MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000070100 to 2000091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 7.652 7.664 ******* 8.441 7.652 7.664 ******* 8.441 9.376 9.395 ******* 10.189 5.418 5.435 -9999.00 5.706 13,632. 13,632. 0. 13,406.
3 8.280 8.101 ******* 7.538 8.280 8.101 ******* 7.538 10.200 10.056 ******* 9.384 5.957 5.958 -9999.00 5.589 10,923. 10,923. 0. 10,732.
6 8.909 8.547 9.420 7.613 8.909 8.547 9.420 7.613 10.876 10.589 11.680 9.476 6.240 6.251 6.907 5.643 8,377. 8,377. 2,884. 8,249.
9 8.486 8.055 8.118 7.473 8.486 8.055 8.118 7.473 10.476 10.211 10.266 9.378 6.143 6.277 6.285 5.666 6,500. 6,500. 2,263. 6,416.
12 8.643 8.253 8.741 7.669 8.643 8.253 8.741 7.669 10.694 10.413 11.068 9.595 6.299 6.349 6.790 5.767 5,971. 5,971. 5,971. 5,912.
15 8.266 7.763 7.553 7.547 8.266 7.763 7.553 7.547 10.207 9.872 9.735 9.347 5.988 6.099 6.142 5.514 6,323. 6,323. 6,323. 6,217.
18 8.072 7.460 7.222 7.812 8.072 7.460 7.222 7.812 9.799 9.299 9.127 9.403 5.556 5.552 5.582 5.233 8,428. 8,428. 8,428. 8,300.
21 8.141 7.664 7.424 8.353 8.141 7.664 7.424 8.353 9.983 9.565 9.409 10.106 5.779 5.724 5.781 5.690 11,039. 11,039. 11,039. 10,894.
24 8.245 7.805 7.680 8.609 8.245 7.805 7.680 8.609 10.097 9.752 9.703 10.382 5.828 5.846 5.931 5.803 13,310. 13,310. 13,310. 13,158.
27 8.260 8.072 8.070 7.649 8.260 8.072 8.070 7.649 10.214 10.135 10.218 9.503 6.008 6.130 6.268 5.639 10,679. 10,679. 10,679. 10,538.
30 8.687 8.645 8.399 7.698 8.687 8.645 8.399 7.698 10.719 10.760 10.560 9.570 6.280 6.406 6.400 5.686 8,222. 8,222. 8,222. 8,104.
33 8.703 8.336 8.059 7.599 8.703 8.336 8.059 7.599 10.680 10.522 10.306 9.507 6.191 6.421 6.424 5.715 6,404. 6,404. 6,404. 6,304.
36 8.876 8.509 8.314 7.872 8.876 8.509 8.314 7.872 10.902 10.681 10.507 9.747 6.331 6.456 6.425 5.749 5,878. 5,878. 5,878. 5,775.
39 8.490 8.097 ******* 7.804 8.490 8.097 ******* 7.804 10.433 10.208 ******* 9.575 6.064 6.217 -9999.00 5.549 6,287. 6,287. 0. 6,168.
42 8.104 7.719 ******* 8.010 8.104 7.719 ******* 8.010 9.784 9.550 ******* 9.580 5.483 5.624 -9999.00 5.256 8,424. 8,424. 0. 8,299.
45 8.288 7.872 ******* 8.412 8.288 7.872 ******* 8.412 10.007 9.682 ******* 10.067 5.608 5.636 -9999.00 5.530 11,152. 11,152. 0. 10,917.
48 8.399 7.994 ******* 8.700 8.399 7.994 ******* 8.700 10.175 9.844 ******* 10.384 5.743 5.745 -9999.00 5.669 13,405. 13,405. 0. 13,236.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000070100 to 2000091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 7.366 7.374 ******* 7.680 7.366 7.374 ******* 7.680 9.411 9.430 ******* 9.596 5.859 5.878 -9999.00 5.753 6,013. 6,013. 0. 5,886.
3 8.401 7.857 ******* 7.557 8.401 7.857 ******* 7.557 10.283 9.808 ******* 9.400 5.930 5.872 -9999.00 5.590 6,387. 6,387. 0. 6,265.
6 7.893 7.095 7.017 7.812 7.893 7.095 7.017 7.812 9.599 8.880 8.789 9.396 5.463 5.340 5.292 5.220 8,514. 8,514. 2,884. 8,370.
9 8.037 7.439 7.190 8.286 8.037 7.439 7.190 8.286 9.878 9.335 9.147 10.043 5.743 5.640 5.655 5.674 11,378. 11,378. 3,958. 11,095.
12 8.117 7.643 7.836 8.616 8.117 7.643 7.836 8.616 10.014 9.623 9.926 10.411 5.865 5.847 6.093 5.844 13,557. 13,557. 13,557. 13,245.
15 8.214 8.008 8.135 7.627 8.214 8.008 8.135 7.627 10.156 10.083 10.295 9.502 5.973 6.126 6.309 5.668 10,740. 10,740. 10,740. 10,504.
18 8.660 8.458 8.262 7.633 8.660 8.458 8.262 7.633 10.683 10.535 10.371 9.541 6.256 6.281 6.268 5.725 8,354. 8,354. 8,354. 8,162.
21 8.626 8.228 8.042 7.473 8.626 8.228 8.042 7.473 10.575 10.367 10.246 9.434 6.118 6.307 6.350 5.758 6,516. 6,516. 6,516. 6,383.
24 8.725 8.332 8.208 7.761 8.725 8.332 8.208 7.761 10.725 10.485 10.403 9.696 6.239 6.366 6.391 5.812 5,999. 5,999. 5,999. 5,880.
27 8.293 7.772 7.847 7.644 8.293 7.772 7.847 7.644 10.263 9.887 10.064 9.468 6.047 6.112 6.302 5.587 6,276. 6,276. 6,276. 6,143.
30 8.020 7.435 7.338 7.852 8.020 7.435 7.338 7.852 9.725 9.249 9.313 9.472 5.501 5.500 5.734 5.297 8,406. 8,406. 8,406. 8,218.
33 8.122 7.625 7.508 8.287 8.122 7.625 7.508 8.287 9.958 9.533 9.534 10.055 5.762 5.722 5.875 5.696 11,233. 11,233. 11,233. 10,984.
36 8.225 7.798 7.795 8.536 8.225 7.798 7.795 8.536 10.118 9.758 9.853 10.334 5.893 5.866 6.027 5.824 13,517. 13,517. 13,517. 13,189.
39 8.453 8.190 ******* 7.746 8.453 8.190 ******* 7.746 10.416 10.307 ******* 9.601 6.088 6.257 -9999.00 5.673 10,800. 10,800. 0. 10,459.
42 8.835 8.574 ******* 7.854 8.835 8.574 ******* 7.854 10.858 10.679 ******* 9.723 6.312 6.366 -9999.00 5.731 8,333. 8,333. 0. 8,074.
45 8.818 8.436 ******* 7.757 8.818 8.436 ******* 7.757 10.753 10.544 ******* 9.661 6.155 6.325 -9999.00 5.759 6,495. 6,495. 0. 6,283.
48 9.050 8.474 ******* 8.056 9.050 8.474 ******* 8.056 11.026 10.594 ******* 9.935 6.300 6.359 -9999.00 5.815 5,987. 5,987. 0. 5,785.