MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP2 (10-m log-reduced Wind Speed Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000070100 to 2000091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -3.352 -3.235 ******* -0.164 4.131 4.090 ******* 3.985 5.923 5.878 ******* 5.569 4.883 4.907 -9999.00 5.567 13,801. 13,801. 0. 13,572.
3 -1.750 -1.115 ******* -2.472 3.426 3.380 ******* 3.863 5.341 5.176 ******* 5.860 5.046 5.055 -9999.00 5.314 11,005. 11,005. 0. 10,813.
6 -1.292 -0.645 0.141 -3.084 3.460 3.541 3.893 4.139 5.579 5.524 6.069 6.384 5.428 5.486 6.069 5.590 8,448. 8,448. 2,913. 8,319.
9 -2.121 -1.307 -0.718 -3.474 3.556 3.459 3.533 4.205 5.880 5.607 5.745 6.576 5.484 5.453 5.702 5.584 6,557. 6,557. 2,281. 6,471.
12 -2.361 -1.563 -0.919 -3.785 3.623 3.481 3.594 4.427 6.025 5.706 5.661 6.813 5.543 5.489 5.587 5.665 6,016. 6,016. 6,016. 5,957.
15 -2.911 -2.155 -1.757 -3.415 4.058 3.798 3.708 4.390 6.114 5.739 5.631 6.515 5.377 5.319 5.350 5.549 6,365. 6,365. 6,365. 6,258.
18 -3.661 -3.160 -2.754 -1.998 4.498 4.242 4.054 3.978 6.162 5.841 5.644 5.744 4.957 4.912 4.927 5.386 8,559. 8,559. 8,559. 8,428.
21 -3.656 -3.127 -2.836 -1.142 4.439 4.247 4.118 3.891 6.177 5.922 5.788 5.638 4.979 5.029 5.046 5.521 11,241. 11,241. 11,241. 11,090.
24 -2.803 -2.249 -1.974 -0.005 3.956 3.808 3.712 3.945 5.722 5.471 5.349 5.526 4.989 4.987 4.972 5.526 13,478. 13,478. 13,478. 13,322.
27 -2.173 -1.129 -0.795 -2.174 3.685 3.547 3.453 3.834 5.715 5.406 5.280 5.833 5.286 5.287 5.220 5.414 10,758. 10,758. 10,758. 10,616.
30 -1.636 -0.898 -0.744 -2.993 3.522 3.646 3.749 4.067 5.697 5.669 5.740 6.349 5.458 5.598 5.691 5.600 8,291. 8,291. 8,291. 8,172.
33 -2.066 -1.419 -1.253 -3.366 3.587 3.555 3.668 4.167 5.915 5.729 5.789 6.560 5.543 5.551 5.652 5.631 6,461. 6,461. 6,461. 6,360.
36 -2.397 -1.704 -1.533 -3.776 3.731 3.625 3.781 4.468 6.119 5.866 5.963 6.838 5.631 5.613 5.764 5.701 5,922. 5,922. 5,922. 5,818.
39 -3.104 -2.478 ******* -3.700 4.195 3.987 ******* 4.566 6.267 5.957 ******* 6.698 5.445 5.418 -9999.00 5.584 6,329. 6,329. 0. 6,208.
42 -4.168 -3.704 ******* -2.533 4.826 4.631 ******* 4.207 6.525 6.271 ******* 5.952 5.020 5.061 -9999.00 5.386 8,553. 8,553. 0. 8,422.
45 -3.986 -3.582 ******* -1.545 4.680 4.574 ******* 3.888 6.356 6.179 ******* 5.559 4.950 5.034 -9999.00 5.341 11,346. 11,346. 0. 11,108.
48 -3.233 -2.837 ******* -0.407 4.184 4.143 ******* 3.870 5.892 5.777 ******* 5.390 4.926 5.032 -9999.00 5.375 13,567. 13,567. 0. 13,397.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP2 (10-m log-reduced Wind Speed Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000070100 to 2000091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -4.766 -4.715 ******* -4.414 5.056 5.008 ******* 4.884 7.264 7.200 ******* 7.213 5.482 5.442 -9999.00 5.706 6,059. 6,059. 0. 5,930.
3 -2.303 -1.946 ******* -3.185 3.753 3.664 ******* 4.384 5.815 5.654 ******* 6.521 5.340 5.310 -9999.00 5.691 6,429. 6,429. 0. 6,306.
6 -3.819 -3.104 -3.195 -1.752 4.443 4.043 4.076 4.045 6.127 5.657 5.773 5.787 4.791 4.729 4.809 5.516 8,647. 8,647. 2,944. 8,500.
9 -3.455 -2.904 -2.846 -0.936 4.249 4.030 3.951 3.881 5.975 5.662 5.710 5.576 4.875 4.861 4.951 5.497 11,579. 11,579. 4,038. 11,293.
12 -2.705 -2.118 -1.683 0.240 3.824 3.680 3.591 3.989 5.572 5.300 5.143 5.548 4.872 4.858 4.860 5.543 13,727. 13,727. 13,727. 13,413.
15 -1.963 -0.943 -0.541 -2.021 3.526 3.440 3.407 3.767 5.509 5.252 5.215 5.759 5.147 5.167 5.187 5.393 10,820. 10,820. 10,820. 10,581.
18 -1.443 -0.794 -0.617 -2.825 3.427 3.570 3.655 4.032 5.575 5.587 5.656 6.316 5.386 5.531 5.623 5.649 8,425. 8,425. 8,425. 8,232.
21 -2.014 -1.286 -1.083 -3.266 3.582 3.506 3.639 4.139 5.896 5.668 5.748 6.535 5.542 5.520 5.645 5.661 6,574. 6,574. 6,574. 6,438.
24 -2.336 -1.622 -1.357 -3.671 3.749 3.601 3.766 4.397 6.108 5.809 5.890 6.828 5.644 5.578 5.732 5.758 6,046. 6,046. 6,046. 5,926.
27 -2.894 -2.285 -1.766 -3.486 4.058 3.829 3.786 4.427 6.145 5.822 5.720 6.599 5.421 5.355 5.440 5.604 6,319. 6,319. 6,319. 6,186.
30 -3.951 -3.478 -2.794 -2.191 4.700 4.458 4.113 4.105 6.378 6.059 5.717 5.880 5.008 4.962 4.988 5.457 8,536. 8,536. 8,536. 8,343.
33 -3.872 -3.386 -2.854 -1.314 4.616 4.445 4.186 3.912 6.352 6.073 5.832 5.646 5.035 5.041 5.086 5.491 11,436. 11,436. 11,436. 11,183.
36 -3.163 -2.668 -2.138 -0.339 4.150 4.032 3.828 3.921 5.927 5.691 5.467 5.526 5.012 5.027 5.032 5.516 13,686. 13,686. 13,686. 13,356.
39 -2.415 -1.488 ******* -2.452 3.795 3.625 ******* 3.953 5.845 5.528 ******* 5.973 5.322 5.324 -9999.00 5.447 10,878. 10,878. 0. 10,534.
42 -2.023 -1.315 ******* -3.257 3.667 3.673 ******* 4.221 5.852 5.736 ******* 6.500 5.491 5.584 -9999.00 5.625 8,403. 8,403. 0. 8,144.
45 -2.362 -1.711 ******* -3.584 3.752 3.679 ******* 4.322 6.085 5.879 ******* 6.709 5.608 5.625 -9999.00 5.672 6,551. 6,551. 0. 6,337.
48 -2.771 -2.130 ******* -4.017 3.934 3.775 ******* 4.659 6.324 6.058 ******* 7.039 5.685 5.672 -9999.00 5.781 6,032. 6,032. 0. 5,830.