MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of TEM1 (Lowest Sigma Temp Kelvin ) From 2000111500 to 2001022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 0.182 0.093 ******* -0.796 1.846 1.815 ******* 2.410 2.572 2.533 ******* 3.168 2.566 2.531 -9999.00 3.067 40,123. 40,123. 0. 40,123.
3 1.222 1.094 ******* -0.629 2.113 1.965 ******* 2.346 2.932 2.757 ******* 3.036 2.666 2.531 -9999.00 2.971 40,153. 40,153. 0. 40,153.
6 1.198 1.217 ******* -0.807 2.331 2.228 ******* 2.571 3.208 3.110 ******* 3.299 2.975 2.862 -9999.00 3.199 40,073. 40,073. 0. 40,073.
9 1.249 1.327 ******* -0.914 2.518 2.420 ******* 2.735 3.447 3.371 ******* 3.504 3.213 3.099 -9999.00 3.382 39,900. 39,900. 0. 39,900.
12 1.311 1.428 1.412 -1.001 2.650 2.568 2.563 2.826 3.604 3.561 3.553 3.621 3.357 3.262 3.260 3.480 40,264. 40,264. 40,264. 40,264.
15 1.377 1.493 1.599 -0.994 2.736 2.645 2.632 2.843 3.680 3.625 3.622 3.651 3.412 3.304 3.250 3.513 39,955. 39,955. 39,955. 39,955.
18 -0.049 -0.001 -0.116 -1.121 2.441 2.278 2.235 2.668 3.241 3.037 2.950 3.490 3.241 3.037 2.948 3.306 39,359. 39,359. 39,359. 39,359.
21 -0.380 -0.435 -0.626 -1.148 2.599 2.424 2.348 2.723 3.434 3.235 3.117 3.553 3.413 3.205 3.053 3.363 38,275. 38,275. 38,275. 38,275.
24 0.214 0.095 -0.057 -1.109 2.404 2.233 2.167 2.579 3.218 3.018 2.913 3.356 3.211 3.016 2.912 3.167 39,959. 39,959. 39,959. 39,959.
27 1.348 1.260 1.245 -0.716 2.478 2.314 2.275 2.460 3.364 3.167 3.102 3.189 3.083 2.906 2.841 3.108 39,960. 39,960. 39,960. 39,960.
30 1.394 1.422 1.470 -0.749 2.638 2.508 2.483 2.615 3.550 3.421 3.385 3.389 3.264 3.111 3.049 3.305 39,820. 39,820. 39,820. 39,820.
33 1.443 1.533 1.623 -0.760 2.802 2.695 2.664 2.737 3.743 3.655 3.623 3.544 3.453 3.318 3.240 3.462 39,747. 39,747. 39,747. 39,747.
36 1.486 1.626 1.745 -0.838 2.916 2.818 2.799 2.814 3.871 3.807 3.801 3.659 3.575 3.442 3.376 3.562 40,211. 40,211. 40,211. 40,211.
39 1.536 1.657 ******* -0.854 2.990 2.879 ******* 2.857 3.947 3.862 ******* 3.715 3.636 3.489 -9999.00 3.615 39,900. 39,900. 0. 39,900.
42 0.031 0.097 ******* -1.095 2.693 2.521 ******* 2.752 3.523 3.311 ******* 3.609 3.523 3.310 -9999.00 3.439 39,388. 39,388. 0. 39,388.
45 -0.435 -0.421 ******* -1.228 2.845 2.684 ******* 2.822 3.724 3.544 ******* 3.647 3.698 3.519 -9999.00 3.435 38,132. 38,132. 0. 38,130.
48 0.156 0.104 ******* -1.147 2.660 2.520 ******* 2.691 3.503 3.346 ******* 3.468 3.500 3.344 -9999.00 3.273 39,715. 39,715. 0. 39,713.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of TEM1 (Lowest Sigma Temp Kelvin ) From 2000111500 to 2001022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 2.077 1.838 ******* -1.257 2.756 2.647 ******* 2.836 3.797 3.675 ******* 3.661 3.179 3.182 -9999.00 3.439 40,366. 40,366. 0. 40,366.
3 1.750 1.505 ******* -0.998 2.649 2.437 ******* 2.725 3.631 3.398 ******* 3.529 3.181 3.047 -9999.00 3.384 40,059. 40,059. 0. 40,059.
6 0.145 -0.008 ******* -1.099 2.246 2.094 ******* 2.614 3.061 2.868 ******* 3.468 3.058 2.868 -9999.00 3.290 39,463. 39,463. 0. 39,463.
9 -0.242 -0.458 ******* -1.144 2.468 2.296 ******* 2.731 3.301 3.092 ******* 3.582 3.293 3.057 -9999.00 3.394 38,379. 38,379. 0. 38,379.
12 0.259 0.024 0.014 -1.184 2.283 2.091 2.088 2.601 3.081 2.849 2.847 3.398 3.070 2.849 2.847 3.185 39,959. 39,959. 39,959. 39,959.
15 1.315 1.151 1.296 -0.860 2.349 2.143 2.164 2.481 3.216 2.975 2.998 3.206 2.935 2.744 2.703 3.088 39,960. 39,960. 39,960. 39,960.
18 1.321 1.301 1.524 -0.904 2.476 2.332 2.373 2.641 3.375 3.231 3.282 3.403 3.106 2.958 2.907 3.281 39,820. 39,820. 39,820. 39,820.
21 1.358 1.402 1.656 -0.865 2.621 2.495 2.532 2.733 3.548 3.440 3.495 3.526 3.278 3.141 3.078 3.418 39,330. 39,330. 39,330. 39,330.
24 1.415 1.519 1.804 -0.930 2.754 2.641 2.692 2.807 3.702 3.623 3.702 3.630 3.421 3.290 3.233 3.509 40,211. 40,211. 40,211. 40,211.
27 1.456 1.547 1.849 -0.918 2.836 2.710 2.760 2.842 3.784 3.684 3.766 3.677 3.492 3.343 3.281 3.561 39,843. 39,843. 39,843. 39,843.
30 -0.019 0.006 0.171 -1.105 2.581 2.398 2.290 2.733 3.414 3.180 3.042 3.585 3.413 3.180 3.037 3.411 39,342. 39,342. 39,342. 39,342.
33 -0.417 -0.460 -0.434 -1.244 2.762 2.584 2.464 2.810 3.643 3.442 3.293 3.661 3.619 3.411 3.265 3.443 38,215. 38,215. 38,215. 38,215.
36 0.156 0.078 0.120 -1.135 2.551 2.393 2.323 2.655 3.404 3.218 3.127 3.449 3.400 3.217 3.125 3.257 39,911. 39,911. 39,911. 39,911.
39 1.277 1.220 ******* -0.729 2.559 2.418 ******* 2.527 3.455 3.283 ******* 3.288 3.211 3.048 -9999.00 3.207 40,006. 40,006. 0. 40,006.
42 1.324 1.374 ******* -0.547 2.717 2.611 ******* 2.849 3.631 3.521 ******* 4.341 3.381 3.242 -9999.00 4.307 39,864. 39,864. 0. 39,861.
45 1.322 1.434 ******* -0.721 2.852 2.765 ******* 2.781 3.781 3.708 ******* 3.620 3.542 3.420 -9999.00 3.548 39,798. 39,798. 0. 39,374.
48 1.313 1.477 ******* -0.669 2.965 2.879 ******* 3.048 3.908 3.837 ******* 4.561 3.680 3.542 -9999.00 4.512 40,184. 40,184. 0. 40,181.