MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000073112 to 2001070900

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 7.201 7.160 ******* 7.777 7.201 7.160 ******* 7.777 8.648 8.607 ******* 9.203 4.790 4.776 -9999.00 4.920 54,075. 54,075. 0. 53,950.
3 8.470 8.018 ******* 7.481 8.470 8.018 ******* 7.481 10.115 9.678 ******* 8.933 5.530 5.419 -9999.00 4.883 44,045. 44,045. 0. 43,955.
6 9.277 8.598 ******* 7.611 9.277 8.598 ******* 7.611 10.999 10.340 ******* 9.131 5.910 5.744 -9999.00 5.045 37,633. 37,633. 0. 37,558.
9 9.267 8.622 ******* 7.542 9.267 8.622 ******* 7.542 10.979 10.380 ******* 9.049 5.887 5.780 -9999.00 4.999 32,505. 32,505. 0. 32,452.
12 9.497 8.828 9.715 7.694 9.497 8.828 9.715 7.694 11.291 10.633 11.851 9.226 6.107 5.927 6.787 5.092 32,425. 32,425. 32,425. 32,345.
15 9.548 8.851 8.612 7.765 9.548 8.851 8.612 7.765 11.342 10.675 10.493 9.242 6.123 5.968 5.995 5.012 34,436. 34,436. 34,436. 34,333.
18 9.167 8.427 8.142 7.726 9.167 8.427 8.142 7.726 10.930 10.222 9.999 9.153 5.953 5.786 5.803 4.908 42,425. 42,425. 42,425. 42,312.
21 8.977 8.391 8.250 7.977 8.977 8.391 8.250 7.977 10.740 10.200 10.128 9.422 5.896 5.799 5.875 5.014 51,788. 51,788. 51,788. 51,637.
24 8.996 8.540 8.411 8.161 8.996 8.540 8.411 8.161 10.749 10.354 10.285 9.620 5.884 5.855 5.920 5.093 53,639. 53,639. 53,639. 53,639.
27 9.254 8.920 8.787 7.896 9.254 8.920 8.787 7.896 11.081 10.803 10.721 9.381 6.095 6.095 6.142 5.065 43,738. 43,738. 43,738. 43,738.
30 9.694 9.220 8.946 7.972 9.694 9.220 8.946 7.972 11.525 11.095 10.893 9.515 6.233 6.173 6.215 5.194 37,389. 37,389. 37,389. 37,389.
33 9.774 9.192 8.924 7.885 9.774 9.192 8.924 7.885 11.548 11.034 10.878 9.406 6.151 6.105 6.222 5.128 32,234. 32,234. 32,234. 32,234.
36 9.988 9.396 9.118 8.027 9.988 9.396 9.118 8.027 11.832 11.298 11.100 9.549 6.342 6.273 6.330 5.171 32,064. 32,064. 32,064. 32,064.
39 10.020 9.373 ******* 8.112 10.020 9.373 ******* 8.112 11.895 11.295 ******* 9.612 6.411 6.302 -9999.00 5.157 34,313. 34,313. 0. 34,193.
42 9.600 8.942 ******* 8.095 9.600 8.942 ******* 8.095 11.375 10.780 ******* 9.528 6.102 6.021 -9999.00 5.026 42,251. 42,251. 0. 42,112.
45 9.335 8.838 ******* 8.281 9.335 8.838 ******* 8.281 11.089 10.647 ******* 9.709 5.985 5.937 -9999.00 5.068 51,718. 51,718. 0. 51,471.
48 9.328 8.919 ******* 8.469 9.328 8.919 ******* 8.469 11.087 10.752 ******* 9.910 5.992 6.005 -9999.00 5.146 53,615. 53,615. 0. 53,438.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000073112 to 2001070900

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 7.288 7.206 ******* 7.633 7.288 7.206 ******* 7.633 8.867 8.795 ******* 9.137 5.051 5.044 -9999.00 5.022 32,438. 32,438. 0. 32,273.
3 9.072 8.342 ******* 7.692 9.072 8.342 ******* 7.692 10.794 10.068 ******* 9.159 5.850 5.637 -9999.00 4.971 34,477. 34,477. 0. 34,316.
6 8.976 8.099 ******* 7.622 8.976 8.099 ******* 7.622 10.696 9.841 ******* 9.020 5.816 5.590 -9999.00 4.824 42,475. 42,475. 0. 42,291.
9 8.589 7.955 ******* 7.783 8.589 7.955 ******* 7.783 10.277 9.688 ******* 9.204 5.643 5.529 -9999.00 4.913 52,016. 52,016. 0. 51,649.
12 8.549 8.062 8.513 7.979 8.549 8.062 8.513 7.979 10.242 9.803 10.487 9.423 5.640 5.576 6.124 5.012 53,992. 53,992. 53,992. 53,610.
15 8.901 8.480 8.467 7.714 8.901 8.480 8.467 7.714 10.669 10.277 10.336 9.176 5.883 5.806 5.928 4.968 43,866. 43,866. 43,866. 43,583.
18 9.523 8.971 8.745 7.825 9.523 8.971 8.745 7.825 11.342 10.809 10.650 9.364 6.161 6.029 6.078 5.144 37,634. 37,634. 37,634. 37,390.
21 9.601 9.004 8.812 7.736 9.601 9.004 8.812 7.736 11.380 10.834 10.745 9.260 6.109 6.027 6.148 5.089 32,153. 32,153. 32,153. 31,970.
24 9.866 9.232 9.059 7.943 9.866 9.232 9.059 7.943 11.733 11.125 11.044 9.476 6.351 6.207 6.317 5.168 32,159. 32,159. 32,159. 31,989.
27 9.873 9.218 9.006 7.968 9.873 9.218 9.006 7.968 11.743 11.109 10.978 9.462 6.359 6.201 6.278 5.102 34,132. 34,132. 34,132. 33,940.
30 9.444 8.773 8.571 7.932 9.444 8.773 8.571 7.932 11.244 10.605 10.486 9.356 6.101 5.958 6.041 4.962 41,699. 41,699. 41,699. 41,433.
33 9.199 8.657 8.567 8.139 9.199 8.657 8.567 8.139 10.968 10.464 10.455 9.574 5.974 5.878 5.994 5.042 51,084. 51,084. 51,084. 50,719.
36 9.178 8.747 8.727 8.295 9.178 8.747 8.727 8.295 10.938 10.585 10.632 9.748 5.950 5.962 6.073 5.120 52,975. 52,975. 52,975. 52,509.
39 9.492 9.163 ******* 8.055 9.492 9.163 ******* 8.055 11.325 11.095 ******* 9.552 6.176 6.257 -9999.00 5.134 43,556. 43,556. 0. 43,116.
42 9.958 9.467 ******* 8.183 9.958 9.467 ******* 8.183 11.840 11.401 ******* 9.757 6.406 6.353 -9999.00 5.313 37,274. 37,274. 0. 36,938.
45 9.953 9.389 ******* 8.108 9.953 9.389 ******* 8.108 11.758 11.284 ******* 9.662 6.259 6.260 -9999.00 5.254 32,148. 32,148. 0. 31,827.
48 10.226 9.608 ******* 8.250 10.226 9.608 ******* 8.250 12.108 11.552 ******* 9.826 6.484 6.414 -9999.00 5.337 32,073. 32,073. 0. 31,820.