MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000030100 to 2000063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 0.343 -0.181 ******* 3.397 38.630 38.376 ******* 41.624 53.238 53.072 ******* 56.077 53.238 53.073 -9999.00 55.975 18,492. 18,492. 0. 18,492.
3 4.787 2.315 ******* -2.736 38.434 35.721 ******* 41.618 52.775 50.554 ******* 55.343 52.559 50.502 -9999.00 55.277 14,622. 14,622. 0. 14,622.
6 12.929 8.008 10.209 -0.024 40.856 36.399 36.698 43.063 55.225 51.246 51.478 57.042 53.692 50.618 50.458 57.044 12,146. 12,146. 12,056. 12,146.
9 15.088 7.965 8.392 3.483 43.077 38.426 36.792 42.574 57.483 53.174 52.104 56.638 55.470 52.577 51.427 56.533 9,889. 9,889. 9,879. 9,889.
12 15.004 8.164 7.069 6.003 45.088 40.088 37.842 43.760 60.385 56.196 54.334 58.085 58.494 55.602 53.875 57.777 9,390. 9,390. 9,390. 9,390.
15 20.117 13.440 11.001 6.570 45.382 39.709 37.426 42.061 60.656 55.755 53.842 56.384 57.226 54.113 52.709 56.002 10,939. 10,939. 10,939. 10,939.
18 13.662 8.227 8.490 5.258 45.341 39.457 37.804 43.934 61.595 56.238 54.774 58.854 60.063 55.635 54.114 58.621 14,250. 14,250. 14,250. 14,250.
21 8.848 4.762 5.469 4.637 43.417 39.195 38.614 44.702 58.453 54.842 55.204 59.724 57.781 54.636 54.934 59.546 17,095. 17,095. 17,095. 17,095.
24 5.913 2.125 3.595 2.564 42.202 38.283 38.294 44.426 57.137 54.301 55.159 59.233 56.832 54.261 55.043 59.179 18,100. 18,100. 18,100. 18,100.
27 2.362 1.178 4.011 -1.812 42.235 39.282 38.650 44.058 57.937 55.791 55.565 58.222 57.891 55.781 55.422 58.196 14,445. 14,445. 14,445. 14,445.
30 8.213 4.366 5.686 -1.937 45.011 42.112 40.961 47.752 60.226 58.373 57.658 62.929 59.666 58.212 57.380 62.901 12,072. 12,072. 12,072. 12,072.
33 10.577 4.921 5.904 2.003 47.251 43.699 42.096 47.044 61.902 59.827 59.101 61.883 60.995 59.627 58.809 61.854 9,868. 9,868. 9,868. 9,868.
36 13.281 8.491 8.343 7.055 48.468 44.470 43.686 47.916 64.009 61.291 61.314 63.576 62.619 60.703 60.747 63.187 9,387. 9,387. 9,387. 9,387.
39 19.464 14.795 ******* 8.443 48.989 44.588 ******* 46.966 65.048 62.202 ******* 62.591 62.070 60.419 -9999.00 62.022 11,181. 11,181. 0. 11,181.
42 12.920 9.242 ******* 5.617 49.133 44.497 ******* 48.570 66.012 62.458 ******* 64.916 64.737 61.772 -9999.00 64.675 14,374. 14,374. 0. 14,374.
45 7.450 3.697 ******* 4.078 47.326 44.328 ******* 49.137 63.250 61.419 ******* 65.428 62.811 61.310 -9999.00 65.302 17,371. 17,371. 0. 17,371.
48 3.685 0.915 ******* 0.680 46.012 42.629 ******* 48.636 61.609 59.705 ******* 64.227 61.501 59.700 -9999.00 64.226 18,504. 18,504. 0. 18,504.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000030100 to 2000063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 1.282 -0.198 ******* 2.215 39.990 40.071 ******* 43.857 54.989 55.260 ******* 59.170 54.977 55.263 -9999.00 59.132 9,481. 9,481. 0. 9,397.
3 18.479 11.370 ******* 3.772 42.469 37.367 ******* 41.650 57.027 52.943 ******* 55.980 53.952 51.710 -9999.00 55.856 11,144. 11,144. 0. 11,056.
6 16.282 10.449 10.481 4.707 44.376 36.913 37.063 41.599 59.636 52.410 52.479 56.123 57.372 51.360 51.423 55.927 14,489. 14,489. 14,110. 14,397.
9 9.864 5.852 6.659 4.997 41.202 35.472 35.309 42.963 55.812 50.004 50.606 57.697 54.935 49.661 50.168 57.482 17,385. 17,385. 17,095. 17,277.
12 5.770 3.103 4.995 2.313 39.930 35.496 36.091 42.319 54.404 50.579 52.190 56.455 54.098 50.485 51.952 56.410 18,242. 18,242. 18,242. 18,163.
15 1.251 0.268 5.555 -2.808 39.072 36.016 35.547 42.466 53.713 51.365 51.495 56.266 53.700 51.366 51.197 56.198 14,547. 14,547. 14,547. 14,478.
18 9.049 5.407 8.088 -2.129 41.860 37.461 36.772 45.509 56.873 52.900 52.466 59.911 56.151 52.625 51.841 59.875 12,072. 12,072. 12,072. 12,023.
21 11.148 6.200 8.524 2.902 44.561 41.106 39.312 44.925 58.822 56.800 55.671 59.374 57.759 56.463 55.017 59.306 9,868. 9,868. 9,868. 9,802.
24 12.596 7.187 9.910 5.717 46.377 41.776 41.198 45.363 61.792 57.651 57.967 60.589 60.498 57.204 57.116 60.322 9,309. 9,309. 9,309. 9,227.
27 17.973 13.188 13.376 7.141 46.644 41.775 41.447 44.133 62.468 58.439 58.557 59.051 59.829 56.934 57.012 58.620 10,976. 10,976. 10,976. 10,845.
30 13.685 9.321 9.545 5.425 46.050 41.429 41.224 45.160 62.223 58.446 58.925 60.783 60.701 57.700 58.149 60.543 14,041. 14,041. 14,041. 13,882.
33 7.765 4.452 6.143 4.116 44.769 40.541 40.949 46.711 59.933 56.406 57.926 62.336 59.429 56.232 57.601 62.202 17,132. 17,132. 17,132. 17,004.
36 5.059 2.356 4.753 2.945 43.145 39.684 40.657 46.307 58.306 55.796 57.912 61.478 58.088 55.748 57.718 61.409 18,001. 18,001. 18,001. 17,911.
39 -0.828 -1.789 ******* -2.131 43.799 41.785 ******* 45.695 59.430 58.881 ******* 59.945 59.426 58.856 -9999.00 59.909 14,742. 14,742. 0. 14,689.
42 7.227 5.056 ******* -1.877 44.810 41.422 ******* 48.678 60.182 57.477 ******* 63.767 59.749 57.256 -9999.00 63.742 12,016. 12,016. 0. 11,967.
45 11.109 5.195 ******* 2.256 47.271 44.647 ******* 48.857 61.954 61.129 ******* 63.931 60.953 60.911 -9999.00 63.894 9,749. 9,749. 0. 9,702.
48 11.902 6.480 ******* 5.576 48.961 45.712 ******* 49.662 64.513 62.968 ******* 65.778 63.409 62.637 -9999.00 65.544 9,149. 9,149. 0. 9,106.