MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000070100 to 2000091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 6.953 6.261 ******* 11.249 43.239 43.118 ******* 47.339 58.704 58.727 ******* 62.493 58.293 58.394 -9999.00 61.475 13,632. 13,632. 0. 13,406.
3 12.328 9.166 ******* 4.147 41.899 38.456 ******* 44.704 57.219 54.429 ******* 58.758 55.878 53.654 -9999.00 58.614 10,923. 10,923. 0. 10,732.
6 22.625 16.467 16.433 4.324 43.593 37.869 37.783 45.349 59.050 53.632 53.483 59.350 54.547 51.044 50.905 59.196 8,377. 8,377. 2,884. 8,249.
9 24.131 16.219 10.354 9.009 47.044 40.681 37.090 47.084 62.006 56.877 53.309 61.040 57.122 54.520 52.306 60.376 6,500. 6,500. 2,263. 6,416.
12 20.675 16.629 16.637 12.678 50.706 44.640 44.106 50.328 66.923 61.697 61.536 65.074 63.655 59.418 59.250 63.832 5,971. 5,971. 5,971. 5,912.
15 23.668 17.070 11.290 12.861 49.355 44.090 40.338 48.945 65.230 61.416 58.249 63.959 60.789 59.000 57.149 62.658 6,323. 6,323. 6,323. 6,217.
18 19.824 13.127 11.245 17.120 51.229 44.961 41.748 50.759 67.441 62.042 59.547 65.790 64.465 60.641 58.479 63.528 8,428. 8,428. 8,428. 8,300.
21 18.760 12.325 11.607 18.020 50.623 44.630 41.841 52.288 66.982 61.230 59.262 67.649 64.304 59.979 58.117 65.208 11,039. 11,039. 11,039. 10,894.
24 15.038 9.679 8.928 11.320 46.388 40.134 38.779 48.954 62.476 56.199 55.503 64.522 60.641 55.362 54.783 63.523 13,310. 13,310. 13,310. 13,158.
27 11.067 6.758 5.857 6.336 42.632 37.622 36.283 46.089 58.033 54.441 53.873 61.514 56.971 54.022 53.557 61.190 10,679. 10,679. 10,679. 10,538.
30 17.078 13.971 9.743 7.294 43.956 40.305 37.586 46.580 59.510 56.845 54.757 61.119 57.010 55.105 53.886 60.686 8,222. 8,222. 8,222. 8,104.
33 21.859 16.392 10.849 10.291 48.764 43.370 40.016 48.708 64.066 59.996 57.298 63.140 60.226 57.717 56.266 62.301 6,404. 6,404. 6,404. 6,304.
36 21.400 17.149 11.589 13.002 52.279 47.330 44.665 52.619 68.462 64.894 62.781 67.669 65.037 62.593 61.707 66.414 5,878. 5,878. 5,878. 5,775.
39 23.553 17.812 ******* 13.830 51.959 48.329 ******* 51.519 68.312 66.604 ******* 66.652 64.128 64.183 -9999.00 65.207 6,287. 6,287. 0. 6,168.
42 19.194 12.695 ******* 15.435 52.313 47.664 ******* 53.812 68.731 65.328 ******* 69.254 66.000 64.087 -9999.00 67.516 8,424. 8,424. 0. 8,299.
45 16.781 10.411 ******* 15.877 52.908 47.268 ******* 54.834 69.017 64.121 ******* 70.228 66.949 63.273 -9999.00 68.412 11,152. 11,152. 0. 10,917.
48 16.110 8.730 ******* 11.115 49.972 44.107 ******* 52.250 66.457 60.890 ******* 68.194 64.477 60.263 -9999.00 67.285 13,405. 13,405. 0. 13,236.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000070100 to 2000091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 4.411 2.720 ******* 6.274 45.338 45.681 ******* 50.306 60.984 61.458 ******* 66.033 60.829 61.403 -9999.00 65.740 6,013. 6,013. 0. 5,886.
3 22.755 16.871 ******* 5.779 47.611 42.947 ******* 47.572 62.409 59.093 ******* 62.256 58.117 56.638 -9999.00 61.993 6,387. 6,387. 0. 6,265.
6 21.915 13.185 11.547 14.220 51.180 42.044 41.218 49.286 67.076 58.175 56.859 64.163 63.399 56.664 55.684 62.572 8,514. 8,514. 2,884. 8,370.
9 17.542 11.704 9.833 15.484 49.062 41.944 39.315 50.650 65.075 57.821 55.312 66.008 62.669 56.626 54.438 64.169 11,378. 11,378. 3,958. 11,095.
12 14.454 9.512 9.316 11.116 44.774 38.627 38.093 47.749 60.257 54.060 53.908 63.357 58.500 53.219 53.099 62.377 13,557. 13,557. 13,557. 13,245.
15 10.287 7.171 6.510 6.329 41.755 36.249 35.828 45.769 56.647 52.252 53.356 61.083 55.708 51.760 52.960 60.757 10,740. 10,740. 10,740. 10,504.
18 17.125 13.235 9.650 4.255 42.706 38.228 35.892 45.143 58.234 54.248 52.402 59.339 55.663 52.612 51.509 59.190 8,354. 8,354. 8,354. 8,162.
21 21.292 15.477 9.312 8.373 47.798 41.787 38.797 46.517 63.151 58.193 55.782 60.477 59.457 56.101 55.004 59.899 6,516. 6,516. 6,516. 6,383.
24 19.599 15.035 11.861 11.701 50.725 45.341 42.351 50.726 66.889 62.386 60.154 65.391 63.959 60.552 58.978 64.341 5,999. 5,999. 5,999. 5,880.
27 21.408 15.298 11.354 11.403 49.826 44.613 42.854 49.642 66.323 62.419 61.496 64.475 62.777 60.520 60.444 63.463 6,276. 6,276. 6,276. 6,143.
30 18.533 10.133 10.595 13.914 50.875 44.357 42.172 50.598 66.896 61.476 60.161 65.756 64.281 60.638 59.225 64.271 8,406. 8,406. 8,406. 8,218.
33 16.013 9.635 9.830 13.741 50.058 43.815 41.967 51.697 66.056 60.059 59.211 66.946 64.088 59.284 58.392 65.524 11,233. 11,233. 11,233. 10,984.
36 14.267 7.659 8.054 10.469 47.649 41.630 40.120 49.473 63.803 57.981 57.251 65.185 62.190 57.475 56.684 64.341 13,517. 13,517. 13,517. 13,189.
39 9.984 4.750 ******* 6.598 45.354 39.955 ******* 47.487 61.015 57.117 ******* 63.118 60.195 56.922 -9999.00 62.775 10,800. 10,800. 0. 10,459.
42 14.584 11.950 ******* 7.103 46.832 42.095 ******* 48.447 62.942 58.966 ******* 63.225 61.232 57.746 -9999.00 62.829 8,333. 8,333. 0. 8,074.
45 21.353 15.077 ******* 9.027 50.953 45.537 ******* 50.767 66.520 62.411 ******* 65.591 63.004 60.567 -9999.00 64.972 6,495. 6,495. 0. 6,283.
48 21.748 15.591 ******* 12.540 55.806 49.246 ******* 54.626 72.175 66.962 ******* 70.125 68.826 65.127 -9999.00 69.001 5,987. 5,987. 0. 5,785.