MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000091500 to 2000111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 3.304 2.832 ******* 5.119 35.647 35.546 ******* 39.861 50.099 49.819 ******* 54.849 49.993 49.741 -9999.00 54.613 9,009. 9,009. 0. 9,009.
3 16.125 11.441 ******* 6.734 42.582 37.160 ******* 42.558 57.969 52.247 ******* 57.445 55.685 50.983 -9999.00 57.053 6,867. 6,867. 0. 6,867.
6 23.456 17.081 ******* 8.180 45.572 38.366 ******* 43.005 60.674 52.936 ******* 58.172 55.961 50.108 -9999.00 57.599 6,398. 6,398. 0. 6,398.
9 22.709 14.297 ******* 8.052 47.456 41.418 ******* 44.323 62.684 56.835 ******* 59.674 58.431 55.013 -9999.00 59.133 5,612. 5,612. 0. 5,612.
12 20.170 13.532 15.528 9.501 48.067 40.785 41.154 44.555 63.503 56.229 56.440 59.912 60.219 54.581 54.266 59.159 5,971. 5,971. 5,971. 5,971.
15 20.968 13.634 7.625 7.128 47.853 41.615 39.991 43.856 62.926 57.478 56.127 58.648 59.335 55.843 55.611 58.218 6,137. 6,137. 6,137. 6,137.
18 19.533 12.420 7.504 4.548 44.063 38.177 36.157 40.618 60.205 54.573 52.913 54.995 56.952 53.144 52.382 54.810 7,464. 7,464. 7,464. 7,464.
21 14.237 8.953 6.804 6.065 44.271 39.395 37.237 42.831 60.928 56.466 54.453 58.504 59.245 55.755 54.029 58.192 9,008. 9,008. 9,008. 9,008.
24 11.550 6.719 5.533 5.508 42.457 38.370 36.493 42.743 58.720 55.460 53.934 57.985 57.576 55.055 53.652 57.726 8,909. 8,909. 8,909. 8,909.
27 15.186 10.188 6.911 7.796 47.183 42.012 39.102 46.147 63.492 58.787 56.500 61.996 61.653 57.901 56.080 61.509 6,818. 6,818. 6,818. 6,818.
30 21.576 15.510 10.287 11.237 48.748 42.400 39.186 45.671 64.592 58.428 55.634 61.773 60.886 56.336 54.679 60.747 6,321. 6,321. 6,321. 6,321.
33 21.932 14.313 9.252 12.044 50.732 45.027 41.915 46.594 66.309 61.426 59.108 62.535 62.583 59.741 58.385 61.370 5,548. 5,548. 5,548. 5,548.
36 21.127 15.276 8.997 11.681 50.924 44.657 42.359 46.335 66.426 60.805 59.182 61.890 62.982 58.860 58.499 60.783 5,821. 5,821. 5,821. 5,821.
39 19.236 12.109 ******* 8.928 52.823 46.834 ******* 46.643 68.689 63.806 ******* 62.076 65.946 62.651 -9999.00 61.435 6,102. 6,102. 0. 6,102.
42 19.479 13.706 ******* 6.973 49.542 44.292 ******* 43.303 66.256 61.797 ******* 58.188 63.332 60.262 -9999.00 57.772 7,378. 7,378. 0. 7,378.
45 13.822 9.960 ******* 8.138 49.146 44.314 ******* 45.444 66.337 62.373 ******* 61.410 64.885 61.576 -9999.00 60.872 8,875. 8,875. 0. 8,875.
48 10.841 8.529 ******* 7.899 48.890 44.197 ******* 46.856 66.060 62.343 ******* 62.660 65.168 61.760 -9999.00 62.164 8,653. 8,653. 0. 8,653.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000091500 to 2000111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 6.562 5.552 ******* 6.429 41.045 40.861 ******* 44.827 56.043 56.012 ******* 60.466 55.662 55.741 -9999.00 60.128 5,971. 5,971. 0. 5,933.
3 17.915 11.294 ******* 5.583 44.803 39.836 ******* 42.813 59.761 55.530 ******* 57.422 57.018 54.374 -9999.00 57.155 6,137. 6,137. 0. 6,098.
6 23.819 15.863 ******* 4.935 44.645 38.286 ******* 39.361 60.543 54.503 ******* 53.124 55.665 52.147 -9999.00 52.898 7,464. 7,464. 0. 7,424.
9 16.719 9.750 ******* 6.792 42.876 37.473 ******* 41.160 59.358 54.155 ******* 56.201 56.958 53.273 -9999.00 55.792 9,008. 9,008. 0. 8,924.
12 11.312 6.413 7.140 7.425 40.599 36.520 36.342 40.677 56.934 52.867 52.572 55.692 55.801 52.479 52.088 55.198 8,909. 8,909. 8,909. 8,839.
15 13.850 9.327 7.288 7.932 44.418 39.076 37.352 44.437 60.276 55.062 53.745 59.984 58.667 54.270 53.253 59.462 6,818. 6,818. 6,818. 6,771.
18 20.855 15.593 9.784 9.612 47.064 41.429 39.207 45.077 62.586 57.308 55.877 61.171 59.014 55.150 55.018 60.416 6,321. 6,321. 6,321. 6,269.
21 21.926 13.824 8.029 11.574 50.126 44.411 41.934 46.801 65.785 60.809 58.768 62.434 62.030 59.222 58.223 61.357 5,314. 5,314. 5,314. 5,264.
24 20.777 13.562 8.255 10.942 51.036 44.228 42.193 47.019 66.525 60.653 59.088 62.549 63.203 59.122 58.514 61.589 5,672. 5,672. 5,672. 5,621.
27 19.263 11.987 7.352 7.866 51.591 45.568 43.655 46.471 67.068 62.055 60.852 61.602 64.248 60.892 60.411 61.103 5,870. 5,870. 5,870. 5,811.
30 21.397 15.076 10.756 6.778 48.510 43.841 41.941 43.403 64.817 61.368 59.808 58.111 61.188 59.492 58.837 57.719 6,716. 6,716. 6,716. 6,639.
33 14.041 9.069 6.657 8.251 48.605 44.120 42.180 44.972 65.519 62.207 60.893 60.588 64.001 61.546 60.532 60.027 8,110. 8,110. 8,110. 7,994.
36 10.586 7.177 6.717 7.435 46.942 43.425 41.154 45.138 63.982 61.971 59.631 60.505 63.104 61.557 59.255 60.050 8,009. 8,009. 8,009. 7,871.
39 13.926 9.251 ******* 10.779 50.572 45.313 ******* 49.383 67.365 62.669 ******* 65.732 65.915 61.987 -9999.00 64.847 6,420. 6,420. 0. 6,321.
42 21.029 15.272 ******* 12.777 51.819 45.337 ******* 49.008 68.101 62.013 ******* 65.143 64.778 60.108 -9999.00 63.883 6,001. 6,001. 0. 5,924.
45 22.825 15.237 ******* 13.386 54.050 48.054 ******* 50.111 69.528 64.740 ******* 65.803 65.681 62.927 -9999.00 64.433 5,278. 5,278. 0. 5,219.
48 23.420 15.586 ******* 14.124 55.364 49.043 ******* 50.518 70.955 65.832 ******* 66.050 66.984 63.966 -9999.00 64.528 5,633. 5,633. 0. 5,582.