MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000073112 to 2001070900

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -1.280 -1.367 ******* -1.596 4.034 4.057 ******* 4.164 5.445 5.470 ******* 5.570 5.292 5.296 -9999.00 5.337 54,703. 54,703. 0. 54,578.
3 1.361 1.774 ******* -2.739 4.220 4.396 ******* 4.286 5.641 5.830 ******* 5.897 5.474 5.554 -9999.00 5.223 44,467. 44,467. 0. 44,376.
6 1.905 2.271 ******* -2.904 4.522 4.712 ******* 4.410 6.083 6.299 ******* 6.209 5.777 5.876 -9999.00 5.488 38,020. 38,020. 0. 37,944.
9 1.565 2.010 ******* -2.970 4.426 4.663 ******* 4.407 5.999 6.260 ******* 6.156 5.791 5.929 -9999.00 5.392 32,902. 32,902. 0. 32,846.
12 1.486 1.899 3.193 -3.084 4.510 4.698 5.520 4.551 6.111 6.304 7.546 6.327 5.928 6.012 6.837 5.525 32,792. 32,792. 32,792. 32,709.
15 1.282 1.639 1.814 -2.973 4.623 4.767 4.902 4.609 6.230 6.406 6.562 6.310 6.097 6.192 6.306 5.566 34,778. 34,778. 34,778. 34,671.
18 0.388 0.693 0.959 -2.222 4.686 4.754 4.783 4.270 6.203 6.316 6.372 5.790 6.191 6.278 6.299 5.347 42,986. 42,986. 42,986. 42,872.
21 0.200 0.639 0.925 -1.673 4.580 4.676 4.738 4.120 6.055 6.192 6.293 5.566 6.052 6.159 6.225 5.309 52,552. 52,552. 52,552. 52,398.
24 0.842 1.385 1.584 -1.277 4.546 4.696 4.751 4.199 6.010 6.227 6.325 5.631 5.951 6.071 6.124 5.484 54,265. 54,265. 54,265. 54,265.
27 1.459 2.164 2.366 -2.461 4.467 4.728 4.885 4.377 5.964 6.249 6.456 6.015 5.783 5.863 6.007 5.489 44,152. 44,152. 44,152. 44,152.
30 1.805 2.254 2.304 -2.754 4.661 4.930 5.061 4.531 6.275 6.583 6.767 6.346 6.010 6.185 6.362 5.717 37,768. 37,768. 37,768. 37,768.
33 1.634 1.977 2.013 -2.874 4.600 4.831 5.021 4.534 6.214 6.479 6.742 6.317 5.995 6.170 6.435 5.625 32,627. 32,627. 32,627. 32,627.
36 1.392 1.711 1.721 -3.069 4.656 4.896 5.107 4.695 6.289 6.575 6.839 6.479 6.133 6.349 6.618 5.706 32,427. 32,427. 32,427. 32,427.
39 1.039 1.308 ******* -3.116 4.722 4.901 ******* 4.774 6.377 6.598 ******* 6.487 6.292 6.467 -9999.00 5.690 34,654. 34,654. 0. 34,534.
42 0.032 0.248 ******* -2.404 4.855 4.950 ******* 4.456 6.400 6.535 ******* 6.009 6.400 6.530 -9999.00 5.507 42,803. 42,803. 0. 42,661.
45 -0.183 0.176 ******* -1.840 4.750 4.887 ******* 4.236 6.255 6.437 ******* 5.719 6.252 6.435 -9999.00 5.415 52,475. 52,475. 0. 52,228.
48 0.377 0.828 ******* -1.552 4.616 4.773 ******* 4.337 6.121 6.309 ******* 5.795 6.109 6.255 -9999.00 5.584 54,230. 54,230. 0. 54,052.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000073112 to 2001070900

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -2.171 -2.301 ******* -3.580 4.356 4.357 ******* 4.756 6.087 6.085 ******* 6.519 5.687 5.633 -9999.00 5.449 32,809. 32,809. 0. 32,642.
3 1.367 1.472 ******* -3.077 4.527 4.652 ******* 4.640 6.114 6.236 ******* 6.321 5.959 6.060 -9999.00 5.521 34,821. 34,821. 0. 34,659.
6 0.275 0.567 ******* -2.315 4.572 4.555 ******* 4.290 6.085 6.084 ******* 5.780 6.078 6.058 -9999.00 5.296 43,039. 43,039. 0. 42,852.
9 -0.035 0.438 ******* -1.781 4.393 4.433 ******* 4.107 5.838 5.900 ******* 5.527 5.838 5.884 -9999.00 5.232 52,776. 52,776. 0. 52,405.
12 0.693 1.258 1.955 -1.365 4.279 4.406 4.844 4.210 5.701 5.866 6.602 5.618 5.659 5.729 6.306 5.449 54,619. 54,619. 54,619. 54,234.
15 1.531 2.220 2.488 -2.495 4.342 4.616 4.792 4.343 5.797 6.104 6.335 5.949 5.591 5.686 5.826 5.400 44,287. 44,287. 44,287. 44,000.
18 2.029 2.408 2.496 -2.695 4.640 4.900 5.049 4.487 6.242 6.549 6.758 6.286 5.903 6.090 6.280 5.679 38,022. 38,022. 38,022. 37,777.
21 1.848 2.203 2.319 -2.829 4.605 4.855 5.053 4.483 6.219 6.487 6.766 6.229 5.938 6.102 6.357 5.549 32,548. 32,548. 32,548. 32,362.
24 1.638 1.993 2.126 -3.006 4.710 4.923 5.151 4.660 6.338 6.583 6.874 6.424 6.123 6.275 6.537 5.677 32,527. 32,527. 32,527. 32,356.
27 1.248 1.548 1.723 -3.063 4.699 4.883 5.046 4.727 6.342 6.571 6.769 6.445 6.218 6.386 6.546 5.671 34,476. 34,476. 34,476. 34,284.
30 0.178 0.434 0.779 -2.345 4.790 4.899 4.922 4.375 6.346 6.490 6.535 5.911 6.344 6.476 6.489 5.426 42,251. 42,251. 42,251. 41,979.
33 -0.057 0.349 0.755 -1.838 4.683 4.801 4.850 4.195 6.190 6.342 6.427 5.666 6.190 6.333 6.383 5.360 51,833. 51,833. 51,833. 51,461.
36 0.530 1.044 1.432 -1.529 4.570 4.725 4.840 4.276 6.066 6.270 6.418 5.740 6.043 6.182 6.256 5.532 53,591. 53,591. 53,591. 53,123.
39 1.251 1.898 ******* -2.594 4.540 4.783 ******* 4.483 6.067 6.346 ******* 6.130 5.936 6.056 -9999.00 5.554 43,970. 43,970. 0. 43,527.
42 1.620 2.017 ******* -2.876 4.731 4.980 ******* 4.639 6.387 6.681 ******* 6.468 6.178 6.369 -9999.00 5.793 37,656. 37,656. 0. 37,320.
45 1.457 1.767 ******* -2.932 4.652 4.901 ******* 4.617 6.310 6.601 ******* 6.418 6.139 6.360 -9999.00 5.710 32,540. 32,540. 0. 32,216.
48 1.269 1.546 ******* -3.135 4.754 4.962 ******* 4.755 6.433 6.671 ******* 6.565 6.307 6.489 -9999.00 5.769 32,440. 32,440. 0. 32,187.