MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000030100 to 2000063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 7.820 7.787 ******* 8.289 7.820 7.787 ******* 8.289 9.170 9.144 ******* 9.648 4.788 4.794 -9999.00 4.937 18,492. 18,492. 0. 18,492.
3 7.428 7.145 ******* 7.769 7.428 7.145 ******* 7.769 8.733 8.423 ******* 9.060 4.592 4.460 -9999.00 4.661 14,622. 14,622. 0. 14,622.
6 8.041 7.655 8.778 7.862 8.041 7.655 8.778 7.862 9.416 8.995 10.606 9.185 4.900 4.724 5.954 4.750 12,146. 12,146. 12,056. 12,146.
9 7.956 7.520 8.113 7.553 7.956 7.520 8.113 7.553 9.299 8.846 9.558 8.886 4.813 4.659 5.053 4.680 9,889. 9,889. 9,879. 9,889.
12 8.080 7.574 8.017 7.717 8.080 7.574 8.017 7.717 9.482 8.982 9.443 9.040 4.962 4.828 4.990 4.709 9,390. 9,390. 9,390. 9,390.
15 8.215 7.531 7.814 7.651 8.215 7.531 7.814 7.651 9.666 8.986 9.342 9.031 5.094 4.903 5.120 4.799 10,939. 10,939. 10,939. 10,939.
18 7.962 7.268 7.542 8.029 7.962 7.268 7.542 8.029 9.348 8.630 9.024 9.305 4.900 4.653 4.955 4.704 14,250. 14,250. 14,250. 14,250.
21 7.977 7.549 7.958 8.290 7.977 7.549 7.958 8.290 9.351 8.953 9.523 9.635 4.881 4.814 5.230 4.910 17,095. 17,095. 17,095. 17,095.
24 8.025 7.752 8.452 8.459 8.025 7.752 8.452 8.459 9.417 9.210 10.062 9.861 4.928 4.973 5.459 5.068 18,100. 18,100. 18,100. 18,100.
27 7.869 7.850 8.603 7.948 7.869 7.850 8.603 7.948 9.304 9.346 10.186 9.244 4.964 5.072 5.454 4.721 14,445. 14,445. 14,445. 14,445.
30 8.495 8.343 8.859 8.139 8.495 8.343 8.859 8.139 9.936 9.875 10.448 9.483 5.154 5.283 5.539 4.866 12,072. 12,072. 12,072. 12,072.
33 8.376 8.113 8.501 7.823 8.376 8.113 8.501 7.823 9.750 9.564 10.031 9.168 4.992 5.065 5.324 4.780 9,868. 9,868. 9,868. 9,868.
36 8.450 8.102 8.542 7.931 8.450 8.102 8.542 7.931 9.878 9.564 10.081 9.262 5.115 5.083 5.354 4.783 9,387. 9,387. 9,387. 9,387.
39 8.424 7.919 ******* 7.998 8.424 7.919 ******* 7.998 9.913 9.421 ******* 9.329 5.226 5.103 -9999.00 4.802 11,181. 11,181. 0. 11,181.
42 8.233 7.792 ******* 8.242 8.233 7.792 ******* 8.242 9.591 9.178 ******* 9.531 4.921 4.849 -9999.00 4.787 14,374. 14,374. 0. 14,374.
45 8.253 7.955 ******* 8.512 8.253 7.955 ******* 8.512 9.645 9.396 ******* 9.900 4.990 5.000 -9999.00 5.055 17,371. 17,371. 0. 17,371.
48 8.345 8.117 ******* 8.681 8.345 8.117 ******* 8.681 9.798 9.635 ******* 10.138 5.134 5.191 -9999.00 5.236 18,504. 18,504. 0. 18,504.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000030100 to 2000063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 7.407 7.345 ******* 7.622 7.407 7.345 ******* 7.622 8.713 8.681 ******* 8.945 4.588 4.627 -9999.00 4.682 9,481. 9,481. 0. 9,397.
3 7.991 7.344 ******* 7.723 7.991 7.344 ******* 7.723 9.274 8.649 ******* 9.066 4.707 4.570 -9999.00 4.747 11,144. 11,144. 0. 11,056.
6 7.902 7.036 7.178 7.960 7.902 7.036 7.178 7.960 9.184 8.310 8.501 9.218 4.680 4.423 4.555 4.649 14,489. 14,489. 14,110. 14,397.
9 7.700 7.083 7.600 8.259 7.700 7.083 7.600 8.259 9.047 8.428 9.152 9.589 4.750 4.567 5.099 4.872 17,385. 17,385. 17,095. 17,277.
12 7.670 7.331 8.194 8.372 7.670 7.331 8.194 8.372 9.038 8.724 9.737 9.750 4.780 4.730 5.260 4.998 18,242. 18,242. 18,242. 18,163.
15 7.581 7.480 8.353 7.818 7.581 7.480 8.353 7.818 9.004 8.911 9.907 9.130 4.858 4.844 5.327 4.715 14,547. 14,547. 14,547. 14,478.
18 8.135 7.826 8.506 7.996 8.135 7.826 8.506 7.996 9.563 9.296 10.066 9.331 5.027 5.017 5.383 4.810 12,072. 12,072. 12,072. 12,023.
21 8.140 7.830 8.376 7.706 8.140 7.830 8.376 7.706 9.483 9.232 9.894 9.040 4.866 4.892 5.268 4.726 9,868. 9,868. 9,868. 9,802.
24 8.291 7.857 8.460 7.817 8.291 7.857 8.460 7.817 9.717 9.285 9.948 9.123 5.070 4.947 5.233 4.704 9,309. 9,309. 9,309. 9,227.
27 8.312 7.773 8.366 7.822 8.312 7.773 8.366 7.822 9.806 9.280 9.926 9.166 5.204 5.069 5.343 4.777 10,976. 10,976. 10,976. 10,845.
30 8.018 7.468 7.839 8.046 8.018 7.468 7.839 8.046 9.430 8.868 9.337 9.299 4.965 4.783 5.072 4.663 14,041. 14,041. 14,041. 13,882.
33 8.037 7.611 8.099 8.344 8.037 7.611 8.099 8.344 9.424 9.020 9.658 9.680 4.922 4.842 5.261 4.907 17,132. 17,132. 17,132. 17,004.
36 8.077 7.829 8.574 8.518 8.077 7.829 8.574 8.518 9.468 9.263 10.169 9.906 4.941 4.952 5.468 5.057 18,001. 18,001. 18,001. 17,911.
39 8.014 7.975 ******* 8.133 8.014 7.975 ******* 8.133 9.465 9.455 ******* 9.442 5.037 5.080 -9999.00 4.797 14,742. 14,742. 0. 14,689.
42 8.370 8.267 ******* 8.288 8.370 8.267 ******* 8.288 9.785 9.769 ******* 9.639 5.068 5.206 -9999.00 4.922 12,016. 12,016. 0. 11,967.
45 8.308 8.164 ******* 8.040 8.308 8.164 ******* 8.040 9.693 9.648 ******* 9.373 4.993 5.142 -9999.00 4.819 9,749. 9,749. 0. 9,702.
48 8.524 8.238 ******* 8.196 8.524 8.238 ******* 8.196 10.004 9.821 ******* 9.553 5.237 5.348 -9999.00 4.907 9,149. 9,149. 0. 9,106.