MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000073112 to 2001070900

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 6.907 6.861 ******* 7.777 6.907 6.861 ******* 7.777 8.250 8.201 ******* 9.203 4.511 4.492 -9999.00 4.920 54,075. 54,075. 0. 53,950.
3 7.293 6.779 ******* 7.481 7.293 6.779 ******* 7.481 8.858 8.348 ******* 8.933 5.028 4.872 -9999.00 4.883 44,045. 44,045. 0. 43,955.
6 7.854 7.172 ******* 7.611 7.854 7.172 ******* 7.611 9.514 8.845 ******* 9.131 5.369 5.177 -9999.00 5.045 37,633. 37,633. 0. 37,558.
9 7.918 7.242 ******* 7.542 7.918 7.242 ******* 7.542 9.535 8.892 ******* 9.049 5.313 5.161 -9999.00 4.999 32,505. 32,505. 0. 32,452.
12 8.136 7.453 7.881 7.694 8.136 7.453 7.881 7.694 9.843 9.179 9.738 9.226 5.540 5.357 5.720 5.092 32,425. 32,425. 32,425. 32,345.
15 8.252 7.567 7.281 7.765 8.252 7.567 7.281 7.765 9.897 9.248 9.020 9.242 5.465 5.318 5.324 5.012 34,436. 34,436. 34,436. 34,333.
18 8.098 7.418 7.090 7.726 8.098 7.418 7.090 7.726 9.636 8.972 8.695 9.153 5.223 5.047 5.033 4.908 42,425. 42,425. 42,425. 42,312.
21 7.980 7.400 7.196 7.977 7.980 7.400 7.196 7.977 9.509 8.949 8.795 9.422 5.171 5.031 5.057 5.014 51,788. 51,788. 51,788. 51,637.
24 7.839 7.332 7.159 8.161 7.839 7.332 7.159 8.161 9.418 8.944 8.819 9.620 5.219 5.122 5.151 5.093 53,639. 53,639. 53,639. 53,639.
27 7.951 7.493 7.293 7.896 7.951 7.493 7.293 7.896 9.665 9.275 9.121 9.381 5.496 5.467 5.478 5.065 43,738. 43,738. 43,738. 43,738.
30 8.251 7.748 7.461 7.972 8.251 7.748 7.461 7.972 9.993 9.542 9.319 9.515 5.637 5.569 5.584 5.194 37,389. 37,389. 37,389. 37,389.
33 8.348 7.773 7.487 7.885 8.348 7.773 7.487 7.885 10.016 9.503 9.311 9.406 5.535 5.467 5.534 5.128 32,234. 32,234. 32,234. 32,234.
36 8.583 8.012 7.736 8.027 8.583 8.012 7.736 8.027 10.327 9.818 9.603 9.549 5.743 5.674 5.690 5.171 32,064. 32,064. 32,064. 32,064.
39 8.713 8.113 ******* 8.112 8.713 8.113 ******* 8.112 10.428 9.886 ******* 9.612 5.730 5.650 -9999.00 5.157 34,313. 34,313. 0. 34,193.
42 8.536 7.962 ******* 8.095 8.536 7.962 ******* 8.095 10.096 9.571 ******* 9.528 5.391 5.312 -9999.00 5.026 42,251. 42,251. 0. 42,112.
45 8.363 7.886 ******* 8.281 8.363 7.886 ******* 8.281 9.887 9.449 ******* 9.709 5.274 5.205 -9999.00 5.068 51,718. 51,718. 0. 51,471.
48 8.237 7.807 ******* 8.469 8.237 7.807 ******* 8.469 9.814 9.442 ******* 9.910 5.336 5.310 -9999.00 5.146 53,615. 53,615. 0. 53,438.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000073112 to 2001070900

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 7.140 7.076 ******* 7.633 7.140 7.076 ******* 7.633 8.643 8.579 ******* 9.137 4.870 4.851 -9999.00 5.022 32,438. 32,438. 0. 32,273.
3 7.798 7.131 ******* 7.692 7.798 7.131 ******* 7.692 9.394 8.714 ******* 9.159 5.238 5.008 -9999.00 4.971 34,477. 34,477. 0. 34,316.
6 7.966 7.176 ******* 7.622 7.966 7.176 ******* 7.622 9.457 8.663 ******* 9.020 5.097 4.853 -9999.00 4.824 42,475. 42,475. 0. 42,291.
9 7.720 7.087 ******* 7.783 7.720 7.087 ******* 7.783 9.186 8.559 ******* 9.204 4.979 4.799 -9999.00 4.913 52,016. 52,016. 0. 51,649.
12 7.525 6.974 7.166 7.979 7.525 6.974 7.166 7.979 9.054 8.515 8.801 9.423 5.034 4.887 5.110 5.012 53,992. 53,992. 53,992. 53,610.
15 7.638 7.087 6.966 7.714 7.638 7.087 6.966 7.714 9.299 8.779 8.728 9.176 5.303 5.181 5.258 4.968 43,866. 43,866. 43,866. 43,583.
18 8.045 7.471 7.219 7.825 8.045 7.471 7.219 7.825 9.775 9.225 9.026 9.364 5.551 5.411 5.418 5.144 37,634. 37,634. 37,634. 37,390.
21 8.139 7.536 7.307 7.736 8.139 7.536 7.307 7.736 9.801 9.248 9.094 9.260 5.461 5.360 5.413 5.089 32,153. 32,153. 32,153. 31,970.
24 8.418 7.790 7.580 7.943 8.418 7.790 7.580 7.943 10.175 9.588 9.447 9.476 5.716 5.590 5.639 5.168 32,159. 32,159. 32,159. 31,989.
27 8.543 7.917 7.666 7.968 8.543 7.917 7.666 7.968 10.255 9.664 9.481 9.462 5.674 5.543 5.579 5.102 34,132. 34,132. 34,132. 33,940.
30 8.375 7.773 7.509 7.932 8.375 7.773 7.509 7.932 9.943 9.365 9.176 9.356 5.359 5.223 5.273 4.962 41,699. 41,699. 41,699. 41,433.
33 8.220 7.692 7.511 8.139 8.220 7.692 7.511 8.139 9.758 9.252 9.141 9.574 5.258 5.140 5.210 5.042 51,084. 51,084. 51,084. 50,719.
36 8.080 7.612 7.486 8.295 8.080 7.612 7.486 8.295 9.658 9.243 9.180 9.748 5.291 5.243 5.314 5.120 52,975. 52,975. 52,975. 52,509.
39 8.196 7.774 ******* 8.055 8.196 7.774 ******* 8.055 9.919 9.598 ******* 9.552 5.587 5.629 -9999.00 5.134 43,556. 43,556. 0. 43,116.
42 8.514 8.017 ******* 8.183 8.514 8.017 ******* 8.183 10.302 9.863 ******* 9.757 5.801 5.746 -9999.00 5.313 37,274. 37,274. 0. 36,938.
45 8.535 7.996 ******* 8.108 8.535 7.996 ******* 8.108 10.237 9.782 ******* 9.662 5.651 5.635 -9999.00 5.254 32,148. 32,148. 0. 31,827.
48 8.811 8.240 ******* 8.250 8.811 8.240 ******* 8.250 10.591 10.094 ******* 9.826 5.876 5.830 -9999.00 5.337 32,073. 32,073. 0. 31,820.