MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of PSLR (SLP millibars ) From 2000111500 to 2001022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 0.633 0.518 ******* 0.184 1.005 0.915 ******* 0.790 1.691 1.590 ******* 1.410 1.567 1.503 -9999.00 1.398 12,300. 12,300. 0. 12,300.
3 1.905 1.854 ******* 1.163 2.052 2.020 ******* 1.616 2.583 2.561 ******* 2.170 1.744 1.766 -9999.00 1.831 11,956. 11,956. 0. 11,956.
6 1.191 1.109 ******* 1.435 1.581 1.525 ******* 1.735 2.085 2.025 ******* 2.196 1.711 1.695 -9999.00 1.662 11,339. 11,339. 0. 11,339.
9 1.404 1.308 ******* 1.168 1.821 1.715 ******* 1.561 2.286 2.156 ******* 1.969 1.804 1.715 -9999.00 1.585 10,742. 10,742. 0. 10,742.
12 1.261 1.137 1.039 1.279 1.830 1.687 1.648 1.669 2.284 2.126 2.079 2.105 1.904 1.797 1.801 1.672 10,929. 10,929. 10,929. 10,929.
15 1.527 1.413 1.320 1.179 2.139 2.004 1.969 1.704 2.811 2.663 2.633 2.363 2.360 2.257 2.278 2.047 12,252. 12,252. 12,252. 12,252.
18 0.039 0.009 -0.021 0.681 1.803 1.723 1.741 1.624 2.341 2.248 2.273 2.102 2.341 2.248 2.273 1.989 12,530. 12,530. 12,530. 12,530.
21 0.220 0.234 0.258 1.038 1.908 1.828 1.828 1.841 2.581 2.485 2.483 2.437 2.572 2.474 2.470 2.205 12,355. 12,355. 12,355. 12,355.
24 0.395 0.379 0.375 0.624 1.973 1.882 1.887 1.772 2.750 2.643 2.647 2.420 2.722 2.616 2.621 2.338 12,194. 12,194. 12,194. 12,194.
27 0.403 0.348 0.304 0.487 2.019 1.913 1.898 1.785 2.821 2.697 2.680 2.437 2.792 2.675 2.663 2.388 11,853. 11,853. 11,853. 11,853.
30 -0.049 -0.126 -0.197 0.677 2.116 2.009 2.002 1.925 2.834 2.708 2.698 2.500 2.834 2.705 2.691 2.407 11,237. 11,237. 11,237. 11,237.
33 0.245 0.138 0.044 1.050 2.224 2.102 2.081 2.113 2.850 2.701 2.675 2.653 2.840 2.698 2.674 2.437 10,638. 10,638. 10,638. 10,638.
36 0.507 0.387 0.274 0.883 2.412 2.280 2.250 2.212 3.029 2.876 2.842 2.781 2.987 2.850 2.829 2.637 10,929. 10,929. 10,929. 10,929.
39 0.595 0.480 ******* 0.528 2.722 2.591 ******* 2.340 3.479 3.334 ******* 3.066 3.428 3.300 -9999.00 3.020 12,357. 12,357. 0. 12,357.
42 -0.340 -0.391 ******* 0.733 2.863 2.783 ******* 2.607 3.686 3.596 ******* 3.351 3.671 3.575 -9999.00 3.270 12,621. 12,621. 0. 12,621.
45 -0.052 -0.063 ******* 1.141 2.988 2.940 ******* 2.885 3.918 3.851 ******* 3.749 3.918 3.850 -9999.00 3.571 12,445. 12,445. 0. 12,445.
48 0.368 0.330 ******* 0.628 3.162 3.102 ******* 2.923 4.152 4.072 ******* 3.866 4.136 4.059 -9999.00 3.815 12,219. 12,219. 0. 12,219.


12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of PSLR (SLP millibars ) From 2000111500 to 2001022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 0.980 0.782 ******* 0.525 1.223 1.086 ******* 0.871 1.813 1.642 ******* 1.182 1.525 1.444 -9999.00 1.060 11,031. 11,031. 0. 11,031.
3 2.172 2.126 ******* 1.611 2.305 2.303 ******* 1.873 2.855 2.860 ******* 2.494 1.852 1.913 -9999.00 1.904 12,356. 12,356. 0. 12,356.
6 0.392 0.405 ******* 0.977 1.282 1.301 ******* 1.488 1.693 1.713 ******* 1.940 1.648 1.664 -9999.00 1.677 12,634. 12,634. 0. 12,634.
9 0.498 0.588 ******* 0.664 1.487 1.448 ******* 1.315 2.012 1.964 ******* 1.822 1.949 1.874 -9999.00 1.697 12,459. 12,459. 0. 12,459.
12 0.664 0.694 0.664 0.520 1.496 1.426 1.439 1.356 2.114 2.038 2.049 1.956 2.006 1.916 1.939 1.886 12,194. 12,194. 12,194. 12,194.
15 0.736 0.714 0.615 0.649 1.620 1.519 1.495 1.408 2.267 2.161 2.144 2.002 2.144 2.039 2.054 1.894 11,853. 11,853. 11,853. 11,853.
18 0.192 0.137 0.013 0.581 1.591 1.489 1.476 1.489 2.191 2.076 2.064 2.001 2.183 2.072 2.064 1.915 11,237. 11,237. 11,237. 11,237.
21 0.432 0.350 0.196 1.066 1.784 1.672 1.638 1.804 2.337 2.213 2.174 2.282 2.297 2.185 2.165 2.018 10,535. 10,535. 10,535. 10,535.
24 0.538 0.437 0.269 0.623 1.996 1.874 1.826 1.805 2.582 2.444 2.394 2.312 2.525 2.405 2.379 2.227 10,929. 10,929. 10,929. 10,929.
27 0.368 0.273 0.104 0.283 2.231 2.107 2.061 1.927 2.939 2.793 2.749 2.570 2.916 2.779 2.747 2.555 12,253. 12,253. 12,253. 12,253.
30 -0.806 -0.848 -0.984 0.202 2.411 2.342 2.358 2.044 3.113 3.026 3.042 2.632 3.007 2.905 2.879 2.624 12,517. 12,517. 12,517. 12,517.
33 -0.369 -0.369 -0.437 0.727 2.426 2.355 2.344 2.219 3.203 3.113 3.098 2.880 3.182 3.091 3.067 2.787 12,347. 12,347. 12,347. 12,347.
36 0.182 0.144 0.052 0.542 2.505 2.439 2.424 2.249 3.376 3.290 3.273 2.991 3.371 3.287 3.273 2.941 12,195. 12,195. 12,195. 12,195.
39 0.099 0.039 ******* 0.180 2.500 2.424 ******* 2.193 3.382 3.283 ******* 2.914 3.381 3.282 -9999.00 2.909 11,958. 11,958. 0. 11,958.
42 -0.195 -0.291 ******* 0.538 2.590 2.524 ******* 2.292 3.417 3.325 ******* 2.984 3.411 3.312 -9999.00 2.935 11,342. 11,342. 0. 11,342.
45 0.090 -0.039 ******* 0.937 2.674 2.594 ******* 2.478 3.471 3.368 ******* 3.160 3.470 3.368 -9999.00 3.018 10,740. 10,740. 0. 10,636.
48 0.457 0.313 ******* 0.582 2.882 2.787 ******* 2.545 3.734 3.620 ******* 3.241 3.706 3.607 -9999.00 3.188 11,028. 11,028. 0. 11,028.