MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000111500 to 2001022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 6.088 4.493 ******* 12.118 36.824 36.410 ******* 44.952 51.351 50.934 ******* 59.512 50.991 50.738 -9999.00 58.268 12,302. 12,302. 0. 12,302.
3 21.479 12.885 ******* 14.218 46.575 39.328 ******* 45.316 61.745 54.057 ******* 59.800 57.892 52.501 -9999.00 58.088 10,803. 10,803. 0. 10,803.
6 25.848 15.795 ******* 14.130 49.562 40.822 ******* 45.215 65.619 56.599 ******* 60.157 60.317 54.353 -9999.00 58.476 10,432. 10,432. 0. 10,432.
9 26.248 16.827 ******* 13.523 49.301 41.073 ******* 44.360 65.049 56.309 ******* 58.707 59.521 53.739 -9999.00 57.131 9,752. 9,752. 0. 9,752.
12 24.488 15.635 17.229 11.348 48.969 41.355 41.199 43.601 64.462 56.627 56.392 57.964 59.632 54.429 53.698 56.845 10,274. 10,274. 10,274. 10,274.
15 27.683 18.348 11.313 15.251 50.528 42.864 39.951 44.503 66.181 58.615 56.131 58.925 60.116 55.672 54.982 56.920 10,734. 10,734. 10,734. 10,734.
18 27.530 17.592 10.290 11.935 50.213 42.051 38.429 43.749 65.739 57.799 54.248 57.646 59.700 55.059 53.265 56.399 11,855. 11,855. 11,855. 11,855.
21 22.908 13.152 7.699 10.729 51.262 43.022 40.217 46.017 67.825 59.973 57.536 60.815 63.841 58.515 57.021 59.863 13,444. 13,444. 13,444. 13,444.
24 19.707 12.191 7.682 12.469 51.684 44.435 41.272 48.438 68.245 61.675 58.822 63.606 65.340 60.460 58.320 62.374 12,365. 12,365. 12,365. 12,365.
27 25.502 17.727 11.919 15.836 54.247 46.346 42.418 48.770 70.372 62.969 59.860 63.871 65.592 60.425 58.664 61.880 10,829. 10,829. 10,829. 10,829.
30 25.649 18.642 12.001 14.801 53.867 46.426 42.632 48.045 70.527 63.374 59.853 63.453 65.701 60.573 58.640 61.705 10,434. 10,434. 10,434. 10,434.
33 24.934 17.910 11.102 13.585 53.679 46.348 42.910 47.736 69.975 62.780 60.053 62.856 65.386 60.174 59.021 61.373 9,772. 9,772. 9,772. 9,772.
36 23.909 16.145 9.670 12.295 53.424 46.606 43.082 46.476 69.643 63.293 60.007 61.115 65.413 61.203 59.226 59.868 10,313. 10,313. 10,313. 10,313.
39 26.032 17.966 ******* 14.487 54.391 47.062 ******* 47.237 70.587 63.506 ******* 62.240 65.614 60.914 -9999.00 60.533 10,791. 10,791. 0. 10,791.
42 27.385 17.671 ******* 11.991 54.678 47.049 ******* 47.212 70.651 63.752 ******* 61.698 65.130 61.256 -9999.00 60.524 11,953. 11,953. 0. 11,953.
45 21.882 13.841 ******* 9.919 57.101 49.007 ******* 50.059 74.301 66.973 ******* 65.678 71.009 65.530 -9999.00 64.927 13,530. 13,530. 0. 13,530.
48 19.758 12.193 ******* 10.882 56.236 50.077 ******* 52.544 73.256 68.301 ******* 68.384 70.544 67.207 -9999.00 67.515 12,460. 12,460. 0. 12,460.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000111500 to 2001022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 6.333 4.562 ******* 10.106 38.299 37.516 ******* 43.775 52.604 51.910 ******* 58.410 52.224 51.712 -9999.00 57.532 10,274. 10,274. 0. 10,274.
3 22.883 14.081 ******* 13.752 46.553 39.723 ******* 44.433 61.948 55.330 ******* 58.903 57.570 53.511 -9999.00 57.278 10,734. 10,734. 0. 10,734.
6 27.322 15.965 ******* 12.069 49.337 39.816 ******* 43.186 65.016 55.002 ******* 56.954 58.999 52.636 -9999.00 55.663 11,855. 11,855. 0. 11,855.
9 22.681 12.083 ******* 9.595 49.527 40.045 ******* 44.043 65.687 55.751 ******* 58.327 61.649 54.428 -9999.00 57.535 13,444. 13,444. 0. 13,444.
12 20.003 11.771 13.214 11.227 48.286 40.691 40.396 46.462 64.388 57.081 56.689 61.262 61.205 55.856 55.130 60.227 12,365. 12,365. 12,365. 12,365.
15 24.246 16.482 11.032 14.437 50.609 42.224 38.864 46.422 66.194 57.862 55.295 61.086 61.597 55.468 54.186 59.359 10,829. 10,829. 10,829. 10,829.
18 26.091 17.357 10.523 13.071 51.027 43.406 38.978 45.828 67.284 59.783 55.243 61.070 62.022 57.210 54.234 59.657 10,434. 10,434. 10,434. 10,434.
21 26.211 17.377 11.926 13.052 50.600 42.940 39.452 44.985 66.493 58.550 55.234 59.710 61.113 55.915 53.934 58.269 9,701. 9,701. 9,701. 9,701.
24 25.641 16.825 10.763 11.537 50.762 43.797 40.667 44.851 66.242 59.643 56.608 59.375 61.082 57.224 55.578 58.247 10,313. 10,313. 10,313. 10,313.
27 26.982 18.827 12.449 14.146 52.526 45.157 41.743 45.463 68.373 61.248 58.203 60.084 62.827 58.285 56.858 58.398 10,792. 10,792. 10,792. 10,792.
30 27.504 18.062 11.489 12.022 52.443 44.663 40.971 45.254 68.215 60.881 57.628 59.352 62.427 58.143 56.474 58.124 11,957. 11,957. 11,957. 11,957.
33 22.896 14.176 9.244 9.584 54.035 45.838 43.037 48.170 70.804 63.281 60.907 63.646 67.003 61.675 60.203 62.922 13,558. 13,558. 13,558. 13,558.
36 19.583 12.898 7.484 11.384 53.942 46.969 44.644 50.770 70.718 64.857 63.095 66.494 67.955 63.564 62.652 65.515 12,542. 12,542. 12,542. 12,542.
39 23.378 16.329 ******* 12.704 56.314 49.215 ******* 50.791 72.741 66.466 ******* 66.432 68.886 64.432 -9999.00 65.209 10,984. 10,984. 0. 10,984.
42 25.049 16.852 ******* 12.857 55.629 49.043 ******* 49.859 72.339 66.463 ******* 65.479 67.867 64.294 -9999.00 64.207 10,572. 10,572. 0. 10,572.
45 24.995 16.801 ******* 12.039 54.897 48.245 ******* 49.484 70.946 64.804 ******* 64.537 66.401 62.591 -9999.00 63.408 9,887. 9,887. 0. 9,837.
48 23.535 15.838 ******* 10.550 54.320 48.068 ******* 48.451 70.384 64.941 ******* 63.498 66.336 62.983 -9999.00 62.618 10,400. 10,400. 0. 10,400.