MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000111500 to 2001022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 7.109 7.042 ******* 7.767 7.109 7.042 ******* 7.767 8.526 8.457 ******* 9.062 4.708 4.684 -9999.00 4.669 12,302. 12,302. 0. 12,302.
3 9.649 8.750 ******* 7.851 9.649 8.750 ******* 7.851 11.322 10.442 ******* 9.280 5.923 5.699 -9999.00 4.949 10,803. 10,803. 0. 10,803.
6 10.380 9.202 ******* 7.968 10.380 9.202 ******* 7.968 12.238 11.051 ******* 9.554 6.482 6.120 -9999.00 5.272 10,432. 10,432. 0. 10,432.
9 10.436 9.399 ******* 7.991 10.436 9.399 ******* 7.991 12.298 11.283 ******* 9.613 6.506 6.243 -9999.00 5.344 9,752. 9,752. 0. 9,752.
12 10.632 9.628 10.657 8.114 10.632 9.628 10.657 8.114 12.564 11.589 12.948 9.732 6.695 6.450 7.353 5.373 10,274. 10,274. 10,274. 10,274.
15 10.836 9.817 9.508 8.263 10.836 9.817 9.508 8.263 12.754 11.744 11.494 9.827 6.728 6.445 6.458 5.319 10,734. 10,734. 10,734. 10,734.
18 10.592 9.511 9.069 8.113 10.592 9.511 9.069 8.113 12.424 11.382 11.003 9.517 6.494 6.253 6.230 4.975 11,855. 11,855. 11,855. 11,855.
21 10.127 9.142 8.918 8.241 10.127 9.142 8.918 8.241 12.029 11.114 10.944 9.658 6.492 6.321 6.344 5.037 13,444. 13,444. 13,444. 13,444.
24 10.206 9.306 9.009 8.330 10.206 9.306 9.009 8.330 12.113 11.277 11.012 9.709 6.523 6.369 6.333 4.987 12,365. 12,365. 12,365. 12,365.
27 11.010 10.025 9.532 8.451 11.010 10.025 9.532 8.451 12.905 11.987 11.549 9.909 6.733 6.573 6.521 5.174 10,829. 10,829. 10,829. 10,829.
30 11.091 10.139 9.650 8.464 11.091 10.139 9.650 8.464 13.033 12.143 11.739 10.067 6.845 6.682 6.685 5.451 10,434. 10,434. 10,434. 10,434.
33 11.116 10.169 9.759 8.482 11.116 10.169 9.759 8.482 13.001 12.115 11.850 10.127 6.743 6.587 6.723 5.533 9,772. 9,772. 9,772. 9,772.
36 11.237 10.356 9.957 8.561 11.237 10.356 9.957 8.561 13.233 12.457 12.148 10.212 6.989 6.922 6.959 5.567 10,313. 10,313. 10,313. 10,313.
39 11.454 10.496 ******* 8.681 11.454 10.496 ******* 8.681 13.429 12.535 ******* 10.307 7.010 6.852 -9999.00 5.557 10,791. 10,791. 0. 10,791.
42 11.325 10.276 ******* 8.597 11.325 10.276 ******* 8.597 13.140 12.201 ******* 10.039 6.663 6.578 -9999.00 5.184 11,953. 11,953. 0. 11,953.
45 11.063 10.119 ******* 8.766 11.063 10.119 ******* 8.766 12.991 12.147 ******* 10.222 6.809 6.720 -9999.00 5.259 13,530. 13,530. 0. 13,530.
48 10.861 10.069 ******* 8.845 10.861 10.069 ******* 8.845 12.832 12.104 ******* 10.297 6.833 6.718 -9999.00 5.272 12,460. 12,460. 0. 12,460.


12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000111500 to 2001022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 7.674 7.546 ******* 8.018 7.674 7.546 ******* 8.018 9.322 9.195 ******* 9.578 5.293 5.255 -9999.00 5.240 10,274. 10,274. 0. 10,274.
3 10.192 9.151 ******* 8.201 10.192 9.151 ******* 8.201 12.070 11.007 ******* 9.728 6.466 6.118 -9999.00 5.233 10,734. 10,734. 0. 10,734.
6 10.295 9.007 ******* 7.985 10.295 9.007 ******* 7.985 12.096 10.815 ******* 9.358 6.350 5.985 -9999.00 4.880 11,855. 11,855. 0. 11,855.
9 9.634 8.562 ******* 7.964 9.634 8.562 ******* 7.964 11.409 10.389 ******* 9.345 6.112 5.885 -9999.00 4.889 13,444. 13,444. 0. 13,444.
12 9.522 8.629 9.352 8.024 9.522 8.629 9.352 8.024 11.304 10.438 11.522 9.366 6.091 5.872 6.729 4.832 12,365. 12,365. 12,365. 12,365.
15 10.457 9.437 9.052 8.124 10.457 9.437 9.052 8.124 12.263 11.285 10.972 9.567 6.405 6.188 6.201 5.053 10,829. 10,829. 10,829. 10,829.
18 10.776 9.726 9.240 8.190 10.776 9.726 9.240 8.190 12.717 11.657 11.254 9.809 6.754 6.427 6.425 5.397 10,434. 10,434. 10,434. 10,434.
21 10.830 9.838 9.480 8.251 10.830 9.838 9.480 8.251 12.741 11.793 11.576 9.924 6.711 6.503 6.643 5.514 9,701. 9,701. 9,701. 9,701.
24 11.145 10.196 9.891 8.451 11.145 10.196 9.891 8.451 13.134 12.230 12.035 10.110 6.950 6.756 6.857 5.550 10,313. 10,313. 10,313. 10,313.
27 11.272 10.309 9.941 8.484 11.272 10.309 9.941 8.484 13.244 12.307 12.036 10.097 6.954 6.721 6.786 5.475 10,792. 10,792. 10,792. 10,792.
30 11.039 9.970 9.549 8.387 11.039 9.970 9.549 8.387 12.942 11.905 11.573 9.828 6.757 6.506 6.538 5.123 11,957. 11,957. 11,957. 11,957.
33 10.680 9.661 9.392 8.539 10.680 9.661 9.392 8.539 12.636 11.668 11.434 10.003 6.754 6.544 6.523 5.209 13,558. 13,558. 13,558. 13,558.
36 10.607 9.764 9.523 8.626 10.607 9.764 9.523 8.626 12.494 11.761 11.548 10.066 6.603 6.557 6.534 5.188 12,542. 12,542. 12,542. 12,542.
39 11.348 10.492 ******* 8.655 11.348 10.492 ******* 8.655 13.206 12.481 ******* 10.127 6.755 6.759 -9999.00 5.260 10,984. 10,984. 0. 10,984.
42 11.431 10.550 ******* 8.725 11.431 10.550 ******* 8.725 13.372 12.565 ******* 10.361 6.938 6.826 -9999.00 5.588 10,572. 10,572. 0. 10,572.
45 11.366 10.484 ******* 8.762 11.366 10.484 ******* 8.762 13.228 12.478 ******* 10.411 6.768 6.767 -9999.00 5.622 9,887. 9,887. 0. 9,837.
48 11.490 10.685 ******* 8.804 11.490 10.685 ******* 8.804 13.526 12.837 ******* 10.489 7.136 7.115 -9999.00 5.703 10,400. 10,400. 0. 10,400.