MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) From 2000091500 to 2000111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 5.718 5.703 ******* 5.949 5.718 5.703 ******* 5.949 7.023 7.007 ******* 7.255 4.076 4.071 -9999.00 4.152 25,396. 25,396. 0. 25,396.
3 8.150 7.692 ******* 5.660 8.150 7.692 ******* 5.660 9.331 8.974 ******* 6.791 4.544 4.622 -9999.00 3.752 25,324. 25,324. 0. 25,324.
6 8.606 8.118 ******* 5.637 8.606 8.118 ******* 5.637 9.811 9.416 ******* 6.776 4.710 4.772 -9999.00 3.760 25,103. 25,103. 0. 25,103.
9 8.588 8.102 ******* 5.539 8.588 8.102 ******* 5.539 9.785 9.399 ******* 6.670 4.689 4.765 -9999.00 3.715 24,202. 24,202. 0. 24,202.
12 8.753 8.183 9.022 5.581 8.753 8.183 9.022 5.581 10.005 9.555 10.787 6.790 4.846 4.933 5.912 3.867 25,100. 25,100. 25,100. 25,100.
15 8.947 8.340 7.865 5.670 8.947 8.340 7.865 5.670 10.180 9.715 9.408 6.854 4.858 4.983 5.163 3.850 25,467. 25,467. 25,467. 25,467.
18 7.678 7.088 6.656 5.972 7.678 7.088 6.656 5.972 9.263 8.764 8.451 7.289 5.183 5.154 5.207 4.178 23,458. 23,458. 23,458. 23,458.
21 7.441 7.057 6.794 6.573 7.441 7.057 6.794 6.573 9.028 8.728 8.578 7.853 5.113 5.136 5.237 4.297 23,789. 23,789. 23,789. 23,789.
24 7.556 7.228 6.967 6.543 7.556 7.228 6.967 6.543 8.961 8.737 8.606 7.854 4.818 4.910 5.052 4.345 25,489. 25,489. 25,489. 25,489.
27 8.935 8.598 8.134 6.119 8.935 8.598 8.134 6.119 10.164 9.956 9.643 7.276 4.843 5.019 5.180 3.936 25,506. 25,506. 25,506. 25,506.
30 9.321 8.786 8.135 6.065 9.321 8.786 8.135 6.065 10.587 10.186 9.692 7.237 5.021 5.153 5.268 3.949 25,128. 25,128. 25,128. 25,128.
33 9.258 8.668 7.963 5.866 9.258 8.668 7.963 5.866 10.494 10.045 9.551 7.001 4.942 5.077 5.274 3.822 24,185. 24,185. 24,185. 24,185.
36 9.306 8.698 7.975 5.881 9.306 8.698 7.975 5.881 10.572 10.097 9.605 7.065 5.017 5.129 5.353 3.915 24,655. 24,655. 24,655. 24,655.
39 9.391 8.754 ******* 5.851 9.391 8.754 ******* 5.851 10.658 10.166 ******* 7.070 5.040 5.169 -9999.00 3.969 25,611. 25,611. 0. 25,611.
42 8.305 7.643 ******* 6.308 8.305 7.643 ******* 6.308 9.886 9.344 ******* 7.639 5.362 5.376 -9999.00 4.308 23,531. 23,531. 0. 23,531.
45 7.878 7.441 ******* 6.950 7.878 7.441 ******* 6.950 9.470 9.136 ******* 8.232 5.256 5.302 -9999.00 4.411 23,716. 23,716. 0. 23,715.
48 7.963 7.605 ******* 6.825 7.963 7.605 ******* 6.825 9.387 9.130 ******* 8.119 4.971 5.052 -9999.00 4.397 25,233. 25,233. 0. 25,231.


12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) From 2000091500 to 2000111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 5.699 5.649 ******* 5.342 5.699 5.649 ******* 5.342 6.925 6.888 ******* 6.525 3.934 3.941 -9999.00 3.747 25,100. 25,100. 0. 24,663.
3 8.352 7.726 ******* 5.484 8.352 7.726 ******* 5.484 9.612 9.110 ******* 6.685 4.759 4.828 -9999.00 3.823 25,467. 25,467. 0. 25,010.
6 7.387 6.766 ******* 5.786 7.387 6.766 ******* 5.786 9.017 8.489 ******* 7.107 5.171 5.127 -9999.00 4.127 23,458. 23,458. 0. 23,106.
9 6.896 6.529 ******* 6.337 6.896 6.529 ******* 6.337 8.471 8.190 ******* 7.643 4.921 4.945 -9999.00 4.273 23,789. 23,789. 0. 23,358.
12 7.040 6.774 7.337 6.285 7.040 6.774 7.337 6.285 8.424 8.270 9.129 7.634 4.626 4.745 5.431 4.333 25,489. 25,489. 25,489. 25,045.
15 8.577 8.202 7.857 5.925 8.577 8.202 7.857 5.925 9.809 9.561 9.332 7.121 4.759 4.913 5.035 3.951 25,506. 25,506. 25,506. 25,064.
18 9.076 8.541 7.953 5.961 9.076 8.541 7.953 5.961 10.367 9.970 9.531 7.174 5.011 5.142 5.252 3.992 25,128. 25,128. 25,128. 24,689.
21 9.049 8.425 7.699 5.681 9.049 8.425 7.699 5.681 10.305 9.830 9.296 6.813 4.929 5.064 5.211 3.760 23,757. 23,757. 23,757. 23,330.
24 9.110 8.451 7.725 5.749 9.110 8.451 7.725 5.749 10.424 9.897 9.376 6.949 5.065 5.151 5.315 3.902 24,643. 24,643. 24,643. 24,202.
27 9.130 8.470 7.714 5.747 9.130 8.470 7.714 5.747 10.385 9.865 9.333 6.935 4.948 5.057 5.253 3.882 25,164. 25,164. 25,164. 24,716.
30 7.885 7.291 6.805 6.147 7.885 7.291 6.805 6.147 9.448 8.978 8.618 7.448 5.204 5.239 5.288 4.205 22,068. 22,068. 22,068. 21,627.
33 7.388 7.008 6.778 6.677 7.388 7.008 6.778 6.677 8.944 8.648 8.536 7.937 5.041 5.068 5.189 4.292 22,273. 22,273. 22,273. 21,835.
36 7.480 7.166 7.022 6.462 7.480 7.166 7.022 6.462 8.838 8.644 8.610 7.752 4.707 4.835 4.981 4.282 23,861. 23,861. 23,861. 23,401.
39 8.939 8.516 ******* 6.084 8.939 8.516 ******* 6.084 10.173 9.914 ******* 7.287 4.856 5.076 -9999.00 4.011 24,586. 24,586. 0. 24,163.
42 9.407 8.833 ******* 6.126 9.407 8.833 ******* 6.126 10.751 10.315 ******* 7.395 5.205 5.328 -9999.00 4.142 24,226. 24,226. 0. 23,805.
45 9.491 8.862 ******* 6.041 9.491 8.862 ******* 6.041 10.794 10.338 ******* 7.283 5.141 5.322 -9999.00 4.067 23,314. 23,314. 0. 22,939.
48 9.581 8.916 ******* 6.103 9.581 8.916 ******* 6.103 10.886 10.364 ******* 7.386 5.168 5.283 -9999.00 4.161 24,194. 24,194. 0. 23,804.