MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) From 2000091500 to 2000111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 1.512 1.475 ******* 1.343 3.656 3.665 ******* 3.701 4.971 4.990 ******* 5.035 4.736 4.767 -9999.00 4.853 25,755. 25,755. 0. 25,755.
3 4.966 4.782 ******* 1.566 5.846 5.692 ******* 3.647 7.088 7.024 ******* 4.841 5.058 5.145 -9999.00 4.581 25,577. 25,577. 0. 25,577.
6 5.397 5.290 ******* 1.646 6.205 6.080 ******* 3.645 7.495 7.466 ******* 4.880 5.202 5.268 -9999.00 4.594 25,346. 25,346. 0. 25,346.
9 5.492 5.311 ******* 1.747 6.269 6.082 ******* 3.630 7.547 7.471 ******* 4.821 5.177 5.255 -9999.00 4.494 24,432. 24,432. 0. 24,432.
12 5.543 5.305 6.260 1.626 6.392 6.126 6.951 3.686 7.698 7.554 8.819 4.957 5.343 5.377 6.211 4.683 25,343. 25,343. 25,343. 25,343.
15 5.709 5.411 5.008 1.728 6.585 6.282 5.942 3.757 7.907 7.717 7.507 5.016 5.471 5.502 5.592 4.709 25,686. 25,686. 25,686. 25,686.
18 3.417 3.199 2.956 1.333 5.079 4.826 4.583 3.682 6.678 6.501 6.301 5.072 5.737 5.660 5.565 4.893 24,003. 24,003. 24,003. 24,003.
21 2.653 2.682 2.628 1.648 4.687 4.622 4.513 3.868 6.252 6.264 6.216 5.217 5.661 5.661 5.633 4.950 24,442. 24,442. 24,442. 24,442.
24 3.523 3.611 3.505 2.054 4.966 4.938 4.806 4.040 6.372 6.435 6.399 5.399 5.309 5.326 5.354 4.993 25,847. 25,847. 25,847. 25,847.
27 5.608 5.586 5.265 2.061 6.416 6.369 6.092 3.950 7.697 7.766 7.592 5.201 5.272 5.396 5.470 4.775 25,758. 25,758. 25,758. 25,758.
30 6.002 5.779 5.265 2.114 6.782 6.589 6.122 3.944 8.103 8.053 7.693 5.213 5.444 5.609 5.610 4.765 25,367. 25,367. 25,367. 25,367.
33 6.088 5.764 5.179 2.135 6.802 6.517 6.006 3.851 8.127 7.967 7.627 5.055 5.383 5.499 5.599 4.583 24,410. 24,410. 24,410. 24,410.
36 5.955 5.600 4.956 1.959 6.809 6.514 5.978 3.870 8.142 7.994 7.628 5.123 5.552 5.704 5.799 4.734 24,888. 24,888. 24,888. 24,888.
39 5.963 5.579 ******* 1.853 6.879 6.535 ******* 3.855 8.207 7.986 ******* 5.123 5.639 5.714 -9999.00 4.776 25,828. 25,828. 0. 25,828.
42 3.777 3.389 ******* 1.588 5.465 5.157 ******* 3.896 7.067 6.828 ******* 5.320 5.973 5.928 -9999.00 5.077 24,072. 24,072. 0. 24,072.
45 2.774 2.646 ******* 1.924 4.898 4.814 ******* 4.061 6.451 6.442 ******* 5.404 5.824 5.873 -9999.00 5.050 24,363. 24,363. 0. 24,362.
48 3.552 3.566 ******* 2.134 5.074 5.035 ******* 4.171 6.478 6.514 ******* 5.486 5.417 5.451 -9999.00 5.054 25,578. 25,578. 0. 25,576.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) From 2000091500 to 2000111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 2.008 1.945 ******* 1.206 3.882 3.860 ******* 3.491 5.170 5.165 ******* 4.746 4.765 4.784 -9999.00 4.590 25,343. 25,343. 0. 24,903.
3 5.212 4.773 ******* 1.472 6.117 5.763 ******* 3.619 7.458 7.206 ******* 4.887 5.335 5.399 -9999.00 4.660 25,686. 25,686. 0. 25,225.
6 3.130 2.867 ******* 1.165 4.858 4.592 ******* 3.609 6.452 6.264 ******* 4.962 5.643 5.570 -9999.00 4.824 24,003. 24,003. 0. 23,636.
9 2.078 2.179 ******* 1.451 4.318 4.267 ******* 3.751 5.843 5.861 ******* 5.085 5.462 5.442 -9999.00 4.874 24,442. 24,442. 0. 23,991.
12 3.088 3.216 3.909 1.817 4.569 4.569 5.126 3.962 5.941 6.034 6.949 5.344 5.075 5.106 5.746 5.026 25,847. 25,847. 25,847. 25,393.
15 5.343 5.300 5.067 1.865 6.195 6.119 5.883 3.869 7.483 7.522 7.367 5.142 5.240 5.338 5.348 4.792 25,758. 25,758. 25,758. 25,311.
18 5.846 5.610 5.115 1.984 6.619 6.407 5.970 3.911 7.960 7.902 7.560 5.209 5.403 5.565 5.568 4.816 25,367. 25,367. 25,367. 24,926.
21 5.944 5.584 4.936 1.896 6.681 6.359 5.794 3.731 7.998 7.827 7.416 4.897 5.351 5.485 5.535 4.515 23,977. 23,977. 23,977. 23,549.
24 5.809 5.448 4.783 1.771 6.672 6.331 5.770 3.777 8.009 7.816 7.410 5.013 5.514 5.604 5.660 4.689 24,878. 24,878. 24,878. 24,434.
27 5.777 5.372 4.675 1.736 6.709 6.347 5.753 3.788 8.021 7.795 7.356 5.037 5.565 5.649 5.680 4.728 25,379. 25,379. 25,379. 24,930.
30 3.442 3.096 2.754 1.429 5.175 4.908 4.625 3.804 6.764 6.588 6.346 5.224 5.822 5.815 5.718 5.025 22,572. 22,572. 22,572. 22,120.
33 2.202 2.192 2.226 1.592 4.588 4.505 4.427 3.935 6.136 6.123 6.088 5.285 5.727 5.717 5.666 5.040 22,884. 22,884. 22,884. 22,430.
36 3.147 3.165 3.188 1.816 4.789 4.758 4.722 3.991 6.137 6.191 6.233 5.342 5.269 5.321 5.356 5.024 24,187. 24,187. 24,187. 23,722.
39 5.427 5.300 ******* 1.891 6.365 6.229 ******* 3.907 7.637 7.633 ******* 5.180 5.374 5.493 -9999.00 4.822 24,830. 24,830. 0. 24,407.
42 5.980 5.708 ******* 2.012 6.804 6.572 ******* 3.945 8.148 8.056 ******* 5.264 5.535 5.685 -9999.00 4.864 24,455. 24,455. 0. 24,033.
45 6.175 5.817 ******* 2.176 6.936 6.635 ******* 3.943 8.272 8.122 ******* 5.198 5.504 5.669 -9999.00 4.720 23,528. 23,528. 0. 23,151.
48 6.099 5.694 ******* 2.053 6.978 6.631 ******* 3.968 8.296 8.097 ******* 5.245 5.623 5.756 -9999.00 4.827 24,425. 24,425. 0. 24,033.