MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of TEM2 (Avg Sfc/Lowest Sigma Temp Kelvin ) From 2000030100 to 2000063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -1.906 -1.794 ******* -0.272 2.456 2.338 ******* 2.279 3.105 2.989 ******* 3.017 2.452 2.391 -9999.00 3.005 32,162. 32,162. 0. 32,162.
3 -0.456 -0.218 ******* -1.846 1.758 1.523 ******* 2.782 2.295 2.020 ******* 3.464 2.249 2.008 -9999.00 2.931 31,052. 31,052. 0. 31,052.
6 0.212 0.355 0.472 -1.326 1.840 1.710 1.676 2.431 2.412 2.283 2.253 3.071 2.402 2.256 2.203 2.769 30,770. 30,770. 30,658. 30,770.
9 0.459 0.664 0.322 -1.185 1.963 1.887 1.794 2.322 2.603 2.554 2.414 2.951 2.562 2.467 2.392 2.702 29,963. 29,963. 29,853. 29,963.
12 0.706 0.937 0.634 -1.059 2.098 2.072 1.927 2.286 2.797 2.812 2.624 2.925 2.706 2.651 2.546 2.727 30,009. 30,009. 30,009. 30,009.
15 -0.110 0.267 -0.144 -0.187 1.824 1.676 1.605 1.881 2.387 2.227 2.131 2.492 2.384 2.211 2.127 2.485 31,600. 31,600. 31,600. 31,600.
18 -0.227 0.281 -0.039 0.836 1.981 1.796 1.711 2.344 2.609 2.417 2.298 3.075 2.599 2.401 2.298 2.959 31,546. 31,546. 31,546. 31,546.
21 -0.535 0.022 -0.101 0.676 2.172 1.933 1.893 2.535 2.834 2.602 2.521 3.327 2.783 2.602 2.519 3.257 31,304. 31,304. 31,304. 31,304.
24 -1.312 -0.685 -0.831 -0.499 2.468 2.085 2.073 2.509 3.125 2.733 2.706 3.240 2.836 2.646 2.575 3.202 31,677. 31,677. 31,677. 31,677.
27 -0.664 -0.422 -0.716 -1.715 1.969 1.705 1.699 2.818 2.556 2.251 2.228 3.510 2.469 2.211 2.110 3.062 30,660. 30,660. 30,660. 30,660.
30 0.095 0.257 0.171 -1.104 1.856 1.732 1.659 2.388 2.426 2.273 2.178 3.020 2.425 2.259 2.172 2.811 30,668. 30,668. 30,668. 30,668.
33 0.378 0.593 0.636 -0.857 1.990 1.922 1.857 2.276 2.604 2.531 2.468 2.907 2.576 2.461 2.385 2.778 29,855. 29,855. 29,855. 29,855.
36 0.640 0.850 0.958 -0.729 2.107 2.087 2.052 2.282 2.771 2.769 2.752 2.926 2.696 2.636 2.580 2.833 30,000. 30,000. 30,000. 30,000.
39 -0.283 -0.003 ******* 0.128 1.860 1.700 ******* 1.919 2.438 2.250 ******* 2.547 2.421 2.250 -9999.00 2.544 31,888. 31,888. 0. 31,888.
42 -0.558 -0.065 ******* 1.012 2.113 1.887 ******* 2.461 2.779 2.528 ******* 3.258 2.722 2.527 -9999.00 3.097 31,557. 31,557. 0. 31,557.
45 -0.711 -0.142 ******* 0.791 2.389 2.156 ******* 2.741 3.106 2.876 ******* 3.615 3.023 2.873 -9999.00 3.527 31,447. 31,447. 0. 31,447.
48 -1.418 -0.773 ******* -0.455 2.687 2.295 ******* 2.723 3.376 2.998 ******* 3.501 3.064 2.897 -9999.00 3.471 32,014. 32,014. 0. 32,014.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of TEM2 (Avg Sfc/Lowest Sigma Temp Kelvin ) From 2000030100 to 2000063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 1.796 1.857 ******* -1.797 2.401 2.396 ******* 2.557 3.214 3.239 ******* 3.253 2.665 2.654 -9999.00 2.712 30,114. 30,114. 0. 29,855.
3 0.233 0.296 ******* -0.764 1.662 1.562 ******* 1.947 2.207 2.103 ******* 2.556 2.195 2.082 -9999.00 2.440 31,884. 31,884. 0. 31,604.
6 0.012 0.354 0.472 0.479 1.857 1.708 1.708 2.189 2.466 2.328 2.330 2.903 2.466 2.301 2.281 2.863 31,815. 31,815. 31,298. 31,583.
9 -0.318 0.048 0.392 0.474 2.020 1.856 1.819 2.454 2.671 2.522 2.468 3.239 2.652 2.521 2.437 3.205 31,572. 31,572. 31,304. 31,345.
12 -1.053 -0.703 -0.332 -0.629 2.262 1.982 1.824 2.489 2.884 2.601 2.441 3.212 2.685 2.504 2.419 3.149 31,941. 31,941. 31,941. 31,729.
15 -0.645 -0.476 -0.124 -1.837 1.908 1.675 1.556 2.854 2.480 2.207 2.063 3.538 2.394 2.155 2.060 3.023 30,925. 30,925. 30,925. 30,712.
18 0.084 0.183 0.777 -1.211 1.834 1.701 1.773 2.422 2.390 2.232 2.337 3.060 2.389 2.224 2.204 2.811 30,668. 30,668. 30,668. 30,450.
21 0.334 0.489 1.201 -0.952 1.955 1.862 2.020 2.292 2.555 2.457 2.702 2.928 2.533 2.408 2.421 2.769 29,855. 29,855. 29,855. 29,642.
24 0.549 0.725 1.493 -0.847 2.047 1.994 2.225 2.275 2.696 2.657 2.997 2.924 2.640 2.557 2.599 2.798 29,722. 29,722. 29,722. 29,507.
27 -0.465 -0.119 0.546 -0.031 1.857 1.655 1.699 1.886 2.439 2.199 2.258 2.499 2.394 2.195 2.191 2.499 31,605. 31,605. 31,605. 31,375.
30 -0.662 -0.173 0.185 0.803 2.101 1.841 1.797 2.389 2.765 2.466 2.413 3.136 2.685 2.460 2.405 3.031 31,030. 31,030. 31,030. 30,801.
33 -0.781 -0.234 -0.013 0.622 2.312 2.060 1.990 2.663 2.995 2.741 2.653 3.491 2.891 2.731 2.653 3.436 31,305. 31,305. 31,305. 31,076.
36 -1.481 -0.876 -0.767 -0.552 2.591 2.193 2.102 2.670 3.254 2.850 2.751 3.432 2.897 2.712 2.642 3.387 31,348. 31,348. 31,348. 31,146.
39 -0.896 -0.571 ******* -1.678 2.057 1.776 ******* 2.824 2.657 2.330 ******* 3.525 2.501 2.259 -9999.00 3.101 31,027. 31,027. 0. 30,810.
42 -0.066 0.105 ******* -1.005 1.878 1.756 ******* 2.358 2.433 2.290 ******* 2.992 2.432 2.287 -9999.00 2.818 30,207. 30,207. 0. 29,989.
45 0.203 0.406 ******* -0.771 2.001 1.936 ******* 2.289 2.601 2.538 ******* 2.918 2.593 2.505 -9999.00 2.814 29,223. 29,223. 0. 29,012.
48 0.442 0.659 ******* -0.612 2.126 2.084 ******* 2.283 2.780 2.763 ******* 2.925 2.744 2.683 -9999.00 2.861 28,552. 28,552. 0. 28,338.