MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000073112 to 2001070900

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 3.672 3.058 ******* 7.099 37.966 37.714 ******* 43.088 52.940 52.722 ******* 57.985 52.813 52.634 -9999.00 57.550 54,075. 54,075. 0. 53,950.
3 14.249 9.595 ******* 6.587 41.666 37.003 ******* 42.430 56.865 52.210 ******* 56.790 55.051 51.322 -9999.00 56.407 44,046. 44,046. 0. 43,956.
6 21.839 15.102 ******* 6.498 45.341 38.782 ******* 44.002 60.931 54.161 ******* 58.902 56.884 52.014 -9999.00 58.543 37,633. 37,633. 0. 37,558.
9 23.047 14.796 ******* 8.433 47.250 40.571 ******* 44.499 62.678 56.068 ******* 59.348 58.287 54.082 -9999.00 58.746 32,505. 32,505. 0. 32,452.
12 21.596 14.981 16.751 9.580 48.213 41.733 41.842 44.883 63.885 57.553 57.661 59.848 60.125 55.569 55.175 59.077 32,425. 32,425. 32,425. 32,345.
15 23.543 16.342 10.177 10.371 48.178 42.274 39.608 44.216 63.595 58.343 56.216 58.794 59.078 56.009 55.288 57.873 34,436. 34,436. 34,436. 34,333.
18 20.713 13.542 9.063 8.629 47.560 41.079 38.445 43.910 63.226 57.058 54.872 58.389 59.738 55.428 54.119 57.748 42,425. 42,425. 42,425. 42,312.
21 16.193 10.297 7.843 8.550 47.607 41.574 39.830 46.151 63.902 58.061 56.941 61.535 61.817 57.142 56.399 60.939 51,788. 51,788. 51,788. 51,637.
24 12.988 8.562 6.607 6.075 45.790 40.703 39.215 45.722 61.876 57.124 56.297 60.868 60.498 56.479 55.909 60.565 53,639. 53,639. 53,639. 53,639.
27 14.229 9.960 7.280 6.403 46.199 41.634 39.713 45.788 62.212 58.477 57.163 60.991 60.564 57.623 56.698 60.654 43,739. 43,739. 43,739. 43,739.
30 18.829 13.899 9.506 7.866 48.069 42.976 40.347 46.859 64.257 59.692 57.404 62.455 61.438 58.052 56.612 61.959 37,389. 37,389. 37,389. 37,389.
33 21.062 14.459 9.182 9.536 50.268 44.494 41.812 47.464 65.969 60.741 58.812 62.839 62.518 58.996 58.092 62.112 32,234. 32,234. 32,234. 32,234.
36 21.815 15.561 9.928 11.117 51.884 46.134 43.282 47.826 67.836 62.848 60.382 63.077 64.234 60.892 59.561 62.091 32,064. 32,064. 32,064. 32,064.
39 23.497 15.914 ******* 11.276 52.472 46.809 ******* 47.518 68.475 63.694 ******* 62.716 64.318 61.674 -9999.00 61.695 34,313. 34,313. 0. 34,193.
42 20.663 13.953 ******* 9.381 51.634 45.963 ******* 47.547 67.709 62.968 ******* 62.703 64.480 61.404 -9999.00 61.998 42,251. 42,251. 0. 42,112.
45 15.551 10.501 ******* 8.020 51.316 46.018 ******* 49.265 67.904 63.235 ******* 64.945 66.100 62.358 -9999.00 64.448 51,718. 51,718. 0. 51,471.
48 13.245 8.555 ******* 6.501 49.662 45.080 ******* 49.146 66.143 62.364 ******* 64.669 64.804 61.775 -9999.00 64.342 53,615. 53,615. 0. 53,438.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000073112 to 2001070900

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 4.591 3.190 ******* 5.955 39.582 39.201 ******* 45.015 54.443 54.196 ******* 60.281 54.250 54.103 -9999.00 59.987 32,438. 32,438. 0. 32,273.
3 20.530 13.674 ******* 7.490 44.784 39.299 ******* 43.685 59.796 54.811 ******* 58.180 56.162 53.079 -9999.00 57.697 34,477. 34,477. 0. 34,316.
6 23.354 14.733 ******* 8.227 47.137 39.798 ******* 42.913 62.750 55.395 ******* 57.132 58.242 53.400 -9999.00 56.537 42,475. 42,475. 0. 42,291.
9 16.780 10.555 ******* 7.569 45.823 39.429 ******* 44.245 61.751 55.252 ******* 59.240 59.428 54.235 -9999.00 58.755 52,016. 52,016. 0. 51,649.
12 13.595 8.641 9.130 6.452 43.502 38.194 38.081 43.934 59.211 53.881 53.749 58.884 57.630 53.184 52.968 58.530 53,992. 53,992. 53,992. 53,610.
15 14.599 10.338 8.101 6.426 43.658 38.523 37.313 43.915 59.211 54.525 54.059 58.610 57.383 53.536 53.449 58.257 43,867. 43,867. 43,867. 43,584.
18 19.403 13.976 9.442 6.665 46.121 40.805 38.344 45.172 61.992 56.964 54.868 60.490 58.878 55.223 54.050 60.123 37,634. 37,634. 37,634. 37,390.
21 21.642 14.309 9.590 9.216 48.296 42.430 40.015 45.539 63.913 58.356 56.407 60.583 60.139 56.575 55.587 59.879 32,153. 32,153. 32,153. 31,970.
24 21.656 14.504 10.211 9.786 49.782 43.846 41.558 46.437 65.511 60.172 58.462 61.491 61.829 58.399 57.564 60.709 32,159. 32,159. 32,159. 31,989.
27 23.202 16.101 11.028 10.002 50.529 44.770 42.333 45.839 66.368 61.308 59.443 60.674 62.181 59.157 58.411 59.845 34,132. 34,132. 34,132. 33,940.
30 20.971 13.632 10.676 8.626 50.014 44.119 41.858 45.655 65.885 60.778 59.186 60.371 62.459 59.230 58.216 59.752 41,699. 41,699. 41,699. 41,433.
33 15.469 9.710 8.240 7.605 49.602 44.002 42.465 47.646 65.924 60.837 59.980 63.136 64.084 60.058 59.411 62.677 51,084. 51,084. 51,084. 50,719.
36 12.262 8.112 6.789 6.032 48.170 43.180 41.974 47.563 64.544 60.280 59.778 63.072 63.369 59.732 59.392 62.783 52,975. 52,975. 52,975. 52,509.
39 12.604 9.104 ******* 6.359 48.790 44.077 ******* 47.616 65.260 61.495 ******* 63.258 64.032 60.818 -9999.00 62.938 43,557. 43,557. 0. 43,117.
42 17.863 13.349 ******* 7.090 50.408 45.249 ******* 49.044 66.855 62.335 ******* 64.908 64.425 60.890 -9999.00 64.520 37,274. 37,274. 0. 36,938.
45 20.869 14.050 ******* 8.595 52.005 46.320 ******* 49.379 67.830 62.894 ******* 64.900 64.541 61.305 -9999.00 64.330 32,148. 32,148. 0. 31,827.
48 21.878 15.135 ******* 10.301 53.873 48.065 ******* 50.046 70.013 65.123 ******* 65.820 66.508 63.341 -9999.00 65.010 32,073. 32,073. 0. 31,820.