MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) From 2000111500 to 2001022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 9.546 8.145 ******* 13.714 62.226 61.507 ******* 67.918 80.138 79.476 ******* 84.528 79.569 79.059 -9999.00 83.409 38,463. 38,463. 0. 38,463.
3 21.174 14.629 ******* 16.038 71.128 65.263 ******* 69.910 87.596 82.814 ******* 86.394 84.999 81.513 -9999.00 84.893 38,864. 38,864. 0. 38,864.
6 21.183 16.281 ******* 15.716 74.577 67.509 ******* 71.880 91.207 85.138 ******* 88.452 88.714 83.568 -9999.00 87.045 37,856. 37,856. 0. 37,856.
9 21.499 15.680 ******* 16.819 74.662 68.198 ******* 71.447 91.260 85.688 ******* 87.964 88.692 84.242 -9999.00 86.342 37,293. 37,293. 0. 37,293.
12 20.968 16.678 16.868 16.068 75.158 68.710 68.919 71.975 91.766 86.255 86.425 88.679 89.340 84.629 84.764 87.212 38,107. 38,107. 38,107. 38,107.
15 21.494 16.651 12.313 16.955 75.723 69.846 67.092 71.842 92.252 87.337 85.216 88.486 89.714 85.736 84.323 86.848 38,704. 38,704. 38,704. 38,704.
18 19.752 15.515 10.850 14.983 74.457 68.875 65.626 69.757 91.220 86.841 84.335 86.585 89.057 85.445 83.635 85.280 37,520. 37,520. 37,520. 37,520.
21 14.507 9.385 5.359 12.302 71.459 65.075 62.118 67.794 88.777 83.473 81.059 84.753 87.585 82.945 80.882 83.857 37,354. 37,354. 37,354. 37,354.
24 14.300 11.111 7.222 13.579 72.346 67.029 64.427 70.702 89.302 85.087 83.160 87.358 88.151 84.359 82.847 86.298 38,421. 38,421. 38,421. 38,421.
27 17.631 13.949 10.950 14.517 76.338 70.633 67.343 72.900 92.551 87.917 85.561 89.200 90.858 86.804 84.859 88.012 38,800. 38,800. 38,800. 38,800.
30 17.809 13.784 10.597 14.682 76.896 71.306 68.324 73.682 93.160 88.650 86.458 89.963 91.443 87.573 85.807 88.758 37,721. 37,721. 37,721. 37,721.
33 16.533 13.226 10.618 13.853 77.450 71.929 69.191 74.379 93.671 89.210 87.155 90.727 92.201 88.225 86.507 89.665 37,263. 37,263. 37,263. 37,263.
36 17.411 14.216 11.768 15.619 77.848 72.819 69.593 74.367 94.121 90.072 87.640 90.723 92.498 88.944 86.847 89.369 38,067. 38,067. 38,067. 38,067.
39 17.933 14.669 ******* 15.658 78.090 72.661 ******* 73.658 94.354 89.880 ******* 90.165 92.636 88.676 -9999.00 88.796 38,562. 38,562. 0. 38,562.
42 17.725 13.931 ******* 13.826 77.023 71.715 ******* 71.988 93.475 89.397 ******* 88.593 91.781 88.306 -9999.00 87.508 37,449. 37,449. 0. 37,449.
45 13.210 9.508 ******* 10.658 74.756 68.866 ******* 70.418 91.695 86.979 ******* 87.155 90.740 86.458 -9999.00 86.502 37,104. 37,104. 0. 37,102.
48 13.511 10.028 ******* 12.324 75.309 70.550 ******* 72.829 92.028 88.409 ******* 89.252 91.032 87.840 -9999.00 88.399 38,093. 38,093. 0. 38,091.


12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) From 2000111500 to 2001022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 11.224 10.067 ******* 16.845 67.367 66.384 ******* 72.766 84.856 83.998 ******* 89.282 84.111 83.394 -9999.00 87.680 38,107. 38,107. 0. 38,107.
3 22.324 16.426 ******* 16.797 73.402 68.165 ******* 72.179 89.991 85.835 ******* 88.649 87.179 84.250 -9999.00 87.045 38,704. 38,704. 0. 38,704.
6 22.896 16.436 ******* 15.412 74.408 67.663 ******* 69.742 91.310 85.705 ******* 86.506 88.394 84.115 -9999.00 85.123 37,520. 37,520. 0. 37,520.
9 16.371 11.148 ******* 12.363 70.140 63.033 ******* 66.622 87.447 81.426 ******* 83.502 85.902 80.660 -9999.00 82.583 37,354. 37,354. 0. 37,354.
12 16.022 11.488 12.325 13.429 70.265 64.320 64.350 69.137 87.309 82.636 82.655 85.793 85.827 81.835 81.732 84.736 38,421. 38,421. 38,421. 38,421.
15 19.630 14.937 11.958 15.124 74.235 67.719 64.765 71.102 90.588 85.217 83.132 87.586 88.437 83.899 82.269 86.272 38,800. 38,800. 38,800. 38,800.
18 19.604 15.040 10.841 14.421 75.365 69.612 66.324 71.884 91.866 87.166 84.610 88.467 89.751 85.860 83.914 87.285 37,721. 37,721. 37,721. 37,721.
21 18.142 14.173 11.404 14.698 75.692 69.739 66.757 72.061 92.225 87.279 84.881 88.657 90.424 86.122 84.113 87.431 36,872. 36,872. 36,872. 36,872.
24 19.977 15.945 13.222 15.666 76.558 71.135 68.210 73.143 92.987 88.538 86.274 89.698 90.816 87.092 85.256 88.320 38,067. 38,067. 38,067. 38,067.
27 18.821 16.110 12.569 15.942 76.922 71.480 68.605 72.663 93.342 88.860 86.736 89.256 91.426 87.389 85.821 87.822 38,604. 38,604. 38,604. 38,604.
30 18.122 14.843 10.504 14.938 75.831 70.514 67.183 71.152 92.463 88.337 85.798 87.873 90.671 87.082 85.154 86.595 37,501. 37,501. 37,501. 37,501.
33 14.562 10.433 7.098 10.918 73.114 67.158 64.308 69.098 90.226 85.432 83.189 86.011 89.044 84.793 82.887 85.316 37,291. 37,291. 37,291. 37,291.
36 13.949 10.313 7.480 13.281 74.293 69.091 66.733 72.025 91.182 87.162 85.491 88.620 90.110 86.551 85.164 87.620 38,387. 38,387. 38,387. 38,387.
39 15.498 12.211 ******* 13.196 77.878 72.556 ******* 74.394 93.994 89.860 ******* 90.671 92.708 89.027 -9999.00 89.707 38,757. 38,757. 0. 38,757.
42 15.473 12.077 ******* 13.233 77.297 72.599 ******* 74.198 93.490 89.836 ******* 90.441 92.202 89.022 -9999.00 89.469 37,683. 37,683. 0. 37,683.
45 15.836 11.247 ******* 12.515 77.803 72.388 ******* 74.786 93.958 89.491 ******* 90.919 92.615 88.782 -9999.00 90.055 37,216. 37,216. 0. 36,826.
48 16.095 13.322 ******* 13.610 77.986 72.986 ******* 74.634 94.205 90.264 ******* 90.871 92.821 89.276 -9999.00 89.847 37,951. 37,951. 0. 37,951.