MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000111500 to 2001022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -1.787 -1.939 ******* -2.931 4.306 4.335 ******* 4.586 5.812 5.839 ******* 6.031 5.531 5.508 -9999.00 5.271 12,463. 12,463. 0. 12,463.
3 2.094 2.156 ******* -2.793 4.859 4.953 ******* 4.588 6.474 6.642 ******* 6.220 6.126 6.283 -9999.00 5.558 10,935. 10,935. 0. 10,935.
6 2.556 2.509 ******* -2.727 5.129 5.145 ******* 4.682 6.951 7.032 ******* 6.565 6.464 6.570 -9999.00 5.972 10,560. 10,560. 0. 10,560.
9 2.459 2.499 ******* -2.778 5.122 5.276 ******* 4.723 6.911 7.129 ******* 6.584 6.459 6.677 -9999.00 5.970 9,895. 9,895. 0. 9,895.
12 2.532 2.605 4.047 -2.810 5.166 5.285 6.307 4.864 6.980 7.136 8.650 6.709 6.505 6.644 7.645 6.092 10,409. 10,409. 10,409. 10,409.
15 2.591 2.628 2.720 -2.758 5.183 5.355 5.509 4.918 7.008 7.238 7.368 6.730 6.511 6.745 6.848 6.139 10,866. 10,866. 10,866. 10,866.
18 2.115 2.182 2.353 -2.453 5.124 5.255 5.311 4.671 6.761 6.954 7.020 6.145 6.422 6.603 6.614 5.634 12,000. 12,000. 12,000. 12,000.
21 1.012 1.249 1.598 -2.409 5.056 5.125 5.217 4.606 6.681 6.821 6.964 6.115 6.604 6.706 6.779 5.621 13,617. 13,617. 13,617. 13,617.
24 1.502 1.775 1.918 -2.355 5.011 5.085 5.211 4.670 6.700 6.910 7.002 6.169 6.529 6.678 6.735 5.702 12,528. 12,528. 12,528. 12,528.
27 2.429 2.579 2.623 -2.314 5.224 5.364 5.483 4.753 6.902 7.141 7.304 6.362 6.461 6.659 6.817 5.926 10,961. 10,961. 10,961. 10,961.
30 2.584 2.639 2.614 -2.269 5.348 5.498 5.553 4.860 7.170 7.395 7.512 6.717 6.689 6.908 7.043 6.322 10,563. 10,563. 10,563. 10,563.
33 2.564 2.522 2.459 -2.366 5.339 5.523 5.689 4.883 7.104 7.372 7.636 6.748 6.626 6.927 7.230 6.320 9,917. 9,917. 9,917. 9,917.
36 2.466 2.511 2.393 -2.506 5.371 5.544 5.740 5.014 7.165 7.462 7.700 6.892 6.728 7.027 7.319 6.420 10,450. 10,450. 10,450. 10,450.
39 2.569 2.532 ******* -2.540 5.419 5.631 ******* 5.025 7.261 7.536 ******* 6.856 6.792 7.099 -9999.00 6.369 10,923. 10,923. 0. 10,923.
42 2.255 2.166 ******* -2.165 5.440 5.606 ******* 4.812 7.105 7.363 ******* 6.341 6.738 7.038 -9999.00 5.961 12,101. 12,101. 0. 12,101.
45 1.243 1.311 ******* -2.073 5.457 5.612 ******* 4.749 7.169 7.409 ******* 6.299 7.060 7.292 -9999.00 5.948 13,704. 13,704. 0. 13,704.
48 1.385 1.428 ******* -2.216 5.267 5.418 ******* 4.880 6.985 7.205 ******* 6.401 6.846 7.063 -9999.00 6.006 12,621. 12,621. 0. 12,621.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 2000111500 to 2001022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -1.791 -1.936 ******* -3.180 4.650 4.637 ******* 4.984 6.502 6.491 ******* 6.797 6.251 6.196 -9999.00 6.007 10,409. 10,409. 0. 10,409.
3 2.384 2.253 ******* -2.882 5.144 5.219 ******* 4.940 6.980 7.059 ******* 6.710 6.560 6.691 -9999.00 6.060 10,866. 10,866. 0. 10,866.
6 1.907 1.882 ******* -2.766 5.076 5.088 ******* 4.703 6.691 6.744 ******* 6.157 6.413 6.477 -9999.00 5.501 12,000. 12,000. 0. 12,000.
9 0.694 0.983 ******* -2.704 4.801 4.830 ******* 4.562 6.379 6.463 ******* 6.078 6.341 6.388 -9999.00 5.443 13,617. 13,617. 0. 13,617.
12 1.322 1.669 2.752 -2.583 4.627 4.746 5.474 4.587 6.238 6.418 7.675 6.079 6.096 6.197 7.164 5.503 12,528. 12,528. 12,528. 12,528.
15 2.467 2.713 2.812 -2.505 5.051 5.182 5.289 4.639 6.693 6.920 7.056 6.259 6.222 6.366 6.471 5.736 10,961. 10,961. 10,961. 10,961.
18 2.776 2.826 2.827 -2.369 5.307 5.390 5.478 4.768 7.174 7.325 7.462 6.648 6.615 6.758 6.906 6.212 10,563. 10,563. 10,563. 10,563.
21 2.777 2.796 2.858 -2.375 5.336 5.465 5.615 4.833 7.147 7.351 7.590 6.694 6.586 6.799 7.032 6.258 9,844. 9,844. 9,844. 9,844.
24 2.809 2.865 2.904 -2.443 5.472 5.640 5.821 4.979 7.273 7.538 7.797 6.827 6.709 6.972 7.236 6.375 10,450. 10,450. 10,450. 10,450.
27 2.742 2.785 2.867 -2.535 5.377 5.597 5.751 4.969 7.210 7.492 7.683 6.799 6.668 6.956 7.128 6.309 10,924. 10,924. 10,924. 10,924.
30 2.319 2.243 2.334 -2.281 5.279 5.442 5.552 4.710 6.954 7.214 7.337 6.206 6.556 6.856 6.956 5.771 12,105. 12,105. 12,105. 12,105.
33 1.292 1.446 1.632 -2.236 5.191 5.317 5.444 4.634 6.819 7.040 7.177 6.164 6.696 6.890 6.990 5.744 13,732. 13,732. 13,732. 13,732.
36 1.610 1.815 1.962 -2.249 5.169 5.319 5.449 4.743 6.824 7.081 7.230 6.273 6.631 6.844 6.960 5.856 12,707. 12,707. 12,707. 12,707.
39 2.448 2.554 ******* -2.321 5.451 5.602 ******* 4.859 7.147 7.425 ******* 6.485 6.715 6.972 -9999.00 6.056 11,118. 11,118. 0. 11,118.
42 2.551 2.539 ******* -2.298 5.569 5.718 ******* 4.956 7.447 7.704 ******* 6.867 6.996 7.274 -9999.00 6.471 10,702. 10,702. 0. 10,702.
45 2.467 2.407 ******* -2.364 5.448 5.659 ******* 4.976 7.278 7.604 ******* 6.873 6.848 7.213 -9999.00 6.455 10,034. 10,034. 0. 9,983.
48 2.380 2.366 ******* -2.615 5.553 5.742 ******* 5.129 7.412 7.716 ******* 7.045 7.020 7.345 -9999.00 6.542 10,539. 10,539. 0. 10,539.