MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of TEM2 (Avg Sfc/Lowest Sigma Temp Kelvin ) From 2000073112 to 2001070900

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -1.196 -1.157 ******* -0.388 2.298 2.213 ******* 2.668 2.969 2.896 ******* 3.408 2.717 2.655 -9999.00 3.386 129,251. 129,251. 0. 128,911.
3 0.016 0.054 ******* -1.827 1.915 1.772 ******* 3.021 2.500 2.346 ******* 3.769 2.500 2.346 -9999.00 3.296 126,897. 126,897. 0. 126,495.
6 0.426 0.493 ******* -1.627 2.005 1.914 ******* 2.854 2.646 2.563 ******* 3.576 2.611 2.515 -9999.00 3.185 127,665. 127,665. 0. 127,331.
9 0.623 0.744 ******* -1.641 2.154 2.093 ******* 2.859 2.866 2.825 ******* 3.611 2.798 2.725 -9999.00 3.216 126,234. 126,234. 0. 125,910.
12 0.860 0.987 1.054 -1.635 2.341 2.296 2.323 2.889 3.115 3.098 3.149 3.671 2.994 2.936 2.967 3.287 126,706. 126,706. 126,706. 126,303.
15 0.333 0.533 0.258 -1.218 2.195 2.097 2.057 2.736 2.888 2.797 2.743 3.530 2.868 2.746 2.731 3.314 127,106. 127,106. 127,106. 126,710.
18 -0.372 -0.156 -0.448 0.426 2.183 2.028 2.041 2.702 2.829 2.649 2.652 3.431 2.804 2.644 2.614 3.404 126,462. 126,462. 126,462. 126,195.
21 -0.690 -0.488 -0.607 0.499 2.414 2.257 2.244 2.891 3.147 2.986 2.956 3.681 3.070 2.945 2.893 3.647 122,490. 122,490. 122,490. 122,177.
24 -1.115 -0.921 -1.036 -0.586 2.543 2.315 2.309 2.851 3.279 3.037 3.012 3.630 3.083 2.894 2.828 3.582 128,268. 128,268. 128,268. 128,268.
27 -0.163 -0.185 -0.312 -1.816 2.169 2.010 1.958 3.097 2.805 2.619 2.547 3.876 2.801 2.612 2.528 3.424 126,018. 126,018. 126,018. 126,018.
30 0.356 0.355 0.302 -1.537 2.147 2.022 1.950 2.871 2.789 2.644 2.553 3.615 2.766 2.620 2.535 3.272 126,785. 126,785. 126,785. 126,785.
33 0.557 0.617 0.618 -1.515 2.273 2.174 2.105 2.852 2.969 2.863 2.790 3.618 2.916 2.796 2.721 3.286 125,256. 125,256. 125,256. 125,256.
36 0.780 0.858 0.885 -1.544 2.425 2.343 2.284 2.886 3.164 3.085 3.033 3.686 3.066 2.963 2.901 3.347 125,612. 125,612. 125,612. 125,612.
39 0.187 0.289 ******* -1.154 2.305 2.183 ******* 2.764 3.016 2.884 ******* 3.578 3.010 2.869 -9999.00 3.387 127,348. 127,348. 0. 126,940.
42 -0.648 -0.449 ******* 0.450 2.387 2.224 ******* 2.792 3.076 2.888 ******* 3.558 3.007 2.853 -9999.00 3.530 126,599. 126,599. 0. 126,187.
45 -0.975 -0.700 ******* 0.463 2.689 2.518 ******* 2.977 3.475 3.301 ******* 3.797 3.336 3.226 -9999.00 3.769 122,681. 122,681. 0. 122,251.
48 -1.342 -1.096 ******* -0.632 2.859 2.631 ******* 2.965 3.662 3.420 ******* 3.776 3.407 3.239 -9999.00 3.722 128,480. 128,480. 0. 128,054.


12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of TEM2 (Avg Sfc/Lowest Sigma Temp Kelvin ) From 2000073112 to 2001070900

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 2.219 2.166 ******* -2.236 2.758 2.721 ******* 3.137 3.738 3.721 ******* 4.002 3.008 3.026 -9999.00 3.320 126,835. 126,835. 0. 125,684.
3 0.564 0.501 ******* -1.498 2.011 1.930 ******* 2.733 2.709 2.623 ******* 3.516 2.650 2.575 -9999.00 3.181 127,407. 127,407. 0. 126,260.
6 -0.160 -0.094 ******* 0.227 2.023 1.908 ******* 2.577 2.653 2.520 ******* 3.293 2.649 2.518 -9999.00 3.285 126,723. 126,723. 0. 125,725.
9 -0.462 -0.469 ******* 0.396 2.291 2.165 ******* 2.809 2.995 2.861 ******* 3.589 2.959 2.822 -9999.00 3.567 123,140. 123,140. 0. 121,980.
12 -1.009 -1.063 -0.980 -0.689 2.441 2.303 2.247 2.843 3.153 3.013 2.951 3.618 2.988 2.819 2.784 3.552 128,773. 128,773. 128,773. 127,680.
15 -0.272 -0.372 -0.091 -1.927 2.088 1.945 1.848 3.128 2.712 2.542 2.424 3.900 2.698 2.514 2.422 3.391 126,286. 126,286. 126,286. 125,296.
18 0.146 0.103 0.558 -1.670 2.048 1.922 1.919 2.902 2.658 2.512 2.538 3.647 2.654 2.509 2.476 3.241 127,365. 127,365. 127,365. 126,333.
21 0.304 0.327 0.853 -1.617 2.149 2.038 2.090 2.865 2.803 2.680 2.799 3.629 2.786 2.660 2.666 3.249 124,894. 124,894. 124,894. 123,902.
24 0.494 0.549 1.089 -1.630 2.278 2.179 2.278 2.897 2.973 2.872 3.052 3.690 2.931 2.819 2.851 3.311 126,090. 126,090. 126,090. 125,079.
27 -0.140 -0.003 0.524 -1.245 2.263 2.103 2.062 2.753 2.951 2.779 2.752 3.559 2.948 2.779 2.701 3.334 126,412. 126,412. 126,412. 125,361.
30 -0.843 -0.642 -0.290 0.315 2.391 2.216 2.110 2.728 3.083 2.882 2.761 3.471 2.965 2.810 2.746 3.457 124,813. 124,813. 124,813. 123,675.
33 -1.045 -0.831 -0.578 0.322 2.671 2.496 2.395 2.942 3.447 3.274 3.162 3.743 3.285 3.167 3.109 3.730 121,228. 121,228. 121,228. 120,172.
36 -1.409 -1.224 -1.037 -0.700 2.814 2.596 2.473 2.933 3.608 3.384 3.243 3.729 3.321 3.155 3.073 3.663 126,909. 126,909. 126,909. 125,813.
39 -0.536 -0.525 ******* -1.864 2.326 2.164 ******* 3.139 3.014 2.821 ******* 3.942 2.966 2.771 -9999.00 3.473 126,086. 126,086. 0. 124,953.
42 -0.011 -0.002 ******* -1.533 2.217 2.095 ******* 2.920 2.863 2.717 ******* 3.722 2.863 2.717 -9999.00 3.391 126,855. 126,855. 0. 125,697.
45 0.174 0.222 ******* -1.531 2.302 2.200 ******* 2.891 2.983 2.863 ******* 3.683 2.978 2.854 -9999.00 3.349 125,381. 125,381. 0. 123,869.
48 0.364 0.429 ******* -1.565 2.432 2.336 ******* 2.969 3.151 3.043 ******* 3.828 3.130 3.012 -9999.00 3.494 126,139. 126,139. 0. 125,029.