 33,532.
45 -0.182 0.083 ******* 0.828 4.120 4.148 ******* 4.282 5.495 5.541 ******* 5.613 5.493 5.540 -9999.00 5.552 33,562. 33,562. 0. 33,562.
48 0.556 0.857 ******* 0.978 4.265 4.393 ******* 4.419 5.623 5.770 ******* 5.762 5.595 5.706 -9999.00 5.678 34,193. 34,193. 0. 34,193.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) From 2000030100 to 2000063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 1.830 1.690 ******* 0.901 4.056 3.985 ******* 3.617 5.231 5.168 ******* 4.817 4.901 4.884 -9999.00 4.732 31,991. 31,991. 0. 31,711.
3 2.557 2.238 ******* 1.468 4.412 4.072 ******* 3.983 5.582 5.259 ******* 5.206 4.961 4.759 -9999.00 4.995 34,048. 34,048. 0. 33,752.
6 0.604 0.609 1.088 1.690 3.860 3.654 3.835 4.171 5.102 4.864 5.153 5.424 5.066 4.826 5.037 5.154 33,815. 33,815. 33,166. 33,566.
9 0.368 0.581 1.876 1.666 3.939 3.807 4.319 4.349 5.189 5.079 5.806 5.628 5.176 5.046 5.495 5.376 33,688. 33,688. 33,304. 33,442.
12 1.104 1.398 2.862 1.923 4.049 4.084 4.895 4.515 5.316 5.398 6.444 5.819 5.200 5.214 5.773 5.492 33,989. 33,989. 33,989. 33,766.
15 1.929 2.399 4.123 0.963 4.239 4.469 5.454 3.989 5.441 5.720 6.854 5.250 5.088 5.193 5.475 5.161 33,025. 33,025. 33,025. 32,791.
18 3.154 3.297 4.612 1.294 4.955 5.059 5.871 4.083 6.128 6.292 7.213 5.300 5.254 5.360 5.546 5.140 32,405. 32,405. 32,405. 32,176.
21 3.066 3.181 4.348 1.469 4.764 4.819 5.589 3.911 5.883 5.997 6.904 5.059 5.021 5.084 5.362 4.841 30,833. 30,833. 30,833. 30,612.
24 2.984 3.147 4.167 1.385 4.715 4.726 5.405 3.844 5.850 5.907 6.738 4.988 5.032 4.999 5.295 4.791 31,465. 31,465. 31,465. 31,235.
27 2.312 2.358 3.272 1.256 4.382 4.292 4.854 3.874 5.608 5.528 6.263 5.114 5.109 5.000 5.340 4.958 33,649. 33,649. 33,649. 33,402.
30 0.212 0.256 1.349 1.092 3.872 3.780 4.199 4.028 5.170 5.081 5.638 5.296 5.166 5.074 5.474 5.183 32,871. 32,871. 32,871. 32,624.
33 0.146 0.301 1.527 1.039 4.052 4.024 4.501 4.230 5.359 5.372 5.975 5.529 5.358 5.364 5.777 5.430 33,305. 33,305. 33,305. 33,058.
36 0.940 1.138 2.549 1.228 4.243 4.349 5.029 4.431 5.544 5.718 6.580 5.755 5.463 5.604 6.066 5.622 33,364. 33,364. 33,364. 33,141.
39 1.706 2.194 ******* 0.575 4.301 4.549 ******* 4.096 5.515 5.833 ******* 5.420 5.245 5.405 -9999.00 5.389 33,233. 33,233. 0. 32,996.
42 2.968 3.229 ******* 1.060 4.907 5.133 ******* 4.142 6.086 6.398 ******* 5.411 5.313 5.524 -9999.00 5.306 32,019. 32,019. 0. 31,786.
45 2.973 3.087 ******* 1.404 4.799 4.900 ******* 3.987 5.920 6.094 ******* 5.155 5.119 5.254 -9999.00 4.961 30,202. 30,202. 0. 29,984.
48 2.969 3.116 ******* 1.415 4.803 4.829 ******* 3.987 5.945 6.013 ******* 5.177 5.151 5.143 -9999.00 4.979 30,385. 30,385. 0. 30,156.