MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000030100 to 2000063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -0.548 -0.594 ******* -0.304 4.333 4.337 ******* 4.330 5.732 5.737 ******* 5.723 5.705 5.706 -9999.00 5.715 18,706. 18,706. 0. 18,706.
3 -0.921 -0.446 ******* -1.866 3.950 4.017 ******* 4.226 5.355 5.362 ******* 5.735 5.276 5.343 -9999.00 5.423 14,794. 14,794. 0. 14,794.
6 -0.134 0.357 2.303 -2.236 4.207 4.378 5.308 4.347 5.632 5.753 7.311 6.017 5.631 5.742 6.939 5.587 12,297. 12,297. 12,207. 12,297.
9 -0.615 -0.043 1.798 -2.261 4.075 4.181 4.719 4.232 5.519 5.530 6.021 5.886 5.485 5.530 5.746 5.435 10,031. 10,031. 10,021. 10,031.
12 -0.917 -0.261 1.343 -2.635 4.121 4.144 4.649 4.469 5.594 5.527 5.970 6.144 5.518 5.521 5.818 5.550 9,527. 9,527. 9,527. 9,527.
15 -0.971 -0.454 0.901 -2.310 4.257 4.185 4.582 4.437 5.711 5.630 6.005 6.054 5.628 5.612 5.937 5.596 11,078. 11,078. 11,078. 11,078.
18 -1.850 -1.452 -0.151 -1.048 4.377 4.306 4.511 4.229 5.733 5.606 5.834 5.639 5.427 5.414 5.833 5.541 14,476. 14,476. 14,476. 14,476.
21 -1.626 -1.068 0.289 -0.738 4.366 4.377 4.672 4.256 5.789 5.783 6.113 5.638 5.556 5.683 6.106 5.590 17,385. 17,385. 17,385. 17,385.
24 -0.922 -0.234 1.326 -0.563 4.232 4.422 4.953 4.255 5.626 5.812 6.391 5.659 5.550 5.808 6.252 5.631 18,310. 18,310. 18,310. 18,310.
27 -0.968 0.016 1.948 -2.387 4.007 4.302 4.905 4.346 5.469 5.711 6.318 5.895 5.383 5.711 6.011 5.390 14,616. 14,616. 14,616. 14,616.
30 -0.382 0.128 1.594 -2.813 4.245 4.544 5.054 4.446 5.706 5.998 6.463 6.183 5.694 5.997 6.264 5.506 12,220. 12,220. 12,220. 12,220.
33 -0.845 -0.388 1.147 -2.798 4.160 4.413 4.759 4.339 5.624 5.870 6.189 6.054 5.560 5.858 6.082 5.369 10,008. 10,008. 10,008. 10,008.
36 -1.213 -0.623 0.829 -3.246 4.216 4.316 4.693 4.652 5.712 5.752 6.116 6.365 5.582 5.718 6.060 5.475 9,522. 9,522. 9,522. 9,522.
39 -1.628 -1.199 ******* -2.999 4.372 4.385 ******* 4.686 5.946 5.907 ******* 6.370 5.719 5.785 -9999.00 5.620 11,318. 11,318. 0. 11,318.
42 -2.833 -2.378 ******* -1.993 4.751 4.746 ******* 4.441 6.276 6.185 ******* 5.975 5.600 5.710 -9999.00 5.633 14,596. 14,596. 0. 14,596.
45 -2.574 -2.049 ******* -1.702 4.698 4.688 ******* 4.416 6.247 6.189 ******* 5.965 5.693 5.841 -9999.00 5.717 17,649. 17,649. 0. 17,649.
48 -1.839 -1.276 ******* -1.525 4.441 4.611 ******* 4.361 6.003 6.090 ******* 5.919 5.714 5.955 -9999.00 5.719 18,704. 18,704. 0. 18,704.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000030100 to 2000063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -2.043 -2.273 ******* -3.349 4.488 4.465 ******* 4.755 6.068 6.057 ******* 6.451 5.714 5.615 -9999.00 5.514 9,618. 9,618. 0. 9,533.
3 -0.555 -0.289 ******* -2.197 4.273 4.259 ******* 4.567 5.658 5.620 ******* 6.155 5.631 5.613 -9999.00 5.749 11,283. 11,283. 0. 11,194.
6 -1.719 -1.212 -0.590 -0.787 4.287 4.109 4.161 4.296 5.594 5.345 5.406 5.668 5.323 5.206 5.374 5.614 14,715. 14,715. 14,334. 14,622.
9 -1.608 -0.980 0.665 -0.373 4.218 4.141 4.400 4.302 5.586 5.447 5.758 5.656 5.350 5.359 5.719 5.643 17,675. 17,675. 17,385. 17,567.
12 -0.886 -0.174 1.613 -0.177 4.012 4.170 4.815 4.246 5.360 5.494 6.212 5.606 5.287 5.492 5.999 5.603 18,454. 18,454. 18,454. 18,372.
15 -0.872 0.027 2.290 -2.087 3.953 4.254 4.923 4.207 5.427 5.644 6.308 5.743 5.356 5.645 5.878 5.351 14,718. 14,718. 14,718. 14,649.
18 -0.198 0.253 2.042 -2.549 4.222 4.462 5.016 4.347 5.674 5.878 6.402 6.053 5.670 5.873 6.068 5.490 12,220. 12,220. 12,220. 12,171.
21 -0.666 -0.176 1.520 -2.609 4.091 4.273 4.773 4.288 5.555 5.695 6.163 5.990 5.515 5.692 5.973 5.392 10,008. 10,008. 10,008. 9,941.
24 -0.916 -0.318 1.306 -2.864 4.209 4.244 4.762 4.553 5.684 5.658 6.152 6.221 5.610 5.649 6.013 5.523 9,443. 9,443. 9,443. 9,360.
27 -1.190 -0.665 0.866 -2.541 4.364 4.331 4.800 4.582 5.851 5.782 6.240 6.190 5.729 5.743 6.180 5.644 11,113. 11,113. 11,113. 10,981.
30 -2.387 -1.964 -0.498 -1.566 4.564 4.532 4.644 4.424 5.955 5.888 5.992 5.873 5.456 5.551 5.971 5.661 14,262. 14,262. 14,262. 14,101.
33 -2.038 -1.560 -0.058 -1.235 4.459 4.478 4.671 4.329 5.911 5.905 6.070 5.773 5.548 5.695 6.070 5.639 17,417. 17,417. 17,417. 17,289.
36 -1.272 -0.784 0.885 -1.156 4.273 4.496 4.919 4.307 5.704 5.901 6.336 5.754 5.561 5.848 6.274 5.637 18,209. 18,209. 18,209. 18,116.
39 -1.358 -0.481 ******* -2.749 4.085 4.362 ******* 4.554 5.595 5.811 ******* 6.141 5.428 5.791 -9999.00 5.491 14,911. 14,911. 0. 14,858.
42 -0.520 0.030 ******* -2.960 4.229 4.579 ******* 4.596 5.700 6.026 ******* 6.319 5.677 6.026 -9999.00 5.583 12,155. 12,155. 0. 12,106.
45 -0.973 -0.549 ******* -2.815 4.118 4.395 ******* 4.436 5.605 5.861 ******* 6.101 5.520 5.835 -9999.00 5.413 9,885. 9,885. 0. 9,838.
48 -1.196 -0.621 ******* -3.066 4.241 4.328 ******* 4.660 5.782 5.808 ******* 6.369 5.657 5.775 -9999.00 5.583 9,276. 9,276. 0. 9,233.