MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of TEM1 (Lowest Sigma Temp Kelvin ) From 2000070100 to 2000091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -1.925 -2.006 ******* 0.250 2.587 2.646 ******* 2.145 3.280 3.333 ******* 2.833 2.656 2.662 -9999.00 2.822 26,521. 26,521. 0. 26,241.
3 0.089 0.118 ******* -1.032 1.994 1.904 ******* 2.558 2.669 2.552 ******* 3.176 2.668 2.550 -9999.00 3.004 25,425. 25,425. 0. 25,141.
6 1.064 1.129 1.104 -0.269 2.351 2.291 2.310 2.315 3.213 3.167 3.231 2.885 3.031 2.959 3.037 2.873 26,064. 26,064. 7,900. 25,789.
9 1.507 1.701 1.358 -0.205 2.631 2.619 2.391 2.399 3.556 3.572 3.333 3.033 3.221 3.142 3.044 3.026 25,257. 25,257. 7,773. 24,994.
12 2.009 2.275 2.203 -0.199 3.013 3.059 3.006 2.542 4.002 4.095 4.039 3.232 3.461 3.405 3.386 3.226 25,830. 25,830. 25,830. 25,577.
15 -0.204 0.059 -0.231 -0.378 2.308 2.086 2.060 2.268 3.034 2.778 2.722 2.939 3.027 2.778 2.712 2.914 24,699. 24,699. 24,699. 24,417.
18 -1.948 -1.804 -2.118 0.512 3.036 2.650 2.777 2.203 3.708 3.258 3.374 2.897 3.156 2.713 2.626 2.851 24,740. 24,740. 24,740. 24,455.
21 -2.704 -2.668 -2.847 0.615 3.547 3.255 3.337 2.243 4.223 3.876 3.947 3.017 3.243 2.812 2.733 2.954 23,774. 23,774. 23,774. 23,491.
24 -2.861 -2.829 -2.943 0.322 3.563 3.335 3.396 2.314 4.251 4.007 4.038 3.054 3.144 2.837 2.764 3.037 25,968. 25,968. 25,968. 25,689.
27 -0.626 -0.761 -0.917 -0.716 2.190 2.052 2.055 2.627 2.827 2.658 2.625 3.259 2.757 2.547 2.459 3.180 24,929. 24,929. 24,929. 24,655.
30 0.687 0.615 0.689 -0.071 2.246 2.140 2.095 2.365 2.941 2.823 2.773 2.948 2.860 2.755 2.687 2.947 25,691. 25,691. 25,691. 25,419.
33 1.163 1.277 1.446 -0.042 2.514 2.449 2.432 2.427 3.307 3.253 3.268 3.071 3.095 2.992 2.931 3.070 24,941. 24,941. 24,941. 24,674.
36 1.683 1.878 2.091 -0.102 2.872 2.860 2.892 2.570 3.745 3.764 3.837 3.263 3.346 3.263 3.217 3.261 25,590. 25,590. 25,590. 25,316.
39 -0.608 -0.392 ******* -0.307 2.326 2.087 ******* 2.297 3.054 2.779 ******* 2.972 2.993 2.752 -9999.00 2.956 24,678. 24,678. 0. 24,407.
42 -2.496 -2.293 ******* 0.791 3.364 2.973 ******* 2.315 4.078 3.638 ******* 3.017 3.226 2.825 -9999.00 2.911 24,688. 24,688. 0. 24,425.
45 -3.263 -3.130 ******* 0.815 3.995 3.680 ******* 2.381 4.689 4.351 ******* 3.149 3.367 3.023 -9999.00 3.042 23,994. 23,994. 0. 23,534.
48 -3.390 -3.253 ******* 0.418 4.002 3.755 ******* 2.432 4.718 4.471 ******* 3.200 3.281 3.067 -9999.00 3.173 26,258. 26,258. 0. 25,970.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of TEM1 (Lowest Sigma Temp Kelvin ) From 2000070100 to 2000091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 2.811 2.778 ******* -1.478 3.302 3.294 ******* 2.751 4.373 4.389 ******* 3.520 3.350 3.398 -9999.00 3.195 26,045. 26,045. 0. 25,321.
3 0.065 0.017 ******* -1.018 2.060 1.945 ******* 2.362 2.792 2.659 ******* 3.033 2.791 2.659 -9999.00 2.857 24,923. 24,923. 0. 24,213.
6 -1.714 -1.808 -1.776 0.046 2.762 2.555 2.393 2.078 3.443 3.173 2.961 2.741 2.986 2.608 2.369 2.741 24,985. 24,985. 7,970. 24,343.
9 -2.485 -2.608 -2.380 0.333 3.347 3.181 2.857 2.148 4.025 3.810 3.472 2.896 3.167 2.777 2.527 2.877 24,478. 24,478. 7,963. 23,753.
12 -2.790 -2.865 -2.819 0.117 3.450 3.329 3.279 2.217 4.147 4.006 3.966 2.917 3.069 2.800 2.790 2.915 26,465. 26,465. 26,465. 25,811.
15 -0.742 -0.973 -0.828 -0.916 2.165 2.092 2.009 2.598 2.798 2.690 2.571 3.211 2.698 2.508 2.434 3.077 25,129. 25,129. 25,129. 24,568.
18 0.332 0.240 0.816 -0.335 2.223 2.124 2.149 2.339 2.887 2.766 2.852 2.905 2.868 2.755 2.733 2.886 26,127. 26,127. 26,127. 25,527.
21 0.728 0.850 1.562 -0.318 2.417 2.329 2.485 2.415 3.152 3.077 3.347 3.046 3.067 2.958 2.960 3.029 25,352. 25,352. 25,352. 24,779.
24 1.154 1.378 2.152 -0.404 2.661 2.631 2.914 2.558 3.466 3.471 3.867 3.240 3.269 3.185 3.213 3.215 26,007. 26,007. 26,007. 25,422.
27 -1.195 -0.942 -0.248 -0.569 2.516 2.224 2.014 2.311 3.250 2.910 2.672 2.978 3.022 2.754 2.661 2.923 24,691. 24,691. 24,691. 24,058.
30 -2.892 -2.711 -2.338 0.526 3.640 3.267 2.965 2.210 4.351 3.922 3.616 2.913 3.251 2.834 2.759 2.865 24,750. 24,750. 24,750. 24,044.
33 -3.581 -3.476 -3.212 0.556 4.226 3.924 3.697 2.291 4.908 4.580 4.361 3.075 3.357 2.982 2.950 3.024 24,163. 24,163. 24,163. 23,537.
36 -3.657 -3.526 -3.301 0.292 4.185 3.935 3.744 2.363 4.884 4.629 4.430 3.110 3.238 2.999 2.954 3.097 26,539. 26,539. 26,539. 25,894.
39 -1.284 -1.316 ******* -0.727 2.426 2.305 ******* 2.623 3.073 2.936 ******* 3.248 2.791 2.625 -9999.00 3.165 25,536. 25,536. 0. 24,808.
42 0.029 0.048 ******* -0.061 2.211 2.121 ******* 2.325 2.834 2.728 ******* 2.900 2.834 2.727 -9999.00 2.900 26,316. 26,316. 0. 25,574.
45 0.540 0.673 ******* -0.032 2.389 2.303 ******* 2.406 3.083 3.007 ******* 3.045 3.035 2.931 -9999.00 3.045 25,535. 25,535. 0. 24,820.
48 1.049 1.242 ******* -0.112 2.646 2.616 ******* 2.550 3.413 3.409 ******* 3.243 3.248 3.175 -9999.00 3.241 26,197. 26,197. 0. 25,475.