MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000111500 to 2001022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 6.935 6.874 ******* 7.767 6.935 6.874 ******* 7.767 8.218 8.162 ******* 9.062 4.409 4.401 -9999.00 4.669 12,302. 12,302. 0. 12,302.
3 8.068 7.281 ******* 7.851 8.068 7.281 ******* 7.851 9.608 8.825 ******* 9.280 5.218 4.987 -9999.00 4.949 10,803. 10,803. 0. 10,803.
6 8.615 7.632 ******* 7.968 8.615 7.632 ******* 7.968 10.384 9.370 ******* 9.554 5.798 5.436 -9999.00 5.272 10,432. 10,432. 0. 10,432.
9 8.679 7.785 ******* 7.991 8.679 7.785 ******* 7.991 10.438 9.522 ******* 9.613 5.800 5.483 -9999.00 5.344 9,752. 9,752. 0. 9,752.
12 8.860 7.997 8.514 8.114 8.860 7.997 8.514 8.114 10.693 9.839 10.470 9.732 5.987 5.732 6.094 5.373 10,274. 10,274. 10,274. 10,274.
15 9.068 8.182 7.851 8.263 9.068 8.182 7.851 8.263 10.848 9.968 9.686 9.827 5.955 5.693 5.673 5.319 10,734. 10,734. 10,734. 10,734.
18 8.912 8.016 7.564 8.113 8.912 8.016 7.564 8.113 10.539 9.642 9.224 9.517 5.625 5.360 5.280 4.975 11,855. 11,855. 11,855. 11,855.
21 8.756 7.920 7.614 8.241 8.756 7.920 7.614 8.241 10.402 9.592 9.322 9.658 5.616 5.411 5.379 5.037 13,444. 13,444. 13,444. 13,444.
24 8.716 7.935 7.617 8.330 8.716 7.935 7.617 8.330 10.366 9.627 9.337 9.709 5.611 5.452 5.400 4.987 12,365. 12,365. 12,365. 12,365.
27 9.224 8.382 7.903 8.451 9.224 8.382 7.903 8.451 10.929 10.157 9.721 9.909 5.863 5.737 5.661 5.174 10,829. 10,829. 10,829. 10,829.
30 9.255 8.467 8.001 8.464 9.255 8.467 8.001 8.464 11.083 10.352 9.955 10.067 6.099 5.956 5.923 5.451 10,434. 10,434. 10,434. 10,434.
33 9.257 8.483 8.092 8.482 9.257 8.483 8.092 8.482 11.052 10.297 10.020 10.127 6.038 5.837 5.908 5.533 9,772. 9,772. 9,772. 9,772.
36 9.399 8.676 8.329 8.561 9.399 8.676 8.329 8.561 11.304 10.658 10.373 10.212 6.279 6.189 6.184 5.567 10,313. 10,313. 10,313. 10,313.
39 9.605 8.827 ******* 8.681 9.605 8.827 ******* 8.681 11.435 10.711 ******* 10.307 6.206 6.067 -9999.00 5.557 10,791. 10,791. 0. 10,791.
42 9.504 8.695 ******* 8.597 9.504 8.695 ******* 8.597 11.128 10.378 ******* 10.039 5.788 5.666 -9999.00 5.184 11,953. 11,953. 0. 11,953.
45 9.483 8.732 ******* 8.766 9.483 8.732 ******* 8.766 11.167 10.483 ******* 10.222 5.897 5.801 -9999.00 5.259 13,530. 13,530. 0. 13,530.
48 9.310 8.673 ******* 8.845 9.310 8.673 ******* 8.845 11.023 10.458 ******* 10.297 5.902 5.843 -9999.00 5.272 12,460. 12,460. 0. 12,460.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000111500 to 2001022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 7.412 7.312 ******* 8.018 7.412 7.312 ******* 8.018 8.984 8.878 ******* 9.578 5.076 5.035 -9999.00 5.240 10,274. 10,274. 0. 10,274.
3 8.513 7.646 ******* 8.201 8.513 7.646 ******* 8.201 10.249 9.332 ******* 9.728 5.709 5.351 -9999.00 5.233 10,734. 10,734. 0. 10,734.
6 8.697 7.640 ******* 7.985 8.697 7.640 ******* 7.985 10.284 9.183 ******* 9.358 5.488 5.096 -9999.00 4.880 11,855. 11,855. 0. 11,855.
9 8.423 7.492 ******* 7.964 8.423 7.492 ******* 7.964 9.971 9.035 ******* 9.345 5.336 5.050 -9999.00 4.889 13,444. 13,444. 0. 13,444.
12 8.204 7.370 7.701 8.024 8.204 7.370 7.701 8.024 9.760 8.937 9.398 9.366 5.288 5.055 5.387 4.832 12,365. 12,365. 12,365. 12,365.
15 8.733 7.809 7.391 8.124 8.733 7.809 7.391 8.124 10.370 9.476 9.132 9.567 5.592 5.369 5.363 5.053 10,829. 10,829. 10,829. 10,829.
18 8.924 8.026 7.556 8.190 8.924 8.026 7.556 8.190 10.747 9.844 9.429 9.809 5.987 5.700 5.640 5.397 10,434. 10,434. 10,434. 10,434.
21 8.950 8.111 7.737 8.251 8.950 8.111 7.737 8.251 10.746 9.921 9.652 9.924 5.947 5.713 5.771 5.514 9,701. 9,701. 9,701. 9,701.
24 9.238 8.438 8.130 8.451 9.238 8.438 8.130 8.451 11.119 10.350 10.124 10.110 6.189 5.995 6.032 5.550 10,313. 10,313. 10,313. 10,313.
27 9.411 8.589 8.221 8.484 9.411 8.589 8.221 8.484 11.242 10.445 10.141 10.097 6.151 5.944 5.938 5.475 10,792. 10,792. 10,792. 10,792.
30 9.258 8.413 7.997 8.387 9.258 8.413 7.997 8.387 10.954 10.114 9.748 9.828 5.855 5.614 5.574 5.123 11,957. 11,957. 11,957. 11,957.
33 9.161 8.319 8.010 8.539 9.161 8.319 8.010 8.539 10.880 10.062 9.773 10.003 5.869 5.661 5.599 5.209 13,558. 13,558. 13,558. 13,558.
36 9.030 8.320 8.054 8.626 9.030 8.320 8.054 8.626 10.696 10.073 9.827 10.066 5.733 5.679 5.630 5.188 12,542. 12,542. 12,542. 12,542.
39 9.487 8.785 ******* 8.655 9.487 8.785 ******* 8.655 11.194 10.610 ******* 10.127 5.942 5.949 -9999.00 5.260 10,984. 10,984. 0. 10,984.
42 9.530 8.830 ******* 8.725 9.530 8.830 ******* 8.725 11.376 10.730 ******* 10.361 6.213 6.096 -9999.00 5.588 10,572. 10,572. 0. 10,572.
45 9.482 8.799 ******* 8.762 9.482 8.799 ******* 8.762 11.271 10.650 ******* 10.411 6.092 6.000 -9999.00 5.622 9,887. 9,887. 0. 9,837.
48 9.637 9.001 ******* 8.804 9.637 9.001 ******* 8.804 11.569 11.026 ******* 10.489 6.401 6.368 -9999.00 5.703 10,400. 10,400. 0. 10,400.