MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of PSLR (SLP millibars ) From 2000073112 to 2001070900

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -0.099 -0.020 ******* -0.060 1.010 0.927 ******* 0.869 1.728 1.627 ******* 1.493 1.725 1.627 -9999.00 1.492 39,414. 39,414. 0. 39,300.
3 1.480 1.438 ******* 1.127 1.748 1.730 ******* 1.613 2.279 2.267 ******* 2.174 1.733 1.753 -9999.00 1.858 38,233. 38,233. 0. 38,116.
6 0.944 0.861 ******* 1.288 1.403 1.358 ******* 1.633 1.837 1.781 ******* 2.064 1.576 1.559 -9999.00 1.613 36,356. 36,356. 0. 36,245.
9 1.202 1.063 ******* 1.068 1.597 1.474 ******* 1.424 2.031 1.887 ******* 1.814 1.637 1.559 -9999.00 1.467 34,683. 34,683. 0. 34,577.
12 1.235 1.045 1.002 1.142 1.669 1.499 1.464 1.508 2.098 1.909 1.867 1.914 1.696 1.597 1.576 1.536 35,332. 35,332. 35,332. 35,224.
15 1.385 1.237 1.207 1.056 1.917 1.769 1.760 1.580 2.555 2.397 2.387 2.198 2.147 2.054 2.059 1.928 39,688. 39,688. 39,688. 39,569.
18 -0.149 -0.186 -0.131 0.321 1.630 1.540 1.526 1.431 2.206 2.110 2.094 1.959 2.201 2.102 2.090 1.933 39,664. 39,664. 39,664. 39,550.
21 -0.248 -0.274 -0.207 0.551 1.749 1.678 1.655 1.605 2.405 2.334 2.310 2.213 2.392 2.318 2.300 2.143 39,224. 39,224. 39,224. 39,109.
24 0.087 0.017 0.055 0.454 1.760 1.709 1.705 1.634 2.462 2.406 2.399 2.272 2.461 2.406 2.399 2.227 38,862. 38,862. 38,862. 38,862.
27 0.471 0.367 0.361 0.422 1.780 1.702 1.693 1.607 2.459 2.368 2.356 2.222 2.413 2.340 2.329 2.182 37,691. 37,691. 37,691. 37,691.
30 0.024 -0.113 -0.167 0.577 1.782 1.705 1.691 1.651 2.365 2.269 2.250 2.154 2.364 2.266 2.244 2.075 35,821. 35,821. 35,821. 35,821.
33 0.328 0.169 0.075 0.881 1.909 1.810 1.781 1.812 2.464 2.341 2.305 2.316 2.442 2.335 2.303 2.142 34,157. 34,157. 34,157. 34,157.
36 0.908 0.735 0.618 0.766 2.154 2.017 1.964 1.884 2.727 2.566 2.504 2.411 2.572 2.459 2.427 2.286 35,037. 35,037. 35,037. 35,037.
39 0.792 0.641 ******* 0.418 2.253 2.137 ******* 1.971 3.018 2.884 ******* 2.682 2.912 2.812 -9999.00 2.649 40,027. 40,027. 0. 39,905.
42 -0.139 -0.215 ******* 0.471 2.257 2.187 ******* 2.114 3.021 2.937 ******* 2.816 3.018 2.930 -9999.00 2.776 40,002. 40,002. 0. 39,885.
45 -0.181 -0.242 ******* 0.729 2.352 2.309 ******* 2.287 3.176 3.122 ******* 3.075 3.171 3.113 -9999.00 2.987 39,644. 39,644. 0. 39,523.
48 0.279 0.174 ******* 0.330 2.429 2.394 ******* 2.310 3.277 3.224 ******* 3.117 3.265 3.220 -9999.00 3.100 39,238. 39,238. 0. 39,118.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of PSLR (SLP millibars ) From 2000073112 to 2001070900

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 0.435 0.343 ******* 0.436 0.933 0.864 ******* 0.796 1.397 1.302 ******* 1.090 1.327 1.256 -9999.00 0.999 35,563. 35,563. 0. 35,304.
3 1.762 1.760 ******* 1.581 1.948 1.965 ******* 1.856 2.517 2.533 ******* 2.460 1.798 1.822 -9999.00 1.884 39,899. 39,899. 0. 39,604.
6 -0.142 -0.070 ******* 0.683 1.284 1.250 ******* 1.381 1.821 1.786 ******* 1.896 1.816 1.784 -9999.00 1.768 39,888. 39,888. 0. 39,609.
9 -0.147 -0.069 ******* 0.275 1.489 1.417 ******* 1.331 2.096 2.027 ******* 1.885 2.090 2.026 -9999.00 1.864 39,534. 39,534. 0. 39,252.
12 -0.059 -0.071 0.017 0.297 1.478 1.424 1.400 1.370 2.104 2.058 2.022 1.969 2.104 2.057 2.022 1.946 38,982. 38,982. 38,982. 38,699.
15 0.559 0.494 0.415 0.582 1.525 1.449 1.434 1.383 2.079 1.998 1.987 1.916 2.003 1.936 1.943 1.825 37,691. 37,691. 37,691. 37,433.
18 -0.015 -0.120 -0.272 0.400 1.483 1.411 1.412 1.368 1.983 1.901 1.911 1.811 1.983 1.898 1.891 1.767 35,933. 35,933. 35,933. 35,671.
21 0.320 0.182 -0.026 0.818 1.614 1.514 1.485 1.543 2.112 1.999 1.970 1.996 2.088 1.991 1.970 1.821 34,055. 34,055. 34,055. 33,802.
24 0.762 0.609 0.372 0.590 1.831 1.696 1.613 1.578 2.360 2.205 2.117 2.057 2.234 2.119 2.084 1.970 35,133. 35,133. 35,133. 34,877.
27 0.569 0.427 0.210 0.248 1.927 1.806 1.742 1.661 2.647 2.514 2.455 2.342 2.585 2.478 2.446 2.329 39,461. 39,461. 39,461. 39,204.
30 -0.618 -0.683 -0.833 0.068 2.015 1.948 1.963 1.728 2.715 2.647 2.666 2.359 2.643 2.557 2.532 2.358 39,096. 39,096. 39,096. 38,818.
33 -0.491 -0.540 -0.648 0.397 2.079 2.025 2.037 1.899 2.801 2.752 2.763 2.557 2.758 2.698 2.686 2.526 38,770. 38,770. 38,770. 38,489.
36 0.120 0.019 -0.094 0.366 2.118 2.070 2.065 1.991 2.890 2.842 2.839 2.686 2.887 2.842 2.838 2.661 38,411. 38,411. 38,411. 38,129.
39 0.474 0.347 ******* 0.240 2.144 2.069 ******* 1.939 2.900 2.816 ******* 2.610 2.862 2.795 -9999.00 2.599 37,910. 37,910. 0. 37,630.
42 0.240 0.082 ******* 0.686 2.154 2.081 ******* 2.000 2.836 2.745 ******* 2.615 2.825 2.743 -9999.00 2.523 36,052. 36,052. 0. 35,783.
45 0.488 0.311 ******* 0.937 2.273 2.181 ******* 2.139 2.959 2.844 ******* 2.772 2.919 2.827 -9999.00 2.609 34,376. 34,376. 0. 34,018.
48 1.173 0.984 ******* 0.688 2.584 2.447 ******* 2.185 3.307 3.151 ******* 2.840 3.092 2.993 -9999.00 2.756 35,364. 35,364. 0. 35,103.