MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of TEM1 (Lowest Sigma Temp Kelvin ) From 2000073112 to 2001070900

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -1.016 -1.062 ******* -0.470 2.145 2.144 ******* 2.335 2.838 2.836 ******* 3.020 2.649 2.630 -9999.00 2.983 129,251. 129,251. 0. 128,911.
3 0.778 0.725 ******* -0.505 1.995 1.893 ******* 2.346 2.741 2.623 ******* 2.985 2.629 2.521 -9999.00 2.942 126,897. 126,897. 0. 126,495.
6 1.190 1.236 ******* -0.242 2.261 2.199 ******* 2.395 3.134 3.082 ******* 3.048 2.899 2.823 -9999.00 3.038 127,665. 127,665. 0. 127,331.
9 1.373 1.511 ******* -0.264 2.495 2.455 ******* 2.530 3.445 3.435 ******* 3.236 3.160 3.085 -9999.00 3.225 126,234. 126,234. 0. 125,910.
12 1.573 1.763 1.750 -0.308 2.704 2.691 2.683 2.639 3.717 3.747 3.735 3.383 3.368 3.307 3.300 3.369 126,706. 126,706. 126,706. 126,303.
15 0.607 0.797 0.728 -0.620 2.464 2.347 2.337 2.560 3.339 3.243 3.226 3.316 3.283 3.143 3.143 3.257 127,106. 127,106. 127,106. 126,710.
18 -1.124 -1.029 -1.239 -0.707 2.604 2.398 2.458 2.460 3.330 3.085 3.137 3.181 3.134 2.908 2.881 3.102 126,462. 126,462. 126,462. 126,195.
21 -1.518 -1.520 -1.683 -0.783 2.836 2.682 2.721 2.578 3.592 3.419 3.452 3.328 3.256 3.063 3.014 3.235 122,490. 122,490. 122,490. 122,177.
24 -1.179 -1.221 -1.355 -0.765 2.660 2.528 2.555 2.568 3.432 3.291 3.304 3.295 3.223 3.056 3.014 3.205 128,268. 128,268. 128,268. 128,268.
27 0.523 0.421 0.329 -0.612 2.218 2.089 2.055 2.471 2.972 2.813 2.757 3.140 2.926 2.781 2.738 3.080 126,018. 126,018. 126,018. 126,018.
30 1.048 1.042 1.087 -0.259 2.366 2.264 2.229 2.455 3.185 3.071 3.027 3.130 3.007 2.889 2.825 3.119 126,785. 126,785. 126,785. 126,785.
33 1.253 1.346 1.461 -0.209 2.576 2.502 2.474 2.561 3.465 3.401 3.379 3.287 3.231 3.123 3.047 3.280 125,256. 125,256. 125,256. 125,256.
36 1.460 1.614 1.769 -0.265 2.764 2.714 2.708 2.658 3.699 3.676 3.685 3.422 3.398 3.302 3.233 3.411 125,612. 125,612. 125,612. 125,612.
39 0.448 0.621 ******* -0.615 2.576 2.447 ******* 2.612 3.452 3.329 ******* 3.390 3.423 3.270 -9999.00 3.333 127,348. 127,348. 0. 126,940.
42 -1.388 -1.245 ******* -0.709 2.873 2.655 ******* 2.554 3.653 3.401 ******* 3.297 3.379 3.165 -9999.00 3.220 126,599. 126,599. 0. 126,187.
45 -1.814 -1.738 ******* -0.845 3.159 2.993 ******* 2.708 3.981 3.802 ******* 3.466 3.544 3.382 -9999.00 3.361 122,681. 122,681. 0. 122,251.
48 -1.436 -1.409 ******* -0.838 2.988 2.859 ******* 2.714 3.829 3.696 ******* 3.459 3.550 3.417 -9999.00 3.357 128,480. 128,480. 0. 128,054.


12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of TEM1 (Lowest Sigma Temp Kelvin ) From 2000073112 to 2001070900

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 2.293 2.131 ******* -1.034 2.876 2.801 ******* 2.663 3.982 3.902 ******* 3.445 3.255 3.269 -9999.00 3.287 126,835. 126,835. 0. 125,684.
3 0.946 0.791 ******* -0.913 2.333 2.191 ******* 2.528 3.238 3.066 ******* 3.275 3.097 2.963 -9999.00 3.146 127,407. 127,407. 0. 126,260.
6 -0.890 -1.007 ******* -0.913 2.389 2.268 ******* 2.448 3.106 2.945 ******* 3.181 2.976 2.767 -9999.00 3.048 126,723. 126,723. 0. 125,725.
9 -1.318 -1.484 ******* -0.885 2.654 2.567 ******* 2.553 3.385 3.274 ******* 3.299 3.118 2.918 -9999.00 3.178 123,140. 123,140. 0. 121,980.
12 -1.089 -1.251 -1.259 -0.843 2.536 2.444 2.447 2.542 3.288 3.190 3.194 3.261 3.102 2.934 2.936 3.150 128,773. 128,773. 128,773. 127,680.
15 0.510 0.313 0.450 -0.710 2.105 1.969 1.961 2.447 2.833 2.665 2.653 3.102 2.787 2.647 2.615 3.020 126,286. 126,286. 126,286. 125,296.
18 0.916 0.866 1.241 -0.397 2.248 2.135 2.208 2.424 3.034 2.912 3.024 3.090 2.892 2.780 2.757 3.064 127,365. 127,365. 127,365. 126,333.
21 1.085 1.145 1.612 -0.326 2.438 2.346 2.467 2.526 3.294 3.212 3.393 3.239 3.110 3.001 2.985 3.223 124,894. 124,894. 124,894. 123,902.
24 1.253 1.387 1.904 -0.374 2.609 2.543 2.713 2.623 3.513 3.474 3.714 3.374 3.282 3.185 3.189 3.353 126,090. 126,090. 126,090. 125,079.
27 0.229 0.389 0.887 -0.692 2.514 2.362 2.330 2.583 3.367 3.213 3.211 3.351 3.359 3.190 3.086 3.279 126,412. 126,412. 126,412. 125,361.
30 -1.519 -1.417 -1.144 -0.804 2.880 2.679 2.497 2.528 3.678 3.434 3.229 3.271 3.349 3.128 3.019 3.171 124,813. 124,813. 124,813. 123,675.
33 -1.880 -1.854 -1.691 -0.941 3.153 2.997 2.856 2.694 3.983 3.815 3.662 3.461 3.511 3.334 3.248 3.331 121,228. 121,228. 121,228. 120,172.
36 -1.515 -1.506 -1.376 -0.889 2.955 2.822 2.726 2.673 3.801 3.664 3.555 3.419 3.486 3.340 3.278 3.301 126,909. 126,909. 126,909. 125,813.
39 0.194 0.123 ******* -0.698 2.301 2.188 ******* 2.522 3.059 2.923 ******* 3.205 3.052 2.920 -9999.00 3.128 126,086. 126,086. 0. 124,953.
42 0.719 0.739 ******* -0.253 2.368 2.283 ******* 2.542 3.151 3.053 ******* 3.500 3.068 2.962 -9999.00 3.491 126,855. 126,855. 0. 125,697.
45 0.904 1.006 ******* -0.251 2.544 2.469 ******* 2.599 3.384 3.315 ******* 3.339 3.261 3.159 -9999.00 3.330 125,381. 125,381. 0. 123,869.
48 1.084 1.240 ******* -0.282 2.711 2.652 ******* 2.767 3.596 3.552 ******* 3.787 3.429 3.329 -9999.00 3.776 126,139. 126,139. 0. 125,029.