MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000070100 to 2000091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 7.104 7.094 ******* 8.441 7.104 7.094 ******* 8.441 8.760 8.755 ******* 10.189 5.126 5.131 -9999.00 5.706 13,632. 13,632. 0. 13,406.
3 7.113 6.748 ******* 7.538 7.113 6.748 ******* 7.538 9.055 8.742 ******* 9.384 5.605 5.558 -9999.00 5.589 10,923. 10,923. 0. 10,732.
6 7.535 7.032 7.497 7.613 7.535 7.032 7.497 7.613 9.542 9.145 9.823 9.476 5.854 5.847 6.348 5.643 8,377. 8,377. 2,884. 8,249.
9 7.485 6.870 6.693 7.473 7.485 6.870 6.693 7.473 9.466 9.046 8.962 9.378 5.795 5.886 5.961 5.666 6,500. 6,500. 2,263. 6,416.
12 7.665 7.122 7.306 7.669 7.665 7.122 7.306 7.669 9.719 9.313 9.592 9.595 5.977 6.000 6.216 5.767 5,971. 5,971. 5,971. 5,912.
15 7.542 6.948 6.623 7.547 7.542 6.948 6.623 7.547 9.385 8.968 8.747 9.347 5.586 5.671 5.715 5.514 6,323. 6,323. 6,323. 6,217.
18 7.574 6.954 6.644 7.812 7.574 6.954 6.644 7.812 9.122 8.625 8.385 9.403 5.085 5.103 5.116 5.233 8,428. 8,428. 8,428. 8,300.
21 7.625 7.094 6.818 8.353 7.625 7.094 6.818 8.353 9.296 8.835 8.627 10.106 5.316 5.266 5.285 5.690 11,039. 11,039. 11,039. 10,894.
24 7.411 6.903 6.716 8.609 7.411 6.903 6.716 8.609 9.165 8.730 8.610 10.382 5.393 5.344 5.388 5.803 13,310. 13,310. 13,310. 13,158.
27 7.241 6.762 6.610 7.649 7.241 6.762 6.610 7.649 9.215 8.846 8.781 9.503 5.700 5.705 5.781 5.639 10,679. 10,679. 10,679. 10,538.
30 7.486 7.257 6.976 7.698 7.486 7.257 6.976 7.698 9.528 9.421 9.174 9.570 5.894 6.008 5.958 5.686 8,222. 8,222. 8,222. 8,104.
33 7.661 7.210 6.863 7.599 7.661 7.210 6.863 7.599 9.633 9.393 9.125 9.507 5.841 6.021 6.014 5.715 6,404. 6,404. 6,404. 6,304.
36 7.884 7.419 7.155 7.872 7.884 7.419 7.155 7.872 9.899 9.602 9.392 9.747 5.987 6.096 6.085 5.749 5,878. 5,878. 5,878. 5,775.
39 7.833 7.360 ******* 7.804 7.833 7.360 ******* 7.804 9.649 9.369 ******* 9.575 5.634 5.797 -9999.00 5.549 6,287. 6,287. 0. 6,168.
42 7.743 7.345 ******* 8.010 7.743 7.345 ******* 8.010 9.265 9.001 ******* 9.580 5.089 5.203 -9999.00 5.256 8,424. 8,424. 0. 8,299.
45 7.853 7.432 ******* 8.412 7.853 7.432 ******* 8.412 9.402 9.063 ******* 10.067 5.170 5.187 -9999.00 5.530 11,152. 11,152. 0. 10,917.
48 7.694 7.268 ******* 8.700 7.694 7.268 ******* 8.700 9.358 8.982 ******* 10.384 5.326 5.279 -9999.00 5.669 13,405. 13,405. 0. 13,236.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000070100 to 2000091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 7.305 7.310 ******* 7.680 7.305 7.310 ******* 7.680 9.235 9.245 ******* 9.596 5.651 5.661 -9999.00 5.753 6,013. 6,013. 0. 5,886.
3 7.453 6.888 ******* 7.557 7.453 6.888 ******* 7.557 9.292 8.818 ******* 9.400 5.550 5.505 -9999.00 5.590 6,387. 6,387. 0. 6,265.
6 7.487 6.656 6.560 7.812 7.487 6.656 6.560 7.812 9.038 8.283 8.210 9.396 5.062 4.931 4.937 5.220 8,514. 8,514. 2,884. 8,370.
9 7.493 6.859 6.604 8.286 7.493 6.859 6.604 8.286 9.169 8.583 8.450 10.043 5.285 5.160 5.272 5.674 11,378. 11,378. 3,958. 11,095.
12 7.292 6.739 6.741 8.616 7.292 6.739 6.741 8.616 9.085 8.587 8.667 10.411 5.419 5.322 5.447 5.844 13,557. 13,557. 13,557. 13,245.
15 7.133 6.649 6.574 7.627 7.133 6.649 6.574 7.627 9.103 8.732 8.758 9.502 5.655 5.661 5.787 5.668 10,740. 10,740. 10,740. 10,504.
18 7.379 7.029 6.781 7.633 7.379 7.029 6.781 7.633 9.437 9.166 8.951 9.541 5.883 5.883 5.844 5.725 8,354. 8,354. 8,354. 8,162.
21 7.553 7.028 6.765 7.473 7.553 7.028 6.765 7.473 9.520 9.195 9.007 9.434 5.796 5.929 5.946 5.758 6,516. 6,516. 6,516. 6,383.
24 7.716 7.218 6.997 7.761 7.716 7.218 6.997 7.761 9.731 9.398 9.245 9.696 5.931 6.019 6.044 5.812 5,999. 5,999. 5,999. 5,880.
27 7.577 6.994 6.882 7.644 7.577 6.994 6.882 7.644 9.451 9.036 9.048 9.468 5.649 5.722 5.874 5.587 6,276. 6,276. 6,276. 6,143.
30 7.590 7.024 6.788 7.852 7.590 7.024 6.788 7.852 9.141 8.674 8.590 9.472 5.094 5.090 5.264 5.297 8,406. 8,406. 8,406. 8,218.
33 7.670 7.160 6.932 8.287 7.670 7.160 6.932 8.287 9.326 8.884 8.760 10.055 5.306 5.261 5.356 5.696 11,233. 11,233. 11,233. 10,984.
36 7.521 7.048 6.883 8.536 7.521 7.048 6.883 8.536 9.287 8.860 8.792 10.334 5.449 5.370 5.471 5.824 13,517. 13,517. 13,517. 13,189.
39 7.457 6.974 ******* 7.746 7.457 6.974 ******* 7.746 9.439 9.098 ******* 9.601 5.787 5.844 -9999.00 5.673 10,800. 10,800. 0. 10,459.
42 7.721 7.317 ******* 7.854 7.721 7.317 ******* 7.854 9.749 9.465 ******* 9.723 5.952 6.004 -9999.00 5.731 8,333. 8,333. 0. 8,074.
45 7.827 7.361 ******* 7.757 7.827 7.361 ******* 7.757 9.766 9.481 ******* 9.661 5.842 5.975 -9999.00 5.759 6,495. 6,495. 0. 6,283.
48 8.129 7.510 ******* 8.056 8.129 7.510 ******* 8.056 10.094 9.643 ******* 9.935 5.984 6.050 -9999.00 5.815 5,987. 5,987. 0. 5,785.