MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) From 2000091500 to 2000111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 5.012 4.918 ******* 6.816 56.549 56.174 ******* 60.138 74.502 74.101 ******* 77.671 74.335 73.939 -9999.00 77.373 25,471. 25,471. 0. 25,471.
3 14.685 11.213 ******* 10.464 65.184 60.820 ******* 65.370 82.165 78.289 ******* 82.209 80.843 77.483 -9999.00 81.542 25,399. 25,399. 0. 25,399.
6 17.451 14.063 ******* 9.400 68.990 62.785 ******* 68.441 85.517 80.029 ******* 85.210 83.719 78.785 -9999.00 84.692 25,176. 25,176. 0. 25,176.
9 15.969 12.245 ******* 9.293 71.692 66.534 ******* 70.407 88.344 84.015 ******* 87.034 86.891 83.119 -9999.00 86.538 24,276. 24,276. 0. 24,276.
12 14.898 12.041 12.879 8.326 72.044 66.469 66.741 69.589 88.552 83.811 84.006 86.161 87.291 82.943 83.015 85.760 25,173. 25,173. 25,173. 25,173.
15 15.103 11.401 7.723 8.352 72.662 67.782 65.992 69.606 89.237 85.216 83.800 86.212 87.951 84.452 83.445 85.808 25,543. 25,543. 25,543. 25,543.
18 12.336 8.001 4.588 7.101 68.601 63.644 60.364 65.739 86.270 82.094 79.297 83.203 85.385 81.705 79.166 82.901 23,534. 23,534. 23,534. 23,534.
21 7.848 4.772 3.491 6.296 62.426 57.533 54.653 62.547 80.232 75.893 73.253 80.198 79.849 75.744 73.171 79.952 23,865. 23,865. 23,865. 23,865.
24 8.234 4.941 4.240 6.939 61.463 57.067 55.339 62.888 79.202 75.531 74.197 80.239 78.775 75.370 74.077 79.940 25,566. 25,566. 25,566. 25,566.
27 10.334 8.142 7.056 8.241 68.014 64.268 62.231 67.912 85.160 81.969 80.482 84.762 84.533 81.565 80.174 84.362 25,583. 25,583. 25,583. 25,583.
30 14.392 11.273 10.357 9.946 71.293 66.684 64.343 70.401 87.830 84.130 82.399 87.236 86.645 83.373 81.747 86.669 25,203. 25,203. 25,203. 25,203.
33 15.604 11.274 9.468 11.318 74.295 69.305 66.765 71.909 90.591 86.515 84.546 88.389 89.239 85.779 84.016 87.664 24,261. 24,261. 24,261. 24,261.
36 14.055 11.920 8.894 9.870 75.143 70.475 67.818 71.167 91.372 87.683 85.532 87.688 90.286 86.870 85.070 87.133 24,729. 24,729. 24,729. 24,729.
39 13.125 10.154 ******* 10.572 75.964 71.038 ******* 71.556 92.221 88.396 ******* 88.111 91.283 87.813 -9999.00 87.477 25,689. 25,689. 0. 25,689.
42 11.589 7.957 ******* 9.031 72.078 67.719 ******* 67.895 89.188 85.942 ******* 85.102 88.433 85.575 -9999.00 84.623 23,609. 23,609. 0. 23,609.
45 7.174 4.342 ******* 7.876 66.498 61.806 ******* 65.376 84.030 80.159 ******* 82.852 83.725 80.043 -9999.00 82.478 23,792. 23,792. 0. 23,791.
48 5.888 5.288 ******* 7.020 66.419 61.987 ******* 65.982 83.870 80.340 ******* 82.977 83.664 80.167 -9999.00 82.681 25,308. 25,308. 0. 25,306.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) From 2000091500 to 2000111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 7.302 6.446 ******* 10.305 68.654 68.448 ******* 71.183 85.515 85.435 ******* 87.783 85.205 85.193 -9999.00 87.178 25,173. 25,173. 0. 24,734.
3 14.157 10.112 ******* 8.749 71.990 68.412 ******* 70.566 88.603 85.911 ******* 87.279 87.466 85.316 -9999.00 86.841 25,543. 25,543. 0. 25,084.
6 15.436 11.490 ******* 7.699 68.267 63.199 ******* 64.270 85.850 81.566 ******* 81.607 84.453 80.754 -9999.00 81.244 23,534. 23,534. 0. 23,180.
9 9.407 5.845 ******* 6.740 60.830 55.721 ******* 60.274 78.725 74.096 ******* 77.746 78.163 73.866 -9999.00 77.455 23,865. 23,865. 0. 23,432.
12 7.091 5.371 5.916 7.732 59.746 56.022 56.133 60.824 77.688 74.476 74.618 78.249 77.366 74.284 74.384 77.867 25,566. 25,566. 25,566. 25,120.
15 10.186 7.759 7.073 8.647 66.316 62.552 60.897 66.008 83.560 80.341 79.057 82.882 82.939 79.967 78.741 82.432 25,583. 25,583. 25,583. 25,139.
18 14.587 11.425 9.613 8.466 70.431 65.888 63.783 68.770 87.020 83.430 81.757 85.584 85.790 82.645 81.192 85.166 25,203. 25,203. 25,203. 24,762.
21 15.393 11.128 8.255 9.452 73.917 68.763 66.424 71.102 90.279 86.106 84.046 87.539 88.959 85.386 83.642 87.029 23,832. 23,832. 23,832. 23,403.
24 14.530 11.879 9.132 9.410 74.485 69.401 67.300 70.941 90.656 86.702 84.877 87.234 89.486 85.886 84.386 86.726 24,717. 24,717. 24,717. 24,274.
27 14.870 11.275 7.843 9.414 74.735 69.610 67.660 70.290 90.980 86.853 85.334 86.570 89.758 86.119 84.974 86.059 25,241. 25,241. 25,241. 24,791.
30 14.044 9.409 6.522 9.335 71.338 67.786 64.200 67.610 88.480 85.989 82.691 84.658 87.360 85.475 82.436 84.144 22,143. 22,143. 22,143. 21,700.
33 6.728 3.706 3.487 7.810 66.341 61.642 58.508 64.743 83.758 80.092 77.319 82.104 83.490 80.008 77.242 81.734 22,348. 22,348. 22,348. 21,908.
36 6.846 4.691 5.149 8.315 65.197 61.448 59.776 64.262 82.814 79.978 78.614 81.246 82.532 79.842 78.447 80.821 23,938. 23,938. 23,938. 23,476.
39 9.300 8.146 ******* 10.948 70.482 66.551 ******* 69.320 87.507 84.215 ******* 85.996 87.013 83.822 -9999.00 85.298 24,664. 24,664. 0. 24,240.
42 14.119 11.697 ******* 11.805 73.398 67.954 ******* 72.062 89.752 85.314 ******* 88.527 88.636 84.510 -9999.00 87.738 24,302. 24,302. 0. 23,880.
45 14.999 10.978 ******* 11.640 76.454 70.971 ******* 73.287 92.426 87.995 ******* 89.420 91.203 87.310 -9999.00 88.661 23,391. 23,391. 0. 23,015.
48 13.739 11.750 ******* 10.809 76.638 71.842 ******* 72.743 92.488 88.652 ******* 88.789 91.464 87.872 -9999.00 88.131 24,270. 24,270. 0. 23,879.